| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 3.42 | NA | NA | 0.989694259333962 | NA |
| 2 | 3.42 | NA | NA | 0.9997938720852 | NA |
| 3 | 3.43 | NA | NA | 1.00325296587264 | NA |
| 4 | 3.47 | NA | NA | 1.00075703241194 | NA |
| 5 | 3.51 | NA | NA | 1.00000958178297 | NA |
| 6 | 3.52 | NA | NA | 1.00500957163150 | NA |
| 7 | 3.52 | 3.51910567592285 | 3.495 | 1.00689718910525 | 1.00025413390773 |
| 8 | 3.52 | 3.51766826638936 | 3.50333333333333 | 1.00409179820819 | 1.00066286341805 |
| 9 | 3.52 | 3.52575450960129 | 3.51375 | 1.00341643816472 | 0.998367864357652 |
| 10 | 3.52 | 3.52438869190413 | 3.52541666666667 | 0.999708410420744 | 0.998754765070545 |
| 11 | 3.52 | 3.51965339361635 | 3.535 | 0.995658668632631 | 1.00009847741947 |
| 12 | 3.52 | 3.51354663983927 | 3.54291666666667 | 0.991710212350258 | 1.00183670826724 |
| 13 | 3.52 | 3.51382699324362 | 3.55041666666667 | 0.989694259333962 | 1.00175677595062 |
| 14 | 3.52 | 3.5580164422832 | 3.55875 | 0.9997938720852 | 0.989315270769573 |
| 15 | 3.58 | 3.58161308816531 | 3.57 | 1.00325296587264 | 0.999549619647459 |
| 16 | 3.6 | 3.58646301490628 | 3.58375 | 1.00075703241194 | 1.00377446666464 |
| 17 | 3.61 | 3.59795114112332 | 3.59791666666667 | 1.00000958178297 | 1.00334881114392 |
| 18 | 3.61 | 3.6301783235306 | 3.61208333333333 | 1.00500957163150 | 0.994441506247831 |
| 19 | 3.61 | 3.65126093199291 | 3.62625 | 1.00689718910525 | 0.98869953893698 |
| 20 | 3.63 | 3.6553125170604 | 3.64041666666667 | 1.00409179820819 | 0.993075142838742 |
| 21 | 3.68 | 3.66456045021408 | 3.65208333333333 | 1.00341643816472 | 1.00421320646655 |
| 22 | 3.69 | 3.65934932731093 | 3.66041666666667 | 0.999708410420744 | 1.00837598981336 |
| 23 | 3.69 | 3.65157816721018 | 3.6675 | 0.995658668632631 | 1.01052198009475 |
| 24 | 3.69 | 3.64742751850655 | 3.67791666666667 | 0.991710212350258 | 1.01167191980579 |
| 25 | 3.69 | 3.65444605259066 | 3.6925 | 0.989694259333962 | 1.00972895670033 |
| 26 | 3.69 | 3.70590261919580 | 3.70666666666667 | 0.9997938720852 | 0.995708840509345 |
| 27 | 3.69 | 3.73042894476975 | 3.71833333333333 | 1.00325296587264 | 0.989162387122683 |
| 28 | 3.69 | 3.73073882041234 | 3.72791666666667 | 1.00075703241194 | 0.98908022716856 |
| 29 | 3.69 | 3.73711914125479 | 3.73708333333333 | 1.00000958178297 | 0.987391587082512 |
| 30 | 3.78 | 3.7650171077245 | 3.74625 | 1.00500957163150 | 1.00397950177830 |
| 31 | 3.79 | 3.78173802608113 | 3.75583333333333 | 1.00689718910525 | 1.00218470286992 |
| 32 | 3.79 | 3.78709956557523 | 3.77166666666667 | 1.00409179820819 | 1.00076587223931 |
| 33 | 3.8 | 3.80796538283512 | 3.795 | 1.00341643816472 | 0.997908231290383 |
| 34 | 3.8 | 3.81930267297825 | 3.82041666666667 | 0.999708410420744 | 0.99494602166128 |
| 35 | 3.8 | 3.83204130089984 | 3.84875 | 0.995658668632631 | 0.99163858153295 |
| 36 | 3.8 | 3.847835623919 | 3.88 | 0.991710212350258 | 0.987568173748992 |
