Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	39	54.6998	38.4697	73.7789	0.0534	0.3673	0.2931	0.3673
62	49	49.4465	34.0821	67.6614	0.4808	0.8695	0.2403	0.1787
63	58	62.8373	45.193	83.3827	0.3222	0.9066	0.6778	0.6778
64	47	48.7425	33.2513	67.1871	0.4265	0.1626	0.4469	0.1626
65	42	50.2714	34.4632	69.0549	0.194	0.6336	0.4697	0.21
66	62	58.9695	41.6614	79.2769	0.385	0.9493	0.7177	0.5373
67	39	38.7085	24.9646	55.4544	0.4864	0.0032	0.5792	0.012
68	40	28.4394	16.8743	43.0059	0.0599	0.0777	0.8069	0
69	72	54.9065	38.2519	74.5628	0.0441	0.9314	0.4963	0.3789
70	70	62.6531	44.7613	83.5459	0.2453	0.1903	0.2453	0.6688
71	54	47.863	32.4159	66.3104	0.2572	0.0093	0.0665	0.1407
72	65	54.9877	38.3229	74.6529	0.1592	0.5392	0.382	0.382

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.178	-0.287	0	246.4835	0	0
62	0.1879	-0.009	0.148	0.1994	123.3414	11.1059
63	0.1668	-0.077	0.1243	23.3992	90.0273	9.4883
64	0.1931	-0.0357	0.1022	3.0364	68.2796	8.2631
65	0.1906	-0.1645	0.1147	68.4155	68.3068	8.2648
66	0.1757	0.0514	0.1041	9.1839	58.453	7.6455
67	0.2207	0.0075	0.0903	0.085	50.1147	7.0792
68	0.2613	0.4065	0.1298	133.648	60.5564	7.7818
69	0.1827	0.3113	0.15	292.1881	86.2932	9.2894
70	0.1701	0.1173	0.1467	53.9776	83.0617	9.1138
71	0.1966	0.1282	0.145	37.6631	78.9345	8.8845
72	0.1825	0.1821	0.1481	100.2461	80.7105	8.9839