| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 493395 | NA | NA | 0.922773788313235 | NA |
| 2 | 487190 | NA | NA | 0.940017198842391 | NA |
| 3 | 519493 | NA | NA | 1.05592190672308 | NA |
| 4 | 519453 | NA | NA | 1.08361066940898 | NA |
| 5 | 538588 | NA | NA | 1.00276730985240 | NA |
| 6 | 438224 | NA | NA | 1.12159725801643 | NA |
| 7 | 542034 | 515262.301539167 | 532200.791666667 | 0.968172745338364 | 1.05195741737919 |
| 8 | 512027 | 488002.045038629 | 536479.333333333 | 0.909638106665734 | 1.04923125877366 |
| 9 | 619880 | 560130.456470434 | 542238 | 1.03299742266391 | 1.10667076363972 |
| 10 | 533737 | 505083.052509689 | 545652.541666667 | 0.925649591894028 | 1.05673116004969 |
| 11 | 573789 | 555972.102991763 | 546335.541666667 | 1.01763854003658 | 1.03204638670243 |
| 12 | 589213 | 564130.365004046 | 553494.708333333 | 1.01921546224487 | 1.04446247986629 |
| 13 | 532168 | 519667.441078905 | 563158 | 0.922773788313235 | 1.02405492038359 |
| 14 | 551102 | 535571.978988856 | 569747 | 0.940017198842391 | 1.02899707531463 |
| 15 | 593789 | 606516.65958292 | 574395.375 | 1.05592190672308 | 0.97901515254062 |
| 16 | 527106 | 627059.803784022 | 578676.291666667 | 1.08361066940898 | 0.840599248778432 |
| 17 | 547327 | 587157.863692697 | 585537.5 | 1.00276730985240 | 0.932163279833814 |
| 18 | 601305 | 664591.94026334 | 592540.625 | 1.12159725801643 | 0.904773235380702 |
| 19 | 610872 | 579894.690180782 | 598957.875 | 0.968172745338364 | 1.05341885405014 |
| 20 | 601325 | 549929.183997562 | 604558.208333333 | 0.909638106665734 | 1.09345897162400 |
| 21 | 642143 | 632003.232064003 | 611814.916666667 | 1.03299742266391 | 1.01604385455891 |
| 22 | 614216 | 578538.168718105 | 625007.75 | 0.925649591894028 | 1.06166893251131 |
| 23 | 657979 | 651975.614039544 | 640675.041666667 | 1.01763854003658 | 1.00920799157389 |
| 24 | 673098 | 666310.537152078 | 653748.458333333 | 1.01921546224487 | 1.01018663591444 |
| 25 | 602297 | 613860.309895118 | 665233.795833333 | 0.922773788313235 | 0.981162962145095 |
| 26 | 615381 | 633517.635032558 | 673942.6 | 0.940017198842391 | 0.971371538802347 |
| 27 | 703671 | 719318.56624312 | 681223.2625 | 1.05592190672308 | 0.978246680987474 |
| 28 | 733852 | 743963.407076139 | 686559.691666667 | 1.08361066940898 | 0.986408730617709 |
| 29 | 716596 | 692746.349216758 | 690834.595833333 | 1.00276730985240 | 1.03442768166185 |
| 30 | 745798 | 778079.501692138 | 693724.504166667 | 1.12159725801643 | 0.958511306849835 |
| 31 | 742027.1 | 677317.540630615 | 699583.358333333 | 0.968172745338364 | 1.09553799434920 |
| 32 | 679181.2 | 644134.327080411 | 708121.529166667 | 0.909638106665734 | 1.05440926130803 |
| 33 | 739022.7 | 737375.563142603 | 713821.3 | 1.03299742266391 | 1.00223378280991 |
| 34 | 645410.6 | 664759.558689298 | 718154.65 | 0.925649591894028 | 0.970893297529337 |
| 35 | 729382.1 | 729609.155139286 | 716962.975 | 1.01763854003658 | 0.999688798944357 |
| 36 | 671052.7 | 731921.942238469 | 718122.879166667 | 1.01921546224487 | 0.916836429234093 |
| 37 | 744954.8 | 662973.764396619 | 718457.516666667 | 0.922773788313235 | 1.12365653062907 |
| 38 | 677639.3 | 670049.370678375 | 712805.4375 | 0.940017198842391 | 1.01132741802882 |
| 39 | 778207.2 | 747685.868670164 | 708088.225 | 1.05592190672308 | 1.04082106217163 |
| 40 | 763316.2 | 762739.851552101 | 703887.358333333 | 1.08361066940898 | 1.00075562912666 |
| 41 | 658531.6 | 700341.108268118 | 698408.395833333 | 1.00276730985240 | 0.940301222112308 |
| 42 | 831700.1 | 778493.945898941 | 694094.016666667 | 1.12159725801643 | 1.0683449812055 |
| 43 | 664156.3 | 666265.917321481 | 688168.429166667 | 0.968172745338364 | 0.996833670661165 |
| 44 | 621402.1 | 617331.756884012 | 678656.4375 | 0.909638106665734 | 1.00659344521094 |
| 45 | 683588.7 | 688917.37857946 | 666911.033333333 | 1.03299742266391 | 0.992265141299749 |
| 46 | 600023.8 | 604122.845743178 | 652647.45 | 0.925649591894028 | 0.993214880430262 |