| 37 | 3.81 | 3.87217878964412 | 3.9125 | 0.989694259333962 | 0.983942169764883 |
| 38 | 3.95 | 3.94543656771621 | 3.94625 | 0.9997938720852 | 1.00115663557263 |
| 39 | 3.99 | 3.99294680417309 | 3.98 | 1.00325296587264 | 0.999261997637932 |
| 40 | 4 | 4.01637155674657 | 4.01333333333333 | 1.00075703241194 | 0.995923794271704 |
| 41 | 4.06 | 4.04670544094843 | 4.04666666666667 | 1.00000958178297 | 1.00328527965417 |
| 42 | 4.16 | 4.10043905225651 | 4.08 | 1.00500957163150 | 1.01452550494824 |
| 43 | 4.19 | 4.14254285217718 | 4.11416666666667 | 1.00689718910525 | 1.01145604270524 |
| 44 | 4.2 | 4.16656259098141 | 4.14958333333333 | 1.00409179820819 | 1.00802517861869 |
| 45 | 4.2 | 4.2001339740845 | 4.18583333333333 | 1.00341643816472 | 0.999968102425941 |
| 46 | 4.2 | 4.22126876300159 | 4.2225 | 0.999708410420744 | 0.994961523609203 |
| 47 | 4.2 | 4.23818706614623 | 4.25666666666667 | 0.995658668632631 | 0.99098976388955 |
| 48 | 4.2 | 4.2486518347439 | 4.28416666666667 | 0.991710212350258 | 0.988548876999983 |
| 49 | 4.23 | 4.26187090425687 | 4.30625 | 0.989694259333962 | 0.992521851324722 |
| 50 | 4.38 | 4.32577481988863 | 4.32666666666667 | 0.9997938720852 | 1.01253536819856 |
| 51 | 4.43 | 4.36122424706217 | 4.34708333333333 | 1.00325296587264 | 1.01576982724155 |
| 52 | 4.44 | 4.37122332115597 | 4.36791666666667 | 1.00075703241194 | 1.01573396593836 |
| 53 | 4.44 | 4.38879205205003 | 4.38875 | 1.00000958178297 | 1.01166789115152 |
| 54 | 4.44 | 4.43167345690672 | 4.40958333333333 | 1.00500957163150 | 1.00187887107980 |
| 55 | 4.44 | 4.45971546674533 | 4.42916666666667 | 1.00689718910525 | 0.995579209729333 |
| 56 | 4.44 | 4.45942269879213 | 4.44125 | 1.00409179820819 | 0.99564457103441 |
| 57 | 4.45 | 4.46018606764219 | 4.445 | 1.00341643816472 | 0.997716223608678 |
| 58 | 4.45 | 4.44495351983324 | 4.44625 | 0.999708410420744 | 1.00113532799483 |
| 59 | 4.45 | 4.42819192874363 | 4.4475 | 0.995658668632631 | 1.00492482521248 |
| 60 | 4.45 | 4.41228401978169 | 4.44916666666667 | 0.991710212350258 | 1.0085479493272 |
| 61 | 4.45 | 4.40496419925224 | 4.45083333333333 | 0.989694259333962 | 1.01022387440865 |
| 62 | 4.45 | 4.45241537701942 | 4.45333333333333 | 0.9997938720852 | 0.999457513099095 |
| 63 | 4.45 | 4.47492624986107 | 4.46041666666667 | 1.00325296587264 | 0.994429796499585 |
| 64 | 4.45 | 4.47838772004342 | 4.475 | 1.00075703241194 | 0.993661174105947 |
| 65 | 4.46 | 4.49379305813724 | 4.49375 | 1.00000958178297 | 0.992480059117086 |
| 66 | 4.46 | 4.53552444597531 | 4.51291666666667 | 1.00500957163150 | 0.98334824409505 |
| 67 | 4.46 | NA | NA | 1.00689718910525 | NA |
| 68 | 4.48 | NA | NA | 1.00409179820819 | NA |
| 69 | 4.58 | NA | NA | 1.00341643816472 | NA |
| 70 | 4.67 | NA | NA | 0.999708410420744 | NA |
| 71 | 4.68 | NA | NA | 0.995658668632631 | NA |
| 72 | 4.68 | NA | NA | 0.991710212350258 | NA |
