Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 376 | NA | NA | 18.6950231481481 | NA |
2 | 375 | NA | NA | 11.7991898148148 | NA |
3 | 374 | NA | NA | 0.820023148148155 | NA |
4 | 372 | NA | NA | -0.707754629629636 | NA |
5 | 370 | NA | NA | -5.74247685185185 | NA |
6 | 369 | NA | NA | -7.8883101851852 | NA |
7 | 370 | 359.333912037037 | 372.625 | -13.291087962963 | 10.6660879629629 |
8 | 372 | 361.806134259259 | 372.375 | -10.5688657407407 | 10.1938657407408 |
9 | 373 | 365.945023148148 | 372.125 | -6.17997685185184 | 7.0549768518519 |
10 | 373 | 371.195023148148 | 371.541666666667 | -0.346643518518512 | 1.8049768518519 |
11 | 374 | 370.778356481481 | 370.625 | 0.153356481481478 | 3.22164351851853 |
12 | 376 | 383.215856481481 | 369.958333333333 | 13.2575231481482 | -7.21585648148141 |
13 | 371 | 388.195023148148 | 369.5 | 18.6950231481481 | -17.1950231481481 |
14 | 374 | 380.715856481481 | 368.916666666667 | 11.7991898148148 | -6.71585648148147 |
15 | 369 | 368.986689814815 | 368.166666666667 | 0.820023148148155 | 0.0133101851852189 |
16 | 363 | 366.500578703704 | 367.208333333333 | -0.707754629629636 | -3.50057870370375 |
17 | 357 | 360.340856481481 | 366.083333333333 | -5.74247685185185 | -3.34085648148147 |
18 | 366 | 356.986689814815 | 364.875 | -7.8883101851852 | 9.01331018518516 |
19 | 362 | 350.583912037037 | 363.875 | -13.291087962963 | 11.416087962963 |
20 | 366 | 352.264467592593 | 362.833333333333 | -10.5688657407407 | 13.7355324074074 |
21 | 361 | 355.195023148148 | 361.375 | -6.17997685185184 | 5.80497685185185 |
22 | 362 | 359.403356481481 | 359.75 | -0.346643518518512 | 2.59664351851853 |
23 | 358 | 358.111689814815 | 357.958333333333 | 0.153356481481478 | -0.111689814814781 |
24 | 363 | 368.799189814815 | 355.541666666667 | 13.2575231481482 | -5.79918981481484 |
25 | 360 | 371.236689814815 | 352.541666666667 | 18.6950231481481 | -11.2366898148148 |
26 | 360 | 361.090856481481 | 349.291666666667 | 11.7991898148148 | -1.09085648148147 |
27 | 348 | 347.278356481481 | 346.458333333333 | 0.820023148148155 | 0.721643518518533 |
28 | 345 | 343.500578703704 | 344.208333333333 | -0.707754629629636 | 1.49942129629636 |
29 | 332 | 336.507523148148 | 342.25 | -5.74247685185185 | -4.50752314814815 |
30 | 333 | 332.361689814815 | 340.25 | -7.8883101851852 | 0.638310185185219 |
31 | 323 | 325.16724537037 | 338.458333333333 | -13.291087962963 | -2.16724537037032 |
32 | 327 | 326.222800925926 | 336.791666666667 | -10.5688657407407 | 0.777199074074133 |
33 | 332 | 328.736689814815 | 334.916666666667 | -6.17997685185184 | 3.26331018518516 |
34 | 337 | 332.653356481481 | 333 | -0.346643518518512 | 4.34664351851853 |
35 | 336 | 331.195023148148 | 331.041666666667 | 0.153356481481478 | 4.8049768518519 |
36 | 337 | 342.049189814815 | 328.791666666667 | 13.2575231481482 | -5.04918981481484 |
37 | 343 | 344.945023148148 | 326.25 | 18.6950231481481 | -1.94502314814815 |
38 | 337 | 335.132523148148 | 323.333333333333 | 11.7991898148148 | 1.86747685185179 |
39 | 326 | 320.820023148148 | 320 | 0.820023148148155 | 5.17997685185185 |
40 | 321 | 315.750578703704 | 316.458333333333 | -0.707754629629636 | 5.24942129629625 |
41 | 309 | 306.882523148148 | 312.625 | -5.74247685185185 | 2.1174768518519 |
42 | 302 | 301.320023148148 | 309.208333333333 | -7.8883101851852 | 0.679976851851904 |
