Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[46])
34111.85-------
35112.12-------
36112.15-------
37112.17-------
38112.67-------
39112.8-------
40113.44-------
41113.53-------
42114.53-------
43114.51-------
44115.05-------
45116.67-------
46117.07-------
47116.92117.3144116.7345117.89580.09180.79510.795
48117117.6364116.9059118.36910.04440.972310.9351
49117.02117.7119116.825118.6020.06380.941510.9212
50117.35118.2516117.2244119.28340.04340.990410.9876
51117.36118.4533117.2925119.61980.03310.968110.9899
52117.82119.1398117.8484120.43830.02320.996410.9991
53117.88119.3073117.8913120.73170.02480.979610.999
54118.24119.9842118.4432121.53520.01380.996110.9999
55118.5120.211118.5497121.8840.02250.989510.9999
56118.8120.7926119.0098122.58860.01480.993811
57119.76122.5227120.6104124.45010.00250.999911
58120.09122.8854120.8545124.93320.00370.998611


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
470.0025-0.003400.155600
480.0032-0.00540.00440.4050.28030.5294
490.0039-0.00590.00490.47870.34640.5886
500.0045-0.00760.00560.8130.4630.6805
510.005-0.00920.00631.19530.60950.7807
520.0056-0.01110.00711.74190.79820.8934
530.0061-0.0120.00782.03720.97520.9875
540.0066-0.01450.00863.04221.23361.1107
550.0071-0.01420.00932.92761.42181.1924
560.0076-0.01650.013.97031.67671.2949
570.008-0.02250.01117.63272.21811.4893
580.0085-0.02270.01217.81422.68451.6384