Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 106.07 | NA | NA | 0.990278534403955 | NA |
2 | 106.07 | NA | NA | 0.997355460812724 | NA |
3 | 106.07 | NA | NA | 1.00119351888841 | NA |
4 | 106.07 | NA | NA | 1.00198095896971 | NA |
5 | 106.07 | NA | NA | 1.00232897386216 | NA |
6 | 106.2 | NA | NA | 1.00559762619841 | NA |
7 | 107.5 | 107.950904746405 | 107.334583333333 | 1.00574205809472 | 0.995823057273446 |
8 | 108.31 | 107.994496194066 | 107.547083333333 | 1.00416015801513 | 1.00292148041847 |
9 | 108.53 | 108.122844611257 | 107.82125 | 1.00279717227594 | 1.00376567403685 |
10 | 108.61 | 108.161526436307 | 108.18375 | 0.999794575768608 | 1.00414633168067 |
11 | 108.62 | 108.160014732477 | 108.574166666667 | 0.996185538909441 | 1.00425282179058 |
12 | 108.62 | 108.152521354594 | 108.960416666667 | 0.992585423800793 | 1.00432240172999 |
13 | 108.62 | 108.225065328672 | 109.2875 | 0.990278534403955 | 1.00364919780948 |
14 | 108.62 | 109.237434669390 | 109.527083333333 | 0.997355460812724 | 0.994347773991041 |
15 | 110.1 | 109.854707368133 | 109.72375 | 1.00119351888841 | 1.00223288230194 |
16 | 110.74 | 110.128144692427 | 109.910416666667 | 1.00198095896971 | 1.00555584868229 |
17 | 110.77 | 110.352243651499 | 110.095833333333 | 1.00232897386216 | 1.00378566248114 |
18 | 110.77 | 110.898144215182 | 110.280833333333 | 1.00559762619841 | 0.998844487289766 |
19 | 110.78 | 111.100134565815 | 110.465833333333 | 1.00574205809472 | 0.997118504247851 |
20 | 110.78 | 111.111158284506 | 110.650833333333 | 1.00416015801513 | 0.997019576704817 |
21 | 110.78 | 111.091124241194 | 110.78125 | 1.00279717227594 | 0.997199378048252 |
22 | 110.84 | 110.876385290592 | 110.899166666667 | 0.999794575768608 | 0.999671839134214 |
23 | 110.84 | 110.691571233230 | 111.115416666667 | 0.996185538909441 | 1.00134092203332 |
24 | 110.84 | 110.566985397990 | 111.392916666667 | 0.992585423800793 | 1.00246922353022 |
25 | 110.84 | 110.591005793786 | 111.676666666667 | 0.990278534403955 | 1.00225148694893 |
26 | 110.84 | 111.665579651694 | 111.961666666667 | 0.997355460812724 | 0.992606677417795 |
27 | 111.01 | 112.381886675393 | 112.247916666667 | 1.00119351888841 | 0.98779263530825 |
28 | 112.66 | 112.755839757325 | 112.532916666667 | 1.00198095896971 | 0.999150024002913 |
29 | 114.04 | 113.078160823332 | 112.815416666667 | 1.00232897386216 | 1.00850596763924 |
30 | 114.16 | 113.730996527985 | 113.097916666667 | 1.00559762619841 | 1.00377208927304 |
31 | 114.2 | 114.031453605970 | 113.380416666667 | 1.00574205809472 | 1.00147806932825 |
32 | 114.2 | 114.135772360461 | 113.662916666667 | 1.00416015801513 | 1.00056273014333 |
33 | 114.23 | 114.329741275490 | 114.010833333333 | 1.00279717227594 | 0.999127599919516 |
34 | 114.23 | 114.373166819343 | 114.396666666667 | 0.999794575768608 | 0.998748248183344 |
35 | 114.23 | 114.264971776760 | 114.7025 | 0.996185538909441 | 0.999693941404646 |
36 | 114.23 | 114.098521620421 | 114.950833333333 | 0.992585423800793 | 1.00115232325285 |
37 | 114.23 | 114.072660074328 | 115.1925 | 0.990278534403955 | 1.0013792956662 |
38 | 114.23 | 115.150090292908 | 115.455416666667 | 0.997355460812724 | 0.992009643322312 |
39 | 115.97 | 115.940295307109 | 115.802083333333 | 1.00119351888841 | 1.00025620680724 |
40 | 116.96 | 116.454401972122 | 116.224166666667 | 1.00198095896971 | 1.00434159653320 |
41 | 117.08 | 116.933786276122 | 116.662083333333 | 1.00232897386216 | 1.00125039758426 |
42 | 117.08 | 117.757577022888 | 117.102083333333 | 1.00559762619841 | 0.994246000639465 |
43 | 117.08 | 118.216597745216 | 117.541666666667 | 1.00574205809472 | 0.990385463912047 |
44 | 117.63 | 118.470815442625 | 117.98 | 1.00416015801513 | 0.992902763102595 |
45 | 119.12 | 118.677284849462 | 118.34625 | 1.00279717227594 | 1.00373041185683 |
46 | 119.47 | 118.574803524010 | 118.599166666667 | 0.999794575768608 | 1.00754963490881 |
47 | 119.5 | 118.355143568599 | 118.808333333333 | 0.996185538909441 | 1.00967306022266 |
