Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 1664.81 | NA | NA | 0.474541560006453 | NA |
2 | 2397.53 | NA | NA | 0.604244670194867 | NA |
3 | 2840.71 | NA | NA | 0.982889337904476 | NA |
4 | 3547.29 | NA | NA | 0.656813757195405 | NA |
5 | 3752.96 | NA | NA | 0.674859893085904 | NA |
6 | 3714.74 | NA | NA | 0.679399190357424 | NA |
7 | 4349.61 | 4217.04196136620 | 5421.13333333333 | 0.77788936409967 | 1.03143626263345 |
8 | 3566.34 | 4262.88612094492 | 5572.62125 | 0.764969648878419 | 0.836602221785245 |
9 | 5021.82 | 4906.7924487741 | 5872.00208333333 | 0.835625120553207 | 1.02344251411217 |
10 | 6423.48 | 5628.97648489268 | 6107.13416666667 | 0.921705063500355 | 1.14114528942156 |
11 | 7600.6 | 9247.09928421017 | 6249.07833333333 | 1.47975409987822 | 0.821944240717558 |
12 | 19756.21 | 20111.6147316978 | 6390.1 | 3.14730829434560 | 0.982328384048764 |
13 | 2499.81 | 3092.99288187021 | 6517.85458333333 | 0.474541560006453 | 0.808217184932047 |
14 | 5198.24 | 4014.29518637318 | 6643.49291666667 | 0.604244670194867 | 1.29493217580157 |
15 | 7225.14 | 6597.81873400405 | 6712.67708333333 | 0.982889337904476 | 1.09508010014929 |
16 | 4806.03 | 4405.86508506216 | 6707.93666666667 | 0.656813757195405 | 1.09082550355311 |
17 | 5900.88 | 4650.95385812665 | 6891.7325 | 0.674859893085904 | 1.26874619271686 |
18 | 4951.34 | 5072.4671075385 | 7466.10708333333 | 0.679399190357424 | 0.976120671663206 |
19 | 6179.12 | 6164.42607736116 | 7924.55375 | 0.77788936409967 | 1.00238366434351 |
20 | 4752.15 | 6148.79065783847 | 8037.95375 | 0.764969648878419 | 0.772859292898834 |
21 | 5496.43 | 6829.4150904682 | 8172.82166666666 | 0.835625120553207 | 0.804817092999862 |
22 | 5835.1 | 7657.02295425756 | 8307.45458333333 | 0.921705063500355 | 0.762058574834948 |
23 | 12600.08 | 12360.2139748687 | 8352.88375 | 1.47975409987822 | 1.01940630037789 |
24 | 28541.72 | 26586.9156668105 | 8447.50916666667 | 3.14730829434560 | 1.07352505110737 |
25 | 4717.02 | 4065.04519746698 | 8566.2575 | 0.474541560006453 | 1.16038562201948 |
26 | 5702.63 | 5291.80236006703 | 8757.71458333333 | 0.604244670194867 | 1.07763472858192 |
27 | 9957.58 | 8874.11303805545 | 9028.59833333333 | 0.982889337904476 | 1.12209298634108 |
28 | 5304.78 | 6119.82113180836 | 9317.4375 | 0.656813757195405 | 0.866819452030696 |
29 | 6492.43 | 6468.12884644227 | 9584.4025 | 0.674859893085904 | 1.00375706083392 |
30 | 6630.8 | 6740.11300003194 | 9920.69625 | 0.679399190357424 | 0.983781725910023 |
31 | 7349.62 | 7935.12234791794 | 10200.8366666667 | 0.77788936409967 | 0.926213822264307 |
32 | 8176.62 | 7845.277235125 | 10255.67125 | 0.764969648878419 | 1.04223467889592 |
33 | 8573.17 | 8659.57372351028 | 10362.98875 | 0.835625120553207 | 0.990022173577009 |
34 | 9690.5 | 9687.135195096 | 10510.01625 | 0.921705063500355 | 1.00034734777994 |
35 | 15151.84 | 15686.7542159168 | 10600.9195833333 | 1.47975409987822 | 0.96590026154843 |
36 | 34061.01 | 33588.691776509 | 10672.19625 | 3.14730829434560 | 1.01406182255128 |
37 | 5921.1 | 5091.40108330613 | 10729.0941666667 | 0.474541560006453 | 1.16296082416573 |
38 | 5814.58 | 6497.45527526742 | 10753.0204166667 | 0.604244670194867 | 0.894901119540324 |
39 | 12421.25 | 10541.2837899507 | 10724.7920833333 | 0.982889337904476 | 1.17834319305980 |
40 | 6369.77 | 6997.83334208325 | 10654.2125 | 0.656813757195405 | 0.910248885421973 |
41 | 7609.12 | 7233.657853314 | 10718.755 | 0.674859893085904 | 1.05190488053205 |
42 | 7224.75 | 7248.80266974121 | 10669.4308333333 | 0.679399190357424 | 0.996681842390108 |
