Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[61])
49	306.122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	300.414	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	292.133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	290.616	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	280.244	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	285.179	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	305.486	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	305.957	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	293.886	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	289.441	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	288.776	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	299.149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	306.532	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	309.914	301.2886	290.8607	311.7165	0.0525	0.1622	0.5653	0.1622
63	313.468	293.0471	277.6595	308.4348	0.0046	0.0158	0.5463	0.0429
64	314.901	291.5335	272.3884	310.6786	0.0084	0.0124	0.5374	0.0623
65	309.16	281.1618	258.881	303.4426	0.0069	0.0015	0.5322	0.0128
66	316.15	286.0968	261.0699	311.1238	0.0093	0.0354	0.5287	0.0548
67	336.544	306.4038	278.9036	333.904	0.0159	0.2436	0.5261	0.4964
68	339.196	306.8748	277.1061	336.6435	0.0167	0.0254	0.5241	0.509
69	326.738	294.8038	262.9277	326.68	0.0248	0.0032	0.5225	0.2354
70	320.838	290.3588	256.5061	324.2115	0.0388	0.0176	0.5212	0.1745
71	318.62	289.6938	253.9738	325.4138	0.0562	0.0437	0.5201	0.1778
72	331.533	300.0668	262.5724	337.5613	0.05	0.1661	0.5191	0.3677
73	335.378	307.4498	268.2612	346.6384	0.0812	0.1142	0.5183	0.5183

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
62	0.0177	0.0286	0	74.3974	0	0
63	0.0268	0.0697	0.0492	417.0113	245.7044	15.675
64	0.0335	0.0802	0.0595	546.0395	345.8161	18.5961
65	0.0404	0.0996	0.0695	783.8993	455.3369	21.3386
66	0.0446	0.105	0.0766	903.1935	544.9082	23.3433
67	0.0458	0.0984	0.0802	908.4302	605.4952	24.6068
68	0.0495	0.1053	0.0838	1044.6584	668.2328	25.8502
69	0.0552	0.1083	0.0869	1019.7916	712.1776	26.6867
70	0.0595	0.105	0.0889	928.9801	736.2668	27.1342
71	0.0629	0.0999	0.09	836.7236	746.3125	27.3187
72	0.0638	0.1049	0.0913	990.1202	768.4768	27.7214
73	0.065	0.0908	0.0913	779.983	769.4357	27.7387