48 | 119.52 | 118.247942269168 | 119.13125 | 0.992585423800793 | 1.01075754644369 |
49 | 119.49 | 118.431536089929 | 119.594166666667 | 0.990278534403955 | 1.00893734848856 |
50 | 119.49 | 119.740418801299 | 120.057916666667 | 0.997355460812724 | 0.997908652702189 |
51 | 119.5 | 120.585416070785 | 120.441666666667 | 1.00119351888841 | 0.990998778242402 |
52 | 119.5 | 120.992958224189 | 120.75375 | 1.00198095896971 | 0.98766078418033 |
53 | 119.56 | 121.331922286014 | 121.05 | 1.00232897386216 | 0.985396075058982 |
54 | 122.35 | 122.024243951045 | 121.345 | 1.00559762619841 | 1.00266960104326 |
55 | 122.92 | 122.351035722367 | 121.6525 | 1.00574205809472 | 1.00465026122806 |
56 | 122.92 | 122.684104105630 | 122.175833333333 | 1.00416015801513 | 1.00192279102570 |
57 | 123.04 | 123.302686806585 | 122.95875 | 1.00279717227594 | 0.997869577594878 |
58 | 123.04 | 123.781650358399 | 123.807083333333 | 0.999794575768608 | 0.99400839820562 |
59 | 123.04 | 124.264184123564 | 124.74 | 0.996185538909441 | 0.99014853610316 |
60 | 123.06 | 124.839123060465 | 125.771666666667 | 0.992585423800793 | 0.98574867383838 |
61 | 123.33 | 125.611468080414 | 126.844583333333 | 0.990278534403955 | 0.981837103607824 |
62 | 128.21 | 127.609553387111 | 127.947916666667 | 0.997355460812724 | 1.00470534217032 |
63 | 129.57 | 129.215287039637 | 129.06125 | 1.00119351888841 | 1.00274513154356 |
64 | 129.79 | 130.431201365617 | 130.173333333333 | 1.00198095896971 | 0.995083987888606 |
65 | 131.66 | 131.592429881783 | 131.286666666667 | 1.00232897386216 | 1.00051348028361 |
66 | 135.01 | 133.140287710647 | 132.399166666667 | 1.00559762619841 | 1.01404317447035 |
67 | 136.01 | 134.305537260396 | 133.53875 | 1.00574205809472 | 1.01269093422634 |
68 | 136.31 | 135.264975685362 | 134.704583333333 | 1.00416015801513 | 1.00772575686605 |
69 | 136.37 | 136.259244104545 | 135.879166666667 | 1.00279717227594 | 1.00081283215816 |
70 | 136.4 | 137.038926433090 | 137.067083333333 | 0.999794575768608 | 0.995337628149018 |
71 | 136.4 | 137.652917766507 | 138.18 | 0.996185538909441 | 0.990897993396465 |
72 | 136.4 | 138.044644969615 | 139.075833333333 | 0.992585423800793 | 0.988086137133554 |
73 | 137.34 | 138.431861556441 | 139.790833333333 | 0.990278534403955 | 0.99211264268092 |
74 | 142.18 | 140.081067859799 | 140.4525 | 0.997355460812724 | 1.0149836960288 |
75 | 143.79 | 141.268405515155 | 141.1 | 1.00119351888841 | 1.01784967045993 |
76 | 144.08 | 142.026208521228 | 141.745416666667 | 1.00198095896971 | 1.01446065131328 |
77 | 144.08 | 142.722875499450 | 142.39125 | 1.00232897386216 | 1.00950880856205 |
78 | 144.09 | 143.838170457354 | 143.0375 | 1.00559762619841 | 1.00175078382772 |
79 | 144.09 | 144.471494171779 | 143.646666666667 | 1.00574205809472 | 0.997359381004772 |
80 | 144.11 | 144.623329957997 | 144.024166666667 | 1.00416015801513 | 0.996450572959795 |
81 | 144.11 | 144.543602244009 | 144.140416666667 | 1.00279717227594 | 0.997000197606273 |
82 | 144.15 | 144.143716637146 | 144.173333333333 | 0.999794575768608 | 1.00004359095908 |
83 | 144.15 | 143.647464246894 | 144.1975 | 0.996185538909441 | 1.00349839626993 |
84 | 144.16 | 143.162249983828 | 144.231666666667 | 0.992585423800793 | 1.00696936529207 |
85 | 144.2 | 142.865833694235 | 144.268333333333 | 0.990278534403955 | 1.00933859601884 |
86 | 144.38 | 143.956209389832 | 144.337916666667 | 0.997355460812724 | 1.00294388558829 |
87 | 144.38 | 144.722940319286 | 144.550416666667 | 1.00119351888841 | 0.997630366557438 |
88 | 144.28 | 145.260102066303 | 144.972916666667 | 1.00198095896971 | 0.99325277862014 |
89 | 144.46 | 145.838865696944 | 145.5 | 1.00232897386216 | 0.990545279611475 |
90 | 144.53 | 146.853287339906 | 146.035833333333 | 1.00559762619841 | 0.98417953467716 |
91 | 144.53 | NA | NA | 1.00574205809472 | NA |
92 | 145.34 | NA | NA | 1.00416015801513 | NA |
93 | 147.98 | NA | NA | 1.00279717227594 | NA |
94 | 150.42 | NA | NA | 0.999794575768608 | NA |
95 | 150.53 | NA | NA | 0.996185538909441 | NA |
96 | 150.64 | NA | NA | 0.992585423800793 | NA |