| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.799413060083523 |
| beta | 0.0296431814529341 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 74 | 74 | 0 |
| 4 | 72 | 73 | -1 |
| 5 | 70 | 71.1768897935206 | -1.17688979352057 |
| 6 | 69 | 69.1844826461764 | -0.18448264617642 |
| 7 | 70 | 67.9810470210655 | 2.01895297893452 |
| 8 | 72 | 68.5869100360298 | 3.41308996397022 |
| 9 | 73 | 70.3881448569157 | 2.61185514308433 |
| 10 | 73 | 71.6107556114822 | 1.38924438851775 |
| 11 | 74 | 71.8889164891041 | 2.11108351089588 |
| 12 | 76 | 72.794151643446 | 3.20584835655403 |
| 13 | 74 | 74.6505255709556 | -0.650525570955594 |
| 14 | 67 | 73.4086482165592 | -6.40864821655921 |
| 15 | 66 | 67.411785742717 | -1.41178574271699 |
| 16 | 58 | 65.3760250964807 | -7.37602509648069 |
| 17 | 55 | 58.3975828708504 | -3.39758287085043 |
| 18 | 58 | 54.519046300494 | 3.480953699506 |
| 19 | 64 | 56.2217903681572 | 7.77820963184282 |
| 20 | 68 | 61.5441383229956 | 6.4558616770044 |
| 21 | 66 | 65.9623695520331 | 0.0376304479668903 |
| 22 | 76 | 65.2506746481765 | 10.7493253518235 |
| 23 | 75 | 73.3567768826124 | 1.64322311738765 |
| 24 | 88 | 74.2222817631583 | 13.7777182368417 |
| 25 | 85 | 85.1147531257755 | -0.114753125775479 |
| 26 | 83 | 84.8986821226593 | -1.89868212265927 |
| 27 | 77 | 83.2115216329525 | -6.21152163295253 |
| 28 | 66 | 77.9294255751957 | -11.9294255751957 |
| 29 | 65 | 67.7936690854322 | -2.79366908543224 |
| 30 | 65 | 64.8949536620293 | 0.105046337970705 |
| 31 | 63 | 64.3159985040094 | -1.31599850400944 |
| 32 | 62 | 62.56985613114 | -0.569856131140043 |
| 33 | 57 | 61.4066857516599 | -4.40668575165992 |
| 34 | 68 | 57.0718777868431 | 10.9281222131569 |
| 35 | 69 | 65.2548808948911 | 3.74511910510886 |
| 36 | 79 | 67.7844461434489 | 11.2155538565511 |
| 37 | 74 | 76.5517511184612 | -2.5517511184612 |
| 38 | 76 | 74.2528234744757 | 1.74717652552428 |
| 39 | 82 | 75.4319178313512 | 6.56808216864884 |
| 40 | 75 | 80.6205519254615 | -5.62055192546151 |
| 41 | 75 | 75.9322416983573 | -0.932241698357316 |
| 42 | 76 | 74.969736428521 | 1.03026357147898 |
| 43 | 78 | 75.6004978085543 | 2.39950219144571 |
| 44 | 77 | 77.3827077784677 | -0.38270777846769 |
| 45 | 67 | 76.9317136802845 | -9.93171368028455 |
| 46 | 74 | 68.6117662803305 | 5.38823371966953 |
| 47 | 68 | 72.6664706749626 | -4.66647067496264 |
| 48 | 87 | 68.5727310225099 | 18.4272689774901 |
| 49 | 76 | 83.3771021450328 | -7.37710214503282 |
| 50 | 88 | 77.3783057154604 | 10.6216942845396 |
| 51 | 95 | 86.0196860619061 | 8.98031393809386 |
| 52 | 96 | 93.5617333369109 | 2.4382666630891 |
| 53 | 96 | 95.9317625426605 | 0.0682374573395066 |
| 54 | 105 | 96.4087764815708 | 8.59122351842925 |
| 55 | 108 | 103.902764270062 | 4.09723572993789 |
| 56 | 113 | 107.901292323488 | 5.09870767651155 |
| 57 | 101 | 112.821234952553 | -11.8212349525532 |
| 58 | 107 | 103.935024932829 | 3.0649750671713 |
| 59 | 102 | 107.021676780885 | -5.02167678088469 |
| 60 | 116 | 103.524754119427 | 12.4752458805734 |
| 61 | 105 | 114.310727672766 | -9.31072767276633 |
| 62 | 121 | 107.460071764218 | 13.5399282357819 |
| 63 | 134 | 119.197386282031 | 14.8026137179686 |
| 64 | 140 | 132.294887769399 | 7.70511223060072 |
| 65 | 131 | 139.901143046328 | -8.90114304632846 |
| 66 | 141 | 134.02120928594 | 6.97879071406018 |
| 67 | 131 | 141.001279392085 | -10.0012793920845 |
| 68 | 128 | 134.170257912343 | -6.1702579123428 |
| 69 | 123 | 130.255587531918 | -7.25558753191788 |
| 70 | 129 | 125.301353759177 | 3.69864624082298 |
| 71 | 125 | 129.191724889009 | -4.19172488900864 |
| 72 | 144 | 126.675098370401 | 17.3249016295993 |
| 73 | 135 | 141.769694829919 | -6.76969482991862 |
| 74 | 141 | 137.442333752816 | 3.55766624718447 |
| 75 | 156 | 141.455106534834 | 14.5448934651658 |
| 76 | 159 | 154.595884718769 | 4.4041152812309 |
| 77 | 146 | 159.73435734762 | -13.7343573476201 |
| 78 | 154 | 150.04723299028 | 3.95276700972005 |
| 79 | 145 | 154.593096138017 | -9.5930961380171 |
| 80 | 133 | 148.082890371777 | -15.0828903717765 |
| 81 | 126 | 136.826649936684 | -10.8266499366842 |
| 82 | 127 | 128.716342983733 | -1.71634298373343 |
| 83 | 122 | 127.84826195939 | -5.84826195939013 |
| 84 | 148 | 123.538483822887 | 24.4615161771133 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 85 | 144.038406306853 | 128.623463301162 | 159.453349312544 |
| 86 | 144.98347328939 | 125.018233271885 | 164.948713306895 |
| 87 | 145.928540271928 | 122.074728544236 | 169.782351999619 |
| 88 | 146.873607254465 | 119.504502106086 | 174.242712402844 |
| 89 | 147.818674237003 | 117.174450787734 | 178.462897686272 |
| 90 | 148.76374121954 | 115.010626543989 | 182.516855895091 |
| 91 | 149.708808202077 | 112.967173114577 | 186.450443289578 |
| 92 | 150.653875184615 | 111.013487946108 | 190.294262423122 |
| 93 | 151.598942167152 | 109.128042969563 | 194.069841364741 |
| 94 | 152.54400914969 | 107.295080351259 | 197.792937948121 |
| 95 | 153.489076132227 | 105.502702957299 | 201.475449307155 |
| 96 | 154.434143114765 | 103.74170273467 | 205.126583494859 |
