| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 376 | NA | NA | 1.08320290538612 | NA |
| 2 | 375 | NA | NA | 1.04665285028439 | NA |
| 3 | 374 | NA | NA | 0.998455699548646 | NA |
| 4 | 372 | NA | NA | 0.99742330061833 | NA |
| 5 | 370 | NA | NA | 0.979660064012128 | NA |
| 6 | 369 | NA | NA | 0.964147561243234 | NA |
| 7 | 370 | 353.061174669923 | 372.625 | 0.947497281905193 | 1.04797702649099 |
| 8 | 372 | 355.898290034118 | 372.375 | 0.955752373371247 | 1.04524244824087 |
| 9 | 373 | 362.002750939189 | 372.125 | 0.972798793252775 | 1.03037891019413 |
| 10 | 373 | 370.495648524427 | 371.541666666667 | 0.997184654545953 | 1.00675946258896 |
| 11 | 374 | 370.257687593047 | 370.625 | 0.99900893785645 | 1.01010731858474 |
| 12 | 376 | 391.495671535198 | 369.958333333333 | 1.05821557797553 | 0.960419303042524 |
| 13 | 371 | 400.243473540171 | 369.5 | 1.08320290538612 | 0.926935789154757 |
| 14 | 374 | 386.127680684083 | 368.916666666667 | 1.04665285028439 | 0.968591527386493 |
| 15 | 369 | 367.59810671716 | 368.166666666667 | 0.998455699548646 | 1.00381365751679 |
| 16 | 363 | 366.262147847889 | 367.208333333333 | 0.99742330061833 | 0.991093407093643 |
| 17 | 357 | 358.637221767107 | 366.083333333333 | 0.979660064012128 | 0.995434880520657 |
| 18 | 366 | 351.793341408625 | 364.875 | 0.964147561243234 | 1.04038353464704 |
| 19 | 362 | 344.770573453252 | 363.875 | 0.947497281905193 | 1.04997359946986 |
| 20 | 366 | 346.778819471534 | 362.833333333333 | 0.955752373371247 | 1.05542778119424 |
| 21 | 361 | 351.545163911721 | 361.375 | 0.972798793252775 | 1.02689508222236 |
| 22 | 362 | 358.737179472906 | 359.75 | 0.997184654545953 | 1.00909529514584 |
| 23 | 358 | 357.603574380198 | 357.958333333333 | 0.99900893785645 | 1.00110856168171 |
| 24 | 363 | 376.239730286051 | 355.541666666667 | 1.05821557797553 | 0.964810387579257 |
| 25 | 360 | 381.874157602998 | 352.541666666667 | 1.08320290538612 | 0.942718937200932 |
| 26 | 360 | 365.587118497252 | 349.291666666667 | 1.04665285028439 | 0.984717408752754 |
| 27 | 348 | 345.923297572791 | 346.458333333333 | 0.998455699548646 | 1.00600336098141 |
| 28 | 345 | 343.321411933668 | 344.208333333333 | 0.99742330061833 | 1.00488926122282 |
| 29 | 332 | 335.288656908151 | 342.25 | 0.979660064012128 | 0.990191565266546 |
| 30 | 333 | 328.051207713010 | 340.25 | 0.964147561243234 | 1.01508542620980 |
| 31 | 323 | 320.688350871495 | 338.458333333333 | 0.947497281905193 | 1.00720839756799 |
| 32 | 327 | 321.889434748325 | 336.791666666667 | 0.955752373371247 | 1.01587677227018 |
| 33 | 332 | 325.806529173575 | 334.916666666667 | 0.972798793252775 | 1.0190096584072 |
| 34 | 337 | 332.062489963802 | 333 | 0.997184654545953 | 1.01486921945546 |
| 35 | 336 | 330.713583802895 | 331.041666666667 | 0.99900893785645 | 1.01598487771901 |
| 36 | 337 | 347.932463575206 | 328.791666666667 | 1.05821557797553 | 0.968578776861267 |
| 37 | 343 | 353.394947882222 | 326.25 | 1.08320290538612 | 0.97058546551241 |
| 38 | 337 | 338.417754925286 | 323.333333333333 | 1.04665285028439 | 0.995810636691922 |
| 39 | 326 | 319.505823855567 | 320 | 0.998455699548646 | 1.02032568942270 |
| 40 | 321 | 315.642915341509 | 316.458333333333 | 0.99742330061833 | 1.01697197813768 |
| 41 | 309 | 306.266227511792 | 312.625 | 0.979660064012128 | 1.00892613106714 |
| 42 | 302 | 298.122460499418 | 309.208333333333 | 0.964147561243234 | 1.01300653259766 |