| 47 | 643273.8 | 654582.341801615 | 643236.5875 | 1.01763854003658 | 0.982724034732605 |
| 48 | 653615.9 | 643812.022559804 | 631674.1125 | 1.01921546224487 | 1.01522785704003 |
| 49 | 620177.5 | 568684.869433059 | 616277.658333333 | 0.922773788313235 | 1.09054686230403 |
| 50 | 574128.8 | 568291.016626383 | 604553.85 | 0.940017198842391 | 1.01027252446866 |
| 51 | 599828 | 630595.022808911 | 597198.541666667 | 1.05592190672308 | 0.951209537506555 |
| 52 | 599369.4 | 644396.716636119 | 594675.5 | 1.08361066940898 | 0.930124850928523 |
| 53 | 596617.7 | 594169.279574339 | 592529.566666667 | 1.00276730985240 | 1.00412074556836 |
| 54 | 616114.6 | 661018.816471936 | 589354.879166667 | 1.12159725801643 | 0.93206817211104 |
| 55 | 510226.9 | 570202.328963412 | 588946.891666667 | 0.968172745338364 | 0.894817285168857 |
| 56 | 493960.1 | 540745.295745043 | 594462.008333333 | 0.909638106665734 | 0.913480161338099 |
| 57 | 634503.3 | 624311.481604976 | 604368.866666667 | 1.03299742266391 | 1.0163248934151 |
| 58 | 588556.2 | 570695.814678814 | 616535.479166667 | 0.925649591894028 | 1.03129580568457 |
| 59 | 603239 | 642193.368526056 | 631062.35 | 1.01763854003658 | 0.939341683618654 |
| 60 | 617458.2 | 661104.30388304 | 648640.379166667 | 1.01921546224487 | 0.933980003417491 |
| 61 | 646543.5 | 617218.122225377 | 668872.620833333 | 0.922773788313235 | 1.04751217878842 |
| 62 | 680125.6 | 651214.324399937 | 692768.520833333 | 0.940017198842391 | 1.04439594541583 |
| 63 | 731595.8 | 758632.853059265 | 718455.454166666 | 1.05592190672308 | 0.964360819663642 |
| 64 | 759600.3 | 800676.857911109 | 738897.170833333 | 1.08361066940898 | 0.948697708063808 |
| 65 | 785031.7 | 763375.922074048 | 761269.254166667 | 1.00276730985240 | 1.02836843198711 |
| 66 | 849573.3 | 888010.183796487 | 791737.120833333 | 1.12159725801643 | 0.956715717344413 |
| 67 | 762342 | 782979.057056905 | 808718.341666667 | 0.968172745338364 | 0.973642900316547 |
| 68 | 815346.6 | 743631.850792287 | 817502.966666667 | 0.909638106665734 | 1.09643851205581 |
| 69 | 929603.2 | 870647.55346135 | 842836.133333333 | 1.03299742266391 | 1.06771470993546 |
| 70 | 784057.5 | 821539.001488057 | 887526.995833333 | 0.925649591894028 | 0.95437647948525 |
| 71 | 944667.7 | 943972.983612475 | 927611.275 | 1.01763854003658 | 1.00073594943879 |
| 72 | 1007258.3 | 980605.59306488 | 962118.05 | 1.01921546224487 | 1.02717984388791 |
| 73 | 664292.7 | 917456.119803322 | 994237.3 | 0.922773788313235 | 0.724059369882896 |
| 74 | 873207.4 | 944387.468052175 | 1004649.1375 | 0.940017198842391 | 0.924628322102807 |
| 75 | 1146510 | 1064204.85293762 | 1007844.27916667 | 1.05592190672308 | 1.07733957126317 |
| 76 | 1417266.8 | 1103440.87108041 | 1018300.11666667 | 1.08361066940898 | 1.28440665661796 |
| 77 | 1089387.9 | 1035922.42796942 | 1033063.62083333 | 1.00276730985240 | 1.05161146296966 |
| 78 | 1373379.7 | 1173247.78379904 | 1046050.86666667 | 1.12159725801643 | 1.17057941124161 |
| 79 | 1009397.6 | 1033433.06258423 | 1067405.65416667 | 0.968172745338364 | 0.976742119587185 |
| 80 | 818175.1 | 989792.831736832 | 1088117.15833333 | 0.909638106665734 | 0.826612472596223 |
| 81 | 1003458.1 | 1119418.12908112 | 1083660.1375 | 1.03299742266391 | 0.89641044211397 |
| 82 | 961142.7 | 981214.994703518 | 1060028.55 | 0.925649591894028 | 0.979543428492363 |
| 83 | 1121906.6 | 1059107.49286998 | 1040750.17916667 | 1.01763854003658 | 1.0592943658248 |
| 84 | 1141713.3 | 1049772.10237147 | 1029980.55 | 1.01921546224487 | 1.08758205463912 |
| 85 | 1042352.6 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 86 | 992223.6 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 87 | 920525.3 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 88 | 1076093.4 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 89 | 967880.4 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 90 | 1236416.1 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
