| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 0 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 215.2 | 211.1 | 4.09999999999999 |
| 4 | 240.2 | 215.2 | 25 |
| 5 | 242.2 | 240.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 240.7 | 242.2 | -1.5 |
| 7 | 255.4 | 240.7 | 14.7000000000000 |
| 8 | 253 | 255.4 | -2.40000000000001 |
| 9 | 218.2 | 253 | -34.8 |
| 10 | 203.7 | 218.2 | -14.5 |
| 11 | 205.6 | 203.7 | 1.90000000000001 |
| 12 | 215.6 | 205.6 | 10 |
| 13 | 188.5 | 215.6 | -27.1 |
| 14 | 202.9 | 188.5 | 14.4 |
| 15 | 214 | 202.9 | 11.1 |
| 16 | 230.3 | 214 | 16.3 |
| 17 | 230 | 230.3 | -0.300000000000011 |
| 18 | 241 | 230 | 11 |
| 19 | 259.6 | 241 | 18.6000000000000 |
| 20 | 247.8 | 259.6 | -11.8 |
| 21 | 270.3 | 247.8 | 22.5 |
| 22 | 289.7 | 270.3 | 19.4000000000000 |
| 23 | 322.7 | 289.7 | 33 |
| 24 | 315 | 322.7 | -7.69999999999999 |
| 25 | 320.2 | 315 | 5.19999999999999 |
| 26 | 329.5 | 320.2 | 9.30000000000001 |
| 27 | 360.6 | 329.5 | 31.1 |
| 28 | 382.2 | 360.6 | 21.6000000000000 |
| 29 | 435.4 | 382.2 | 53.2 |
| 30 | 464 | 435.4 | 28.6 |
| 31 | 468.8 | 464 | 4.80000000000001 |
| 32 | 403 | 468.8 | -65.8 |
| 33 | 351.6 | 403 | -51.4 |
| 34 | 252 | 351.6 | -99.6 |
| 35 | 188 | 252 | -64 |
| 36 | 146.5 | 188 | -41.5 |
| 37 | 152.9 | 146.5 | 6.4 |
| 38 | 148.1 | 152.9 | -4.80000000000001 |
| 39 | 165.1 | 148.1 | 17 |
| 40 | 177 | 165.1 | 11.9 |
| 41 | 206.1 | 177 | 29.1 |
| 42 | 244.9 | 206.1 | 38.8 |
| 43 | 228.6 | 244.9 | -16.3 |
| 44 | 253.4 | 228.6 | 24.8 |
| 45 | 241.1 | 253.4 | -12.3 |
| 46 | 261.4 | 241.1 | 20.3 |
| 47 | 273.7 | 261.4 | 12.3 |
| 48 | 263.7 | 273.7 | -10 |
| 49 | 272.5 | 263.7 | 8.80000000000001 |
| 50 | 263.2 | 272.5 | -9.30000000000001 |
| 51 | 279.8 | 263.2 | 16.6000000000000 |
| 52 | 298.1 | 279.8 | 18.3 |
| 53 | 267.6 | 298.1 | -30.5 |
| 54 | 264.3 | 267.6 | -3.30000000000001 |
| 55 | 264.3 | 264.3 | 0 |
| 56 | 268.7 | 264.3 | 4.39999999999998 |
| 57 | 269.1 | 268.7 | 0.400000000000034 |
| 58 | 288.6 | 269.1 | 19.5 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 59 | 288.6 | 235.190603464595 | 342.009396535405 |
| 60 | 288.6 | 213.067707061468 | 364.132292938532 |
| 61 | 288.6 | 196.092211599086 | 381.107788400914 |
| 62 | 288.6 | 181.781206929191 | 395.418793070809 |
| 63 | 288.6 | 169.172958709593 | 408.027041290407 |
| 64 | 288.6 | 157.774231018287 | 419.425768981713 |
| 65 | 288.6 | 147.292019093284 | 429.907980906716 |
| 66 | 288.6 | 137.535414122936 | 439.664585877064 |
| 67 | 288.6 | 128.371810393786 | 448.828189606214 |
| 68 | 288.6 | 119.704658493015 | 457.495341506985 |
| 69 | 288.6 | 111.461071412755 | 465.738928587245 |
| 70 | 288.6 | 103.584423198172 | 473.615576801828 |
