| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1151 | -0.1467 | 0.0171 | -0.7735 | 0.4315 | -0.0784 | -0.9996 |
| (p-val) | (0.3041 ) | (0.6085 ) | (0.9599 ) | (0 ) | (0.0044 ) | (0.9201 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.1224 | -0.1538 | 0 | -0.7674 | 0.4365 | -0.0778 | -1.0001 |
| (p-val) | (0.408 ) | (0.2259 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.002 ) | (0.6036 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.1467 | -0.1554 | 0 | -0.7609 | 0.4302 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.2941 ) | (0.2211 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0023 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | -0.1128 | 0 | -1.2311 | 0.4688 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.3551 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (6e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8316 | 0.4497 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (8e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -33.1579304586927 |
| -426.395193848500 |
| 115.687577589713 |
| 265.113144861794 |
| -43.7979786666832 |
| 104.730451283174 |
| 97.21920126048 |
| -132.282094473913 |
| -125.133222611107 |
| 29.1918580232027 |
| -58.5512240644578 |
| -25.1795391857963 |
| -81.2088568386666 |
| 133.413009965783 |
| -16.6057539802148 |
| -246.336509470685 |
| -355.776195624045 |
| -208.138318888450 |
| 171.769637117443 |
| -19.1843923503729 |
| 269.000717695992 |
| 62.0179870311451 |
| -122.996296068380 |
| 263.968262666995 |
| 93.2955194849777 |
| -95.9685189915075 |
| -143.647319688417 |
| 461.432733907239 |
| -213.505618072507 |
| 400.946590427207 |
| 220.032755543002 |
| -219.763185765890 |
| 331.312772596290 |
| -183.910690237053 |
| 27.6265278017124 |
| 283.839588621365 |
| 72.7484991994548 |
| 258.147252042428 |
| 96.9501768981078 |
| -118.374006698344 |
| -330.057819305355 |
| 364.638257420787 |
| 58.7408698013949 |
| 317.323215012391 |
| 99.5632296077714 |
| -8.29308702685703 |
| 179.614505422143 |
| 215.874253681436 |
| -156.729297732686 |
| -70.9144324973845 |
| 226.229974691784 |
| 81.562753463673 |
| 210.801677571975 |
| 11.8310963537732 |
| -414.264239571324 |
| 151.270069063823 |
| 44.8750808504259 |
| 102.818791287223 |
| -126.982324554658 |
| -124.133346824721 |
| 60.6739746824303 |
| -117.637159551459 |
| 118.827209066971 |
| -131.604329327553 |
| 317.687898757544 |
| 110.541053896203 |
| 27.9313159996726 |
| 1.93239012288076 |
| 299.875112535989 |
| 241.329024435468 |
| 63.2428122760751 |
| -369.379221319513 |
| 29.7757109621971 |
| -51.896257617765 |
| -144.576435066827 |
| -214.439110514116 |
| 35.409184911299 |
| -151.622579359121 |
| 252.601171214175 |
| 330.142523875545 |
| -212.690069001347 |
| 94.7086109178683 |
| -69.1382103838916 |
| 136.270837395646 |
