| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 9721 | NA | NA | 1.01782445591248 | NA |
| 2 | 9897 | NA | NA | 1.00719983532485 | NA |
| 3 | 9828 | NA | NA | 0.982207501903263 | NA |
| 4 | 9924 | NA | NA | 0.99031197129628 | NA |
| 5 | 10371 | NA | NA | 0.968905020750641 | NA |
| 6 | 10846 | NA | NA | 0.969543042112416 | NA |
| 7 | 10413 | 10262.3532614478 | 10370.7083333333 | 0.9895518157099 | 1.01467955104587 |
| 8 | 10709 | 10533.4812626501 | 10435.2916666667 | 1.00940937724789 | 1.01666293725439 |
| 9 | 10662 | 10489.0466811601 | 10475.0416666667 | 1.00133698890554 | 1.01648894547782 |
| 10 | 10570 | 10702.0150828113 | 10519.2916666667 | 1.01737031560059 | 0.987664464889106 |
| 11 | 10297 | 10830.9683872165 | 10548.875 | 1.02674156127706 | 0.95069984805359 |
| 12 | 10635 | 10756.0378869376 | 10549.2916666667 | 1.01959811395909 | 0.988746982094157 |
| 13 | 10872 | 10745.7665120007 | 10557.5833333333 | 1.01782445591248 | 1.01174727627465 |
| 14 | 10296 | 10656.8876909536 | 10580.7083333333 | 1.00719983532485 | 0.966135732925108 |
| 15 | 10383 | 10397.6076898354 | 10585.9583333333 | 0.982207501903263 | 0.998595091268 |
| 16 | 10431 | 10475.1486653828 | 10577.625 | 0.99031197129628 | 0.995785390089144 |
| 17 | 10574 | 10248.8350832451 | 10577.75 | 0.968905020750641 | 1.03172701230079 |
| 18 | 10653 | 10259.0985072323 | 10581.375 | 0.969543042112416 | 1.03839533195729 |
| 19 | 10805 | 10458.2432896327 | 10568.6666666667 | 0.9895518157099 | 1.03315630558251 |
| 20 | 10872 | 10675.6818086699 | 10576.1666666667 | 1.00940937724789 | 1.01838928837038 |
| 21 | 10625 | 10647.7168715270 | 10633.5 | 1.00133698890554 | 0.99786650304463 |
| 22 | 10407 | 10898.1132111434 | 10712.0416666667 | 1.01737031560059 | 0.954935941513143 |
| 23 | 10463 | 11075.1617552069 | 10786.7083333333 | 1.02674156127706 | 0.944726608176253 |
| 24 | 10556 | 11091.0608338827 | 10877.875 | 1.01959811395909 | 0.951757470101678 |
| 25 | 10646 | 11202.3880085344 | 11006.2083333333 | 1.01782445591248 | 0.950333088970804 |
| 26 | 10702 | 11250.2962605991 | 11169.875 | 1.00719983532485 | 0.951263838044925 |
| 27 | 11353 | 11189.9217413707 | 11392.625 | 0.982207501903263 | 1.01457367284584 |
| 28 | 11346 | 11584.4631252299 | 11697.7916666667 | 0.99031197129628 | 0.97941526312855 |
| 29 | 11451 | 11681.4418985100 | 12056.3333333333 | 0.968905020750641 | 0.980272820726063 |
| 30 | 11964 | 12044.5524169090 | 12422.9166666667 | 0.969543042112416 | 0.99331212866026 |
| 31 | 12574 | 12692.61005818 | 12826.625 | 0.9895518157099 | 0.990655187732364 |
| 32 | 13031 | 13440.2858580557 | 13315 | 1.00940937724789 | 0.969547830873671 |
| 33 | 13812 | 13757.4106129477 | 13739.0416666667 | 1.00133698890554 | 1.00396799867272 |
| 34 | 14544 | 14338.8172280747 | 14094 | 1.01737031560059 | 1.01430960229575 |
| 35 | 14931 | 14859.8594927693 | 14472.8333333333 | 1.02674156127706 | 1.00478742798781 |
| 36 | 14886 | 15077.6894594627 | 14787.875 | 1.01959811395909 | 0.987286549442599 |
