Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	1.4587	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	1.4876	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	1.5189	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1.5783	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1.5633	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1.5554	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1.5757	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	1.5593	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1.466	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	1.4065	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	1.2759	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1.2705	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	1.3954	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1.2793	1.3876	1.3124	1.4627	0.0024	0.419	0.0045	0.419
50	1.2694	1.3791	1.2728	1.4854	0.0216	0.9671	0.005	0.3817
51	1.3282	1.363	1.2328	1.4931	0.3003	0.9206	6e-04	0.3126
52	1.323	1.367	1.2167	1.5173	0.2829	0.6937	0.0052	0.3557
53	1.4135	1.3692	1.2011	1.5372	0.3026	0.7049	0.0149	0.3799
54	1.4042	1.3637	1.1796	1.5478	0.333	0.2979	0.012	0.3677
55	1.4253	1.3681	1.1693	1.567	0.2865	0.361	0.0297	0.394
56	1.4322	1.3934	1.1809	1.606	0.3603	0.3844	0.2517	0.4927
57	1.4632	1.4096	1.1841	1.635	0.3205	0.422	0.5106	0.549
58	1.4713	1.445	1.2073	1.6826	0.4141	0.4403	0.9184	0.6587
59	1.5016	1.4464	1.1972	1.6957	0.3322	0.4225	0.9167	0.6559
60	1.4318	1.4126	1.1522	1.6729	0.4424	0.2513	0.5514	0.5514

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0276	-0.078	0	0.0117	0	0
50	0.0393	-0.0795	0.0788	0.012	0.0119	0.109
51	0.0487	-0.0255	0.061	0.0012	0.0083	0.0912
52	0.0561	-0.0322	0.0538	0.0019	0.0067	0.082
53	0.0626	0.0324	0.0495	0.002	0.0058	0.076
54	0.0689	0.0297	0.0462	0.0016	0.0051	0.0713
55	0.0742	0.0418	0.0456	0.0033	0.0048	0.0695
56	0.0778	0.0278	0.0434	0.0015	0.0044	0.0664
57	0.0816	0.0381	0.0428	0.0029	0.0042	0.0651
58	0.0839	0.0182	0.0403	7e-04	0.0039	0.0623
59	0.0879	0.0381	0.0401	0.003	0.0038	0.0617
60	0.094	0.0136	0.0379	4e-04	0.0035	0.0593