Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[46])
34111.85-------
35112.12-------
36112.15-------
37112.17-------
38112.67-------
39112.8-------
40113.44-------
41113.53-------
42114.53-------
43114.51-------
44115.05-------
45116.67-------
46117.07-------
47116.92117.3186116.7516117.88560.08410.804910.8049
48117117.6293116.9171118.34140.04170.974510.9381
49117.02117.7054116.8411118.56970.060.945210.9252
50117.35118.2363117.2381119.23460.04090.991510.989
51117.36118.4393117.313119.56570.03020.97110.9914
52117.82119.1107117.8621120.35930.02140.99710.9993
53117.88119.2816117.9145120.64870.02220.981910.9992
54118.24119.9817118.499121.46430.01070.997310.9999
55118.5120.1967118.6008121.79260.01860.991910.9999
56118.8120.7696119.0623122.4770.01190.995411
57119.76122.4554120.638124.27270.0018111
58120.09122.8228120.8967124.7490.00270.999111


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
470.0025-0.003400.158900
480.0031-0.00530.00440.3960.27740.5267
490.0037-0.00580.00490.46980.34160.5844
500.0043-0.00750.00550.78560.45260.6727
510.0049-0.00910.00621.1650.5950.7714
520.0053-0.01080.0071.6660.77350.8795
530.0058-0.01180.00771.96450.94370.9714
540.0063-0.01450.00853.03341.20491.0977
550.0068-0.01410.00922.87881.39091.1794
560.0072-0.01630.00993.87951.63971.2805
570.0076-0.0220.0117.2652.15111.4667
580.008-0.02230.01197.46832.59421.6107