| 37 | 16005 | 15286.9599594635 | 15019.25 | 1.01782445591248 | 1.04697075431875 |
| 38 | 17064 | 15337.0935257493 | 15227.4583333333 | 1.00719983532485 | 1.11259672318953 |
| 39 | 15168 | 15124.7268446203 | 15398.7083333333 | 0.982207501903263 | 1.00286108673725 |
| 40 | 16050 | 15353.8380659763 | 15504.0416666667 | 0.99031197129628 | 1.04534123201197 |
| 41 | 15839 | 15120.9336090472 | 15606.2083333333 | 0.968905020750641 | 1.04748823118456 |
| 42 | 15137 | 15230.2284675299 | 15708.6666666667 | 0.969543042112416 | 0.993878721666673 |
| 43 | 14954 | 15594.3470637723 | 15759 | 0.9895518157099 | 0.958937231475377 |
| 44 | 15648 | 15866.8639422356 | 15718.9583333333 | 1.00940937724789 | 0.986206225563389 |
| 45 | 15305 | 15715.6919842507 | 15694.7083333333 | 1.00133698890554 | 0.973867394152149 |
| 46 | 15579 | 15971.1031185962 | 15698.4166666667 | 1.01737031560059 | 0.97544921501761 |
| 47 | 16348 | 16092.0349280986 | 15672.9166666667 | 1.02674156127706 | 1.01590632092492 |
| 48 | 15928 | 16028.7196002581 | 15720.625 | 1.01959811395909 | 0.99371630406109 |
| 49 | 16171 | 16144.1377887512 | 15861.4166666667 | 1.01782445591248 | 1.00166389878483 |
| 50 | 15937 | 16148.7706930417 | 16033.3333333333 | 1.00719983532485 | 0.986886265396475 |
| 51 | 15713 | 15931.7330833716 | 16220.3333333333 | 0.982207501903263 | 0.986270603315602 |
| 52 | 15594 | 16321.2903359352 | 16480.9583333333 | 0.99031197129628 | 0.955439164369628 |
| 53 | 15683 | 16275.9087648245 | 16798.25 | 0.968905020750641 | 0.963571388031748 |
| 54 | 16438 | 16608.9994686673 | 17130.75 | 0.969543042112416 | 0.98970440880621 |
| 55 | 17032 | 17223.6028970130 | 17405.4583333333 | 0.9895518157099 | 0.988875562322315 |
| 56 | 17696 | 17776.0356031278 | 17610.3333333333 | 1.00940937724789 | 0.995497556096605 |
| 57 | 17745 | 17850.0834984774 | 17826.25 | 1.00133698890554 | 0.994112996811118 |
| 58 | 19394 | 18401.3464599872 | 18087.1666666667 | 1.01737031560059 | 1.05394461444282 |
| 59 | 20148 | 18826.6755147633 | 18336.3333333333 | 1.02674156127706 | 1.07018363301586 |
| 60 | 20108 | 18884.3590179290 | 18521.375 | 1.01959811395909 | 1.06479653245891 |
| 61 | 18584 | 19049.0087859254 | 18715.4166666667 | 1.01782445591248 | 0.97558881980941 |
| 62 | 18441 | 19022.6895231618 | 18886.7083333333 | 1.00719983532485 | 0.969421278602402 |
| 63 | 18391 | 18689.9763752788 | 19028.5416666667 | 0.982207501903263 | 0.984003383991738 |
| 64 | 19178 | 18982.0522878143 | 19167.75 | 0.99031197129628 | 1.01032278855914 |
| 65 | 18079 | 18768.8610121733 | 19371.2083333333 | 0.968905020750641 | 0.963244385915272 |
| 66 | 18483 | 19034.7557624058 | 19632.7083333333 | 0.969543042112416 | 0.971013247068002 |
| 67 | 19644 | NA | NA | 0.9895518157099 | NA |
| 68 | 19195 | NA | NA | 1.00940937724789 | NA |
| 69 | 19650 | NA | NA | 1.00133698890554 | NA |
| 70 | 20830 | NA | NA | 1.01737031560059 | NA |
| 71 | 23595 | NA | NA | 1.02674156127706 | NA |
| 72 | 22937 | NA | NA | 1.01959811395909 | NA |
