| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.980528379652752 |
| beta | 0.0160501661027135 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 91 | 91 | 0 |
| 4 | 89 | 90 | -1 |
| 5 | 87 | 88.0037339769854 | -1.00373397698540 |
| 6 | 86 | 85.9880102762077 | 0.0119897237923254 |
| 7 | 87 | 84.9684211799255 | 2.03157882007453 |
| 8 | 89 | 85.961068770717 | 3.03893122928294 |
| 9 | 90 | 87.9892796029367 | 2.01072039706328 |
| 10 | 90 | 89.040944534408 | 0.959055465592002 |
| 11 | 91 | 89.0765154275679 | 1.92348457243214 |
| 12 | 93 | 90.0880075443606 | 2.91199245563942 |
| 13 | 93 | 92.1145875928878 | 0.885412407112241 |
| 14 | 87 | 92.1679826948873 | -5.16798269488729 |
| 15 | 89 | 86.204520237573 | 2.79547976242705 |
| 16 | 92 | 88.0934529834809 | 3.9065470165191 |
| 17 | 98 | 91.1332985474512 | 6.86670145254875 |
| 18 | 92 | 97.1837252426362 | -5.18372524263619 |
| 19 | 92 | 91.3367869571127 | 0.663213042887264 |
| 20 | 87 | 91.2333750049651 | -4.23337500496513 |
| 21 | 92 | 86.2620961623847 | 5.73790383761535 |
| 22 | 98 | 91.1582402906264 | 6.84175970937362 |
| 23 | 101 | 97.244419602447 | 3.75558039755299 |
| 24 | 102 | 100.363616499244 | 1.63638350075622 |
| 25 | 102 | 101.430633516597 | 0.569366483402618 |
| 26 | 90 | 101.460370553521 | -11.4603705535213 |
| 27 | 87 | 89.5142498014155 | -2.51424980141554 |
| 28 | 92 | 86.3004859678526 | 5.69951403214738 |
| 29 | 105 | 91.2302475960373 | 13.7697524039627 |
| 30 | 90 | 104.289810430864 | -14.2898104308641 |
| 31 | 88 | 89.6112876452242 | -1.61128764522421 |
| 32 | 83 | 87.3390583926644 | -4.33905839266441 |
| 33 | 98 | 82.3238859555429 | 15.6761140444571 |
| 34 | 109 | 97.180863208794 | 11.8191367912061 |
| 35 | 118 | 108.441970165222 | 9.55802983477786 |
| 36 | 118 | 117.636418446224 | 0.363581553776100 |
| 37 | 115 | 117.821171169280 | -2.82117116928025 |
| 38 | 107 | 114.838784879479 | -7.8387848794786 |
| 39 | 101 | 106.813121947869 | -5.8131219478692 |
| 40 | 111 | 100.682194168279 | 10.3178058317211 |
| 41 | 128 | 110.530476815162 | 17.4695231848377 |
| 42 | 115 | 127.666150415616 | -12.6661504156162 |
| 43 | 111 | 115.053605452864 | -4.05360545286425 |
| 44 | 105 | 110.822111050179 | -5.82211105017912 |
| 45 | 120 | 104.764920412431 | 15.2350795875688 |
| 46 | 132 | 119.594667039892 | 12.4053329601081 |
| 47 | 135 | 131.844997497812 | 3.15500250218807 |
| 48 | 142 | 135.074768724760 | 6.92523127523967 |
| 49 | 139 | 142.110343081477 | -3.11034308147725 |
| 50 | 127 | 139.256802505169 | -12.2568025051685 |
| 51 | 113 | 127.242005704005 | -14.2420057040052 |
| 52 | 130 | 113.056525220478 | 16.943474779522 |
| 53 | 143 | 129.715943747547 | 13.2840562524532 |
| 54 | 139 | 142.996258295498 | -3.99625829549751 |
| 55 | 137 | 139.269842332020 | -2.26984233201986 |
| 56 | 134 | 137.200504246709 | -3.20050424670862 |
| 57 | 139 | 134.168257347770 | 4.83174265222971 |
| 58 | 157 | 139.087896728296 | 17.9121032717042 |
| 59 | 152 | 157.115095205459 | -5.11509520545908 |
| 60 | 153 | 152.482972527762 | 0.517027472238311 |
| 61 | 147 | 153.381442767199 | -6.38144276719882 |
| 62 | 132 | 147.415338290274 | -15.4153382902737 |
| 63 | 117 | 132.348641777841 | -15.3486417778411 |
| 64 | 123 | 117.105791638284 | 5.89420836171597 |
| 65 | 139 | 122.784919874370 | 16.2150801256298 |
| 66 | 134 | 138.839142925832 | -4.83914292583168 |
| 67 | 134 | 134.172946058252 | -0.172946058252222 |
| 68 | 128 | 134.079365880996 | -6.0793658809956 |
| 69 | 118 | 128.098698553294 | -10.0986985532942 |
| 70 | 144 | 118.018031756888 | 25.9819682431121 |
| 71 | 140 | 143.724377661202 | -3.72437766120177 |
| 72 | 151 | 140.244195423178 | 10.7558045768222 |
| 73 | 144 | 151.131513828580 | -7.13151382857978 |
| 74 | 135 | 144.367575680336 | -9.36757568033582 |
| 75 | 122 | 135.263691862564 | -13.2636918625639 |
| 76 | 124 | 122.130816305498 | 1.8691836945015 |
| 77 | 146 | 123.865571244251 | 22.134428755749 |
| 78 | 146 | 145.819317831951 | 0.180682168049259 |
| 79 | 147 | 146.249636362229 | 0.750363637771272 |
| 80 | 148 | 147.250352696254 | 0.749647303745604 |
| 81 | 132 | 148.262164326352 | -16.2621643263521 |
| 82 | 161 | 132.337483721372 | 28.6625162786277 |
| 83 | 159 | 160.913807855457 | -1.91380785545707 |
| 84 | 173 | 159.479059605118 | 13.5209403948819 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 85 | 173.391307784884 | 154.584681314348 | 192.197934255419 |
| 86 | 174.045890187874 | 147.498913051365 | 200.592867324383 |
| 87 | 174.700472590865 | 142.035915484475 | 207.365029697254 |
| 88 | 175.355054993855 | 137.400367725493 | 213.309742262217 |
| 89 | 176.009637396846 | 133.281752146576 | 218.737522647116 |
| 90 | 176.664219799836 | 129.520925825549 | 223.807513774123 |
| 91 | 177.318802202827 | 126.023700576817 | 228.613903828836 |
| 92 | 177.973384605817 | 122.729025355155 | 233.21774385648 |
| 93 | 178.627967008808 | 119.594750086866 | 237.66118393075 |
| 94 | 179.282549411798 | 116.590388314423 | 241.974710509173 |
| 95 | 179.937131814789 | 113.693086674408 | 246.18117695517 |
| 96 | 180.591714217779 | 110.885220549799 | 250.298207885760 |