| 43 | 293 | 290.289479743703 | 306.375 | 0.947497281905193 | 1.00933730102341 |
| 44 | 287 | 289.831907224831 | 303.25 | 0.955752373371247 | 0.990229139186411 |
| 45 | 292 | 291.272172013102 | 299.416666666667 | 0.972798793252775 | 1.00249878998693 |
| 46 | 292 | 294.12792373045 | 294.958333333333 | 0.997184654545953 | 0.99276531210141 |
| 47 | 289 | 290.128845702477 | 290.416666666667 | 0.99900893785645 | 0.996109157296152 |
| 48 | 302 | 302.429193722258 | 285.791666666667 | 1.05821557797553 | 0.998580845595708 |
| 49 | 310 | 303.928681869589 | 280.583333333333 | 1.08320290538612 | 1.01997612760028 |
| 50 | 295 | 288.134807576207 | 275.291666666667 | 1.04665285028439 | 1.02382632102502 |
| 51 | 276 | 269.583038878135 | 270 | 0.998455699548646 | 1.02380328209286 |
| 52 | 264 | 263.943140926126 | 264.625 | 0.99742330061833 | 1.00021542167633 |
| 53 | 257 | 254.017690764478 | 259.291666666667 | 0.979660064012128 | 1.01174055722870 |
| 54 | 243 | 244.893480555781 | 254 | 0.964147561243234 | 0.992268146332502 |
| 55 | 227 | 235.610990767091 | 248.666666666667 | 0.947497281905193 | 0.963452508140406 |
| 56 | 226 | 232.28764974477 | 243.041666666667 | 0.955752373371247 | 0.972931622702805 |
| 57 | 226 | 230.877580265325 | 237.333333333333 | 0.972798793252775 | 0.97887373793627 |
| 58 | 229 | 231.139093051631 | 231.791666666667 | 0.997184654545953 | 0.990745429414864 |
| 59 | 224 | 226.192273679664 | 226.416666666667 | 0.99900893785645 | 0.990307919700347 |
| 60 | 240 | 233.997919679840 | 221.125 | 1.05821557797553 | 1.02565014393449 |
| 61 | 244 | 233.971827563402 | 216 | 1.08320290538612 | 1.04286059796614 |
| 62 | 226 | 220.756530339149 | 210.916666666667 | 1.04665285028439 | 1.02375227429420 |
| 63 | 208 | 205.515464823763 | 205.833333333333 | 0.998455699548646 | 1.01208928573024 |
| 64 | 199 | 200.482083424284 | 201 | 0.99742330061833 | 0.992607402123073 |
| 65 | 193 | 192.380745070382 | 196.375 | 0.979660064012128 | 1.00321890285533 |
| 66 | 180 | 185.156504573753 | 192.041666666667 | 0.964147561243234 | 0.97215056211164 |
| 67 | 167 | 178.011051837938 | 187.875 | 0.947497281905193 | 0.938143998789678 |
| 68 | 164 | 175.141622420281 | 183.25 | 0.955752373371247 | 0.936385067887832 |
| 69 | 166 | 173.198718482046 | 178.041666666667 | 0.972798793252775 | 0.95843665273544 |
| 70 | 173 | 172.679142678874 | 173.166666666667 | 0.997184654545953 | 1.0018581127758 |
| 71 | 169 | 168.582758263276 | 168.75 | 0.99900893785645 | 1.00247499650037 |
| 72 | 191 | 173.944185629728 | 164.375 | 1.05821557797553 | 1.09805337446909 |
| 73 | 193 | 173.402731770561 | 160.083333333333 | 1.08320290538612 | 1.11301591404782 |
| 74 | 166 | 162.841739290080 | 155.583333333333 | 1.04665285028439 | 1.01939466333195 |
| 75 | 143 | 150.517196706958 | 150.75 | 0.998455699548646 | 0.950057555738341 |
| 76 | 147 | 145.499123977699 | 145.875 | 0.99742330061833 | 1.01031536122878 |
| 77 | 139 | 138.091249856376 | 140.958333333333 | 0.979660064012128 | 1.00658079454396 |
| 78 | 129 | 131.204413959183 | 136.083333333333 | 0.964147561243234 | 0.983198629583687 |
| 79 | 115 | NA | NA | 0.947497281905193 | NA |
| 80 | 108 | NA | NA | 0.955752373371247 | NA |
| 81 | 106 | NA | NA | 0.972798793252775 | NA |
| 82 | 116 | NA | NA | 0.997184654545953 | NA |
| 83 | 108 | NA | NA | 0.99900893785645 | NA |
| 84 | 135 | NA | NA | 1.05821557797553 | NA |
