Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	43.621	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	69.551	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	72.009	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	72.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	81.519	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	73.31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	80.406	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	70.697	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	59.328	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	68.281	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	70.041	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	51.244	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	46.538	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	61.443	69.1139	58.1341	80.0937	0.0854	1	0.4689	1
50	62.256	67.4953	56.5155	78.4751	0.1748	0.86	0.2102	0.9999
51	73.117	75.8518	64.872	86.8317	0.3127	0.9924	0.7462	1
52	74.155	75.8	64.8202	86.7798	0.3845	0.684	0.1537	1
53	65.191	72.2633	61.2835	83.2431	0.1034	0.3678	0.4259	1
54	77.889	79.4748	68.495	90.4546	0.3886	0.9946	0.434	1
55	68.688	68.8577	57.8779	79.8375	0.4879	0.0535	0.3713	1
56	59.983	60.5492	49.5694	71.529	0.4597	0.0731	0.5863	0.9938
57	65.47	61.7809	50.8011	72.7607	0.2551	0.6259	0.123	0.9967
58	65.089	66.596	55.6162	77.5758	0.394	0.5797	0.2693	0.9998
59	54.795	54.4975	43.5177	65.4773	0.4788	0.0293	0.7193	0.9223
60	47.123	44.9024	33.9226	55.8822	0.3459	0.0387	0.3852	0.3852

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0811	-0.111	0	58.8422	0	0
50	0.083	-0.0776	0.0943	27.4506	43.1464	6.5686
51	0.0739	-0.0361	0.0749	7.4794	31.2574	5.5908
52	0.0739	-0.0217	0.0616	2.706	24.1195	4.9112
53	0.0775	-0.0979	0.0688	50.0174	29.2991	5.4129
54	0.0705	-0.02	0.0607	2.5148	24.835	4.9835
55	0.0814	-0.0025	0.0524	0.0288	21.2913	4.6142
56	0.0925	-0.0094	0.047	0.3206	18.67	4.3209
57	0.0907	0.0597	0.0484	13.6093	18.1077	4.2553
58	0.0841	-0.0226	0.0458	2.271	16.524	4.065
59	0.1028	0.0055	0.0422	0.0885	15.0299	3.8768
60	0.1248	0.0495	0.0428	4.931	14.1883	3.7667