Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613953.455936.071470.84040.05160.30420.23030.3042
624952.738435.353370.12360.33670.93930.35650.2765
635865.25247.866882.63710.20680.96650.79320.7932
644750.830933.445868.21610.33290.20950.53730.2095
654251.227333.842168.61250.14910.68320.51020.2226
666258.803441.418376.18860.35930.97090.74350.5361
673938.666221.281156.05140.4850.00430.57450.0146
684027.942110.556945.32730.0870.10630.74854e-04
697254.822837.437672.20790.02640.95270.4920.3601
707063.175945.790880.56110.22080.15990.22080.7202
715449.333531.948366.71860.29940.00990.07660.1643
726555.622738.237573.00780.14520.57260.39430.3943


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1659-0.27040208.971900
620.1682-0.07090.170713.976111.473910.5581
630.1359-0.11110.150852.591191.84639.5836
640.1745-0.07540.13214.67672.55378.5178
650.1731-0.18010.141685.142975.07168.6644
660.15080.05440.127110.21864.26268.0164
670.22940.00860.11010.111455.09827.4228
680.31740.43150.1503145.392666.3858.1477
690.16180.31330.1684295.057591.7939.5809
700.14040.1080.162446.567987.27059.3419
710.17980.09460.156221.776681.31659.0176
720.15950.16860.157287.934681.8689.0481