43 | 8121.22 | 8136.2456430059 | 10459.3866666667 | 0.77788936409967 | 0.998153246145066 |
44 | 7979.25 | 7987.12683206594 | 10441.1029166667 | 0.764969648878419 | 0.99901380906657 |
45 | 8093.06 | 8650.79652615027 | 10352.485 | 0.835625120553207 | 0.935527725745912 |
46 | 8476.7 | 9529.22292296048 | 10338.69 | 0.921705063500355 | 0.889547874840408 |
47 | 17914.66 | 15518.5024753754 | 10487.2170833333 | 1.47975409987822 | 1.15440649176212 |
48 | 30114.41 | 33543.9055794804 | 10657.96625 | 3.14730829434560 | 0.897760993532657 |
49 | 4826.64 | 5179.05266622668 | 10913.8020833333 | 0.474541560006453 | 0.93195422233784 |
50 | 6470.23 | 6789.18107727692 | 11235.8145833333 | 0.604244670194867 | 0.953020684873992 |
51 | 9638.77 | 11375.9960075705 | 11574.0354166667 | 0.982889337904476 | 0.847290205937628 |
52 | 8821.17 | 7839.38335764463 | 11935.47375 | 0.656813757195405 | 1.12523773842466 |
53 | 8722.37 | 8308.90340402749 | 12312.0420833333 | 0.674859893085904 | 1.04976187300145 |
54 | 10209.48 | 8898.50846044726 | 13097.6141666667 | 0.679399190357424 | 1.14732486296775 |
55 | 11276.55 | 10763.3118873652 | 13836.55875 | 0.77788936409967 | 1.04768403238758 |
56 | 12552.22 | 10781.1399073746 | 14093.5525 | 0.764969648878419 | 1.16427577304826 |
57 | 11637.39 | 12065.8818435743 | 14439.3479166667 | 0.835625120553207 | 0.964487316457315 |
58 | 13606.89 | 13603.9880701016 | 14759.5891666667 | 0.921705063500355 | 1.00021331464593 |
59 | 21822.11 | 22048.7362383567 | 14900.2704166667 | 1.47975409987822 | 0.989721576969004 |
60 | 45060.69 | 47352.4715590151 | 15045.3870833333 | 3.14730829434560 | 0.95160164858219 |
61 | 7615.03 | 7304.34398770277 | 15392.4220833333 | 0.474541560006453 | 1.04253441689223 |
62 | 9849.69 | 9622.86702411178 | 15925.4479166667 | 0.604244670194867 | 1.02357124704310 |
63 | 14558.4 | 16456.9719994651 | 16743.46375 | 0.982889337904476 | 0.884634184251708 |
64 | 11587.33 | 11656.3527857466 | 17746.8158333333 | 0.656813757195405 | 0.994078526361095 |
65 | 9332.56 | 12707.3511221739 | 18829.61375 | 0.674859893085904 | 0.734422139616101 |
66 | 13082.09 | 14204.3811782521 | 20907.2683333333 | 0.679399190357424 | 0.92098978729391 |
67 | 16732.78 | 17504.5743679014 | 22502.6529166667 | 0.77788936409967 | 0.955908989748606 |
68 | 19888.61 | 17342.7885095610 | 22671.21125 | 0.764969648878419 | 1.14679424182769 |
69 | 23933.38 | 19247.0474095281 | 23033.1125 | 0.835625120553207 | 1.24348319463026 |
70 | 25391.35 | 21730.4695930960 | 23576.3808333333 | 0.921705063500355 | 1.16846761599975 |
71 | 36024.8 | 35653.9579723915 | 24094.5154166667 | 1.47975409987822 | 1.01040114614752 |
72 | 80721.71 | 77430.7395922322 | 24602.21 | 3.14730829434560 | 1.04250211770027 |
73 | 10243.24 | 11970.2090224530 | 25224.7854166667 | 0.474541560006453 | 0.855727747175202 |
74 | 11266.88 | 15698.1539203483 | 25979.7970833333 | 0.604244670194867 | 0.717720061681623 |
75 | 21826.84 | 26160.6264381485 | 26616.0445833333 | 0.982889337904476 | 0.834339347783018 |
76 | 17357.33 | 17810.2461312094 | 27116.1283333333 | 0.656813757195405 | 0.97456991173099 |
77 | 15997.79 | 18750.6064573847 | 27784.4433333333 | 0.674859893085904 | 0.853187870822144 |
78 | 18601.53 | 19854.7387261997 | 29223.9658333333 | 0.679399190357424 | 0.936881127297535 |
79 | 26155.15 | NA | NA | 0.77788936409967 | NA |
80 | 28586.52 | NA | NA | 0.764969648878419 | NA |
81 | 30505.41 | NA | NA | 0.835625120553207 | NA |
82 | 30821.33 | NA | NA | 0.921705063500355 | NA |
83 | 46634.38 | NA | NA | 1.47975409987822 | NA |
84 | 104660.67 | NA | NA | 3.14730829434560 | NA |