| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 408 | NA | NA | 9.84664351851853 | NA |
| 2 | 407 | NA | NA | 2.33275462962965 | NA |
| 3 | 406 | NA | NA | -1.55613425925924 | NA |
| 4 | 404 | NA | NA | -1.05613425925926 | NA |
| 5 | 402 | NA | NA | 6.49247685185187 | NA |
| 6 | 401 | NA | NA | 5.9369212962963 | NA |
| 7 | 402 | 403.950810185185 | 404.708333333333 | -0.757523148148149 | -1.95081018518516 |
| 8 | 404 | 396.138310185185 | 404.291666666667 | -8.15335648148151 | 7.8616898148149 |
| 9 | 405 | 394.95775462963 | 403.833333333333 | -8.87557870370374 | 10.0422453703704 |
| 10 | 405 | 397.596643518519 | 403.666666666667 | -6.07002314814816 | 7.40335648148147 |
| 11 | 406 | 400.610532407407 | 404 | -3.38946759259259 | 5.38946759259261 |
| 12 | 408 | 409.624421296296 | 404.375 | 5.2494212962963 | -1.62442129629630 |
| 13 | 405 | 414.179976851852 | 404.333333333333 | 9.84664351851853 | -9.17997685185185 |
| 14 | 400 | 406.08275462963 | 403.75 | 2.33275462962965 | -6.08275462962956 |
| 15 | 402 | 401.068865740741 | 402.625 | -1.55613425925924 | 0.931134259259295 |
| 16 | 404 | 400.610532407407 | 401.666666666667 | -1.05613425925926 | 3.38946759259261 |
| 17 | 410 | 407.325810185185 | 400.833333333333 | 6.49247685185187 | 2.67418981481484 |
| 18 | 402 | 405.811921296296 | 399.875 | 5.9369212962963 | -3.81192129629625 |
| 19 | 400 | 398.450810185185 | 399.208333333333 | -0.757523148148149 | 1.54918981481484 |
| 20 | 392 | 390.638310185185 | 398.791666666667 | -8.15335648148151 | 1.36168981481484 |
| 21 | 390 | 389.249421296296 | 398.125 | -8.87557870370374 | 0.750578703703752 |
| 22 | 397 | 391.096643518518 | 397.166666666667 | -6.07002314814816 | 5.90335648148152 |
| 23 | 394 | 392.652199074074 | 396.041666666667 | -3.38946759259259 | 1.34780092592604 |
| 24 | 397 | 399.999421296296 | 394.75 | 5.2494212962963 | -2.99942129629625 |
| 25 | 400 | 403.304976851852 | 393.458333333333 | 9.84664351851853 | -3.30497685185185 |
| 26 | 395 | 394.332754629630 | 392 | 2.33275462962965 | 0.667245370370495 |
| 27 | 391 | 388.652199074074 | 390.208333333333 | -1.55613425925924 | 2.34780092592598 |
| 28 | 392 | 386.818865740741 | 387.875 | -1.05613425925926 | 5.1811342592593 |
| 29 | 395 | 391.742476851852 | 385.25 | 6.49247685185187 | 3.25752314814821 |
| 30 | 386 | 388.728587962963 | 382.791666666667 | 5.9369212962963 | -2.72858796296293 |
| 31 | 385 | 379.575810185185 | 380.333333333333 | -0.757523148148149 | 5.42418981481484 |
| 32 | 372 | 369.346643518518 | 377.5 | -8.15335648148151 | 2.65335648148152 |
| 33 | 367 | 365.332754629630 | 374.208333333333 | -8.87557870370374 | 1.66724537037032 |
| 34 | 364 | 364.804976851852 | 370.875 | -6.07002314814816 | -0.804976851851848 |
| 35 | 364 | 364.110532407407 | 367.5 | -3.38946759259259 | -0.110532407407391 |
| 36 | 368 | 369.416087962963 | 364.166666666667 | 5.2494212962963 | -1.41608796296293 |
| 37 | 370 | 370.429976851852 | 360.583333333333 | 9.84664351851853 | -0.429976851851848 |
| 38 | 357 | 358.832754629630 | 356.5 | 2.33275462962965 | -1.83275462962956 |
| 39 | 350 | 350.693865740741 | 352.25 | -1.55613425925924 | -0.693865740740705 |
| 40 | 353 | 347.027199074074 | 348.083333333333 | -1.05613425925926 | 5.97280092592592 |
| 41 | 353 | 350.617476851852 | 344.125 | 6.49247685185187 | 2.38252314814821 |
| 42 | 348 | 346.353587962963 | 340.416666666667 | 5.9369212962963 | 1.64641203703707 |
