Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.886472179761465
beta0.0337932685980229
gamma0


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
30.590.580.01
40.60.5891642897223680.0108357102776319
50.60.5993940164803080.00060598351969221
60.610.6005735283833150.00942647161668464
70.620.609854544450220.0101454555497803
80.610.620076845077982-0.0100768450779816
90.620.6120707688316520.00792923116834776
100.620.620264112576957-0.000264112576957021
110.620.621186373067169-0.00118637306716851
120.630.6212555353585430.00874446464145717
130.630.630390065112912-0.000390065112912064
140.630.63141540326519-0.00141540326519018
150.630.631489406728742-0.00148940672874154
160.630.631453190332364-0.00145319033236435
170.630.631405545842613-0.00140554584261288
180.630.631358031222423-0.00135803122242328
190.630.631311954731659-0.00131195473165857
200.640.6312674218124640.00873257818753559
210.630.640388687917373-0.0103886879173729
220.630.632248271810432-0.00224827181043219
230.630.631256757101923-0.00125675710192319
240.630.631106544186638-0.00110654418663758
250.630.63105634232723-0.00105634232722962
260.640.6310189983916790.00898100160832072
270.650.6401485226150930.009851477384907
280.650.650344818061202-0.000344818061202123
290.650.651492051614606-0.00149205161460575
300.650.651577597458647-0.00157759745864694
310.650.651540049532173-0.00154004953217313
320.660.6514896518536890.00851034814631113
330.650.660603594846032-0.0106035948460322
340.660.6524559094398210.0075440905601788
350.660.660621639028606-0.000621639028606125
360.660.661530054198104-0.00153005419810348
370.660.66158734907608-0.00158734907607960
380.680.6615463017518290.018453698248171
390.690.6798238989426330.0101761010573672
400.70.6910684798561010.00893152014389886
410.710.7014773341097580.00852266589024209
420.710.711779062175382-0.00177906217538160
430.70.712895299910973-0.0128952999109733
440.70.703771000327008-0.00377100032700795
450.70.702622171409816-0.00262217140981624
460.70.702413195522262-0.00241319552226182
470.710.7023171793478020.0076828206521975
480.70.711401153302326-0.0114011533023264
490.70.703226173283415-0.00322617328341501
500.70.702201439817833-0.00220143981783349
510.690.702019155985391-0.0120191559853908
520.70.6927736845400310.00722631545996899
530.690.700805265349972-0.0108052653499719
540.690.692528660323049-0.00252866032304933
550.690.691513284842829-0.00151328484282931
560.70.6913526783178440.00864732168215643
570.70.70045821282786-0.000458212827860405
580.710.7014782177262960.00852178227370437
590.710.710714023719756-0.000714023719755819
600.710.711741154781944-0.00174115478194403
610.720.7118056033200630.0081943966799366
620.730.720923119660530.00907688033947007
630.740.731094847434920.00890515256507995
640.740.741381113122175-0.00138111312217459
650.740.742507516724857-0.00250751672485694
660.740.742560277712423-0.0025602777124234
670.750.7424895698442250.00751043015577502
680.750.751571252729267-0.00157125272926661
690.760.7525552066993660.00744479330063397
700.760.76175465677435-0.00175465677435016
710.760.762746486399902-0.00274648639990160
720.760.76277681073222-0.00277681073222025
730.760.76269706904472-0.00269706904472
740.770.7626072206070920.00739277939290839
750.770.77168320606552-0.00168320606551986
760.780.7726631594563340.00733684054366612
770.780.781858921435934-0.00185892143593436
780.780.782847208925227-0.00284720892522661
790.780.782874113802748-0.00287411380274794
800.780.782791069024107-0.00279106902410720
810.780.782698029655867-0.00269802965586652
820.780.7826066427847-0.00260664278470057
830.80.782518181175460.0174818188245400
840.80.800761281135636-0.000761281135635894
850.80.802809574967513-0.00280957496751277
860.810.8029579474472080.007042052552792
870.810.81205047095595-0.00205047095595046
880.810.813021299797461-0.00302129979746135
890.80.813041007428625-0.0130410074286245
900.810.8037878562422090.006212143757791
910.810.811788183856672-0.00178818385667145
920.810.812642875359234-0.00264287535923347
930.80.812660734553821-0.0126607345538209
940.820.8034187652740250.0165812347259753
950.830.8205957088498780.00940429115012165
960.830.831692214008382-0.00169221400838204


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
970.832901282747420.8195255526749470.846277012819892
980.835610452127090.8174675078157440.853753396438437
990.8383196215067610.8161970855819570.860442157431566
1000.8410287908864320.8153392644473210.866718317325543
1010.8437379602661030.8147358386477740.872740081884432
1020.8464471296457740.8143030543572370.87859120493431
1030.8491562990254450.8139905709176230.884322027133266
1040.8518654684051160.8137655374173320.8899653993929
1050.8545746377847860.8136052393118740.895544036257699
1060.8572838071644570.8134932813107580.901074333018157
1070.8599929765441280.8134174305728480.906568522515408
1080.8627021459237990.8133683166938950.912035975153703