Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	0.7357	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	0.7455	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	0.7639	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	0.7958	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	0.7864	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	0.7853	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	0.7903	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	0.7866	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	0.8039	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	0.7916	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	0.7903	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	0.8242	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	0.9567	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	0.885	1.0501	1.0099	1.0903	0	1	1	1
50	0.8865	1.1159	1.0364	1.1954	0	1	1	1
51	0.9258	1.1623	1.0434	1.2813	0	1	1	0.9996
52	0.8948	1.195	1.0379	1.3521	1e-04	0.9996	1	0.9985
53	0.8762	1.2181	1.0248	1.4113	3e-04	0.9995	1	0.996
54	0.8527	1.2343	1.0071	1.4615	5e-04	0.999	0.9999	0.9917
55	0.8536	1.2458	0.9867	1.5048	0.0015	0.9985	0.9997	0.9856
56	0.8805	1.2538	0.9649	1.5428	0.0057	0.9967	0.9989	0.9781
57	0.9155	1.2595	0.9425	1.5765	0.0167	0.9905	0.9981	0.9694
58	0.8961	1.2635	0.9201	1.607	0.018	0.9765	0.9965	0.9601
59	0.9127	1.2664	0.898	1.6348	0.0299	0.9756	0.9907	0.9503
60	0.8857	1.2684	0.8763	1.6604	0.0279	0.9623	0.9404	0.9404

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0195	-0.1572	0	0.0273	0	0
50	0.0363	-0.2056	0.1814	0.0526	0.0399	0.1999
51	0.0522	-0.2035	0.1888	0.0559	0.0453	0.2128
52	0.0671	-0.2512	0.2044	0.0901	0.0565	0.2377
53	0.0809	-0.2807	0.2196	0.1169	0.0686	0.2619
54	0.0939	-0.3092	0.2346	0.1456	0.0814	0.2853
55	0.1061	-0.3148	0.246	0.1538	0.0918	0.3029
56	0.1176	-0.2978	0.2525	0.1394	0.0977	0.3126
57	0.1284	-0.2731	0.2548	0.1184	0.1	0.3162
58	0.1387	-0.2908	0.2584	0.135	0.1035	0.3217
59	0.1484	-0.2793	0.2603	0.1251	0.1055	0.3248
60	0.1577	-0.3017	0.2637	0.1464	0.1089	0.33