| 43 | 337 | 336.200810185185 | 336.958333333333 | -0.757523148148149 | 0.799189814814781 |
| 44 | 322 | 325.138310185185 | 333.291666666667 | -8.15335648148151 | -3.13831018518522 |
| 45 | 315 | 320.416087962963 | 329.291666666667 | -8.87557870370374 | -5.41608796296293 |
| 46 | 316 | 318.929976851852 | 325 | -6.07002314814816 | -2.92997685185185 |
| 47 | 317 | 317.152199074074 | 320.541666666667 | -3.38946759259259 | -0.152199074074019 |
| 48 | 326 | 321.374421296296 | 316.125 | 5.2494212962963 | 4.62557870370375 |
| 49 | 329 | 321.138310185185 | 311.291666666667 | 9.84664351851853 | 7.86168981481484 |
| 50 | 310 | 308.332754629630 | 306 | 2.33275462962965 | 1.66724537037038 |
| 51 | 301 | 299.068865740741 | 300.625 | -1.55613425925924 | 1.93113425925924 |
| 52 | 299 | 293.985532407407 | 295.041666666667 | -1.05613425925926 | 5.01446759259255 |
| 53 | 300 | 295.784143518518 | 289.291666666667 | 6.49247685185187 | 4.21585648148152 |
| 54 | 295 | 289.436921296296 | 283.5 | 5.9369212962963 | 5.56307870370370 |
| 55 | 274 | 276.659143518518 | 277.416666666667 | -0.757523148148149 | -2.65914351851848 |
| 56 | 258 | 263.054976851852 | 271.208333333333 | -8.15335648148151 | -5.05497685185185 |
| 57 | 250 | 256.124421296296 | 265 | -8.87557870370374 | -6.12442129629625 |
| 58 | 247 | 252.221643518519 | 258.291666666667 | -6.07002314814816 | -5.22164351851853 |
| 59 | 248 | 248.068865740741 | 251.458333333333 | -3.38946759259259 | -0.0688657407407618 |
| 60 | 256 | 250.332754629630 | 245.083333333333 | 5.2494212962963 | 5.66724537037035 |
| 61 | 253 | 249.054976851852 | 239.208333333333 | 9.84664351851853 | 3.94502314814815 |
| 62 | 237 | 236.082754629630 | 233.75 | 2.33275462962965 | 0.917245370370324 |
| 63 | 225 | 227.068865740741 | 228.625 | -1.55613425925924 | -2.06886574074076 |
| 64 | 214 | 222.527199074074 | 223.583333333333 | -1.05613425925926 | -8.52719907407405 |
| 65 | 221 | 224.659143518519 | 218.166666666667 | 6.49247685185187 | -3.65914351851853 |
| 66 | 221 | 218.311921296296 | 212.375 | 5.9369212962963 | 2.68807870370370 |
| 67 | 207 | 205.992476851852 | 206.75 | -0.757523148148149 | 1.00752314814818 |
| 68 | 194 | 193.513310185185 | 201.666666666667 | -8.15335648148151 | 0.486689814814866 |
| 69 | 191 | 187.749421296296 | 196.625 | -8.87557870370374 | 3.25057870370375 |
| 70 | 185 | 185.179976851852 | 191.25 | -6.07002314814816 | -0.179976851851819 |
| 71 | 180 | 182.235532407407 | 185.625 | -3.38946759259259 | -2.23553240740742 |
| 72 | 185 | 185.082754629630 | 179.833333333333 | 5.2494212962963 | -0.0827546296296475 |
| 73 | 189 | 183.721643518519 | 173.875 | 9.84664351851853 | 5.2783564814815 |
| 74 | 179 | 170.166087962963 | 167.833333333333 | 2.33275462962965 | 8.83391203703701 |
| 75 | 162 | 160.277199074074 | 161.833333333333 | -1.55613425925924 | 1.72280092592590 |
| 76 | 148 | 154.860532407407 | 155.916666666667 | -1.05613425925926 | -6.86053240740742 |
| 77 | 152 | 156.700810185185 | 150.208333333333 | 6.49247685185187 | -4.70081018518519 |
| 78 | 151 | 150.186921296296 | 144.25 | 5.9369212962963 | 0.813078703703695 |
| 79 | 134 | NA | NA | -0.757523148148149 | NA |
| 80 | 122 | NA | NA | -8.15335648148151 | NA |
| 81 | 119 | NA | NA | -8.87557870370374 | NA |
| 82 | 115 | NA | NA | -6.07002314814816 | NA |
| 83 | 113 | NA | NA | -3.38946759259259 | NA |
| 84 | 109 | NA | NA | 5.2494212962963 | NA |