43 | 293 | 293.083912037037 | 306.375 | -13.291087962963 | -0.0839120370369528 |
44 | 287 | 292.681134259259 | 303.25 | -10.5688657407407 | -5.68113425925924 |
45 | 292 | 293.236689814815 | 299.416666666667 | -6.17997685185184 | -1.23668981481472 |
46 | 292 | 294.611689814815 | 294.958333333333 | -0.346643518518512 | -2.61168981481478 |
47 | 289 | 290.570023148148 | 290.416666666667 | 0.153356481481478 | -1.57002314814815 |
48 | 302 | 299.049189814815 | 285.791666666667 | 13.2575231481482 | 2.95081018518522 |
49 | 310 | 299.278356481481 | 280.583333333333 | 18.6950231481481 | 10.7216435185185 |
50 | 295 | 287.090856481482 | 275.291666666667 | 11.7991898148148 | 7.90914351851848 |
51 | 276 | 270.820023148148 | 270 | 0.820023148148155 | 5.17997685185185 |
52 | 264 | 263.91724537037 | 264.625 | -0.707754629629636 | 0.0827546296296191 |
53 | 257 | 253.549189814815 | 259.291666666667 | -5.74247685185185 | 3.45081018518516 |
54 | 243 | 246.111689814815 | 254 | -7.8883101851852 | -3.11168981481481 |
55 | 227 | 235.375578703704 | 248.666666666667 | -13.291087962963 | -8.37557870370367 |
56 | 226 | 232.472800925926 | 243.041666666667 | -10.5688657407407 | -6.4728009259259 |
57 | 226 | 231.153356481481 | 237.333333333333 | -6.17997685185184 | -5.15335648148147 |
58 | 229 | 231.445023148148 | 231.791666666667 | -0.346643518518512 | -2.44502314814812 |
59 | 224 | 226.570023148148 | 226.416666666667 | 0.153356481481478 | -2.57002314814815 |
60 | 240 | 234.382523148148 | 221.125 | 13.2575231481482 | 5.61747685185185 |
61 | 244 | 234.695023148148 | 216 | 18.6950231481481 | 9.30497685185182 |
62 | 226 | 222.715856481481 | 210.916666666667 | 11.7991898148148 | 3.28414351851856 |
63 | 208 | 206.653356481481 | 205.833333333333 | 0.820023148148155 | 1.34664351851853 |
64 | 199 | 200.29224537037 | 201 | -0.707754629629636 | -1.29224537037032 |
65 | 193 | 190.632523148148 | 196.375 | -5.74247685185185 | 2.36747685185185 |
66 | 180 | 184.153356481481 | 192.041666666667 | -7.8883101851852 | -4.15335648148147 |
67 | 167 | 174.583912037037 | 187.875 | -13.291087962963 | -7.58391203703704 |
68 | 164 | 172.681134259259 | 183.25 | -10.5688657407407 | -8.6811342592593 |
69 | 166 | 171.861689814815 | 178.041666666667 | -6.17997685185184 | -5.86168981481484 |
70 | 173 | 172.820023148148 | 173.166666666667 | -0.346643518518512 | 0.179976851851848 |
71 | 169 | 168.903356481481 | 168.75 | 0.153356481481478 | 0.0966435185185617 |
72 | 191 | 177.632523148148 | 164.375 | 13.2575231481482 | 13.3674768518519 |
73 | 193 | 178.778356481481 | 160.083333333333 | 18.6950231481481 | 14.2216435185185 |
74 | 166 | 167.382523148148 | 155.583333333333 | 11.7991898148148 | -1.38252314814815 |
75 | 143 | 151.570023148148 | 150.75 | 0.820023148148155 | -8.57002314814812 |
76 | 147 | 145.16724537037 | 145.875 | -0.707754629629636 | 1.83275462962965 |
77 | 139 | 135.215856481481 | 140.958333333333 | -5.74247685185185 | 3.78414351851853 |
78 | 129 | 128.195023148148 | 136.083333333333 | -7.8883101851852 | 0.804976851851848 |
79 | 115 | NA | NA | -13.291087962963 | NA |
80 | 108 | NA | NA | -10.5688657407407 | NA |
81 | 106 | NA | NA | -6.17997685185184 | NA |
82 | 116 | NA | NA | -0.346643518518512 | NA |
83 | 108 | NA | NA | 0.153356481481478 | NA |
84 | 135 | NA | NA | 13.2575231481482 | NA |