Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[49])
370.7455-------
380.7639-------
390.7958-------
400.7864-------
410.7853-------
420.7903-------
430.7866-------
440.8039-------
450.7916-------
460.7903-------
470.8242-------
480.9567-------
490.885-------
500.88650.89880.85160.9460.3050.716410.7164
510.92580.89610.83550.95680.16890.62220.99940.6404
520.89480.89660.8240.96920.48020.21560.99850.6233
530.87620.89650.81390.97920.31480.51650.99580.6078
540.85270.89660.80490.98820.17420.66840.98850.5976
550.85360.89660.79670.99640.19950.80540.98460.5898
560.88050.89660.78911.0040.38470.78350.95460.5835
570.91550.89660.78211.0110.37290.60830.96380.5784
580.89610.89660.77541.01770.4970.37960.95720.5742
590.91270.89660.76911.0240.4020.50280.86710.5706
600.88570.89660.76311.030.43660.40630.18850.5674


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
500.0268-0.013702e-0400
510.03450.03310.02349e-045e-040.0227
520.0413-0.00210.016303e-040.0186
530.047-0.02270.01794e-044e-040.019
540.0522-0.04890.02410.00197e-040.026
550.0568-0.04790.02810.00189e-040.0295
560.0611-0.01790.02663e-048e-040.028
570.06510.02110.02594e-047e-040.027
580.0689-5e-040.023106e-040.0255
590.07250.0180.02263e-046e-040.0247
600.0759-0.01210.02161e-046e-040.0238