| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 8166 | NA | NA | 1.21205858015325 | NA |
| 2 | 7102 | NA | NA | 1.10704246641014 | NA |
| 3 | 6047 | NA | NA | 1.10593605962239 | NA |
| 4 | 5854 | NA | NA | 1.01742356109086 | NA |
| 5 | 5764 | NA | NA | 0.97143515335351 | NA |
| 6 | 5209 | NA | NA | 0.961727678604161 | NA |
| 7 | 5616 | 5761.48182305108 | 6626.83333333333 | 0.869417040273296 | 0.974749235089309 |
| 8 | 5597 | 6130.6611271079 | 6708.04166666667 | 0.913927108946287 | 0.912952108093495 |
| 9 | 6251 | 6804.7999408096 | 6819.79166666667 | 0.997801732576328 | 0.91861627885805 |
| 10 | 7024 | 7346.96093802763 | 6937.95833333333 | 1.05895143571694 | 0.956041560483057 |
| 11 | 7237 | 6160.39955941841 | 7034.16666666667 | 0.875782427591765 | 1.17476146314822 |
| 12 | 9230 | 6463.53802218217 | 7114.54166666667 | 0.90849675566107 | 1.42801047480863 |
| 13 | 9016 | 8687.68238545263 | 7167.70833333333 | 1.21205858015325 | 1.03779116224335 |
| 14 | 8201 | 7998.70470719927 | 7225.29166666667 | 1.10704246641014 | 1.02529100650742 |
| 15 | 7630 | 8120.38159844655 | 7342.54166666667 | 1.10593605962239 | 0.93961101550445 |
| 16 | 7107 | 7603.33344997716 | 7473.125 | 1.01742356109086 | 0.93472159898779 |
| 17 | 6820 | 7336.72351923767 | 7552.45833333333 | 0.97143515335351 | 0.92957026145489 |
| 18 | 6082 | 7281.52075861836 | 7571.29166666667 | 0.961727678604161 | 0.835265077394908 |
| 19 | 6019 | 6639.41190517706 | 7636.625 | 0.869417040273296 | 0.906556195934569 |
| 20 | 6576 | 7120.06338313467 | 7790.625 | 0.913927108946287 | 0.923587283727924 |
| 21 | 8086 | 7971.43804155228 | 7989 | 0.997801732576328 | 1.01437155477475 |
| 22 | 8323 | 8702.02166895692 | 8217.58333333333 | 1.05895143571694 | 0.956444412186536 |
| 23 | 7842 | 7395.50821886417 | 8444.45833333333 | 0.875782427591765 | 1.06037337366443 |
| 24 | 9077 | 7940.60233076113 | 8740.375 | 0.90849675566107 | 1.14311227560617 |
| 25 | 10737 | 10970.2412040854 | 9050.91666666667 | 1.21205858015325 | 0.978738735115638 |
| 26 | 10176 | 10299.0466988607 | 9303.20833333333 | 1.10704246641014 | 0.98805261278461 |
| 27 | 10416 | 10549.7083954146 | 9539.16666666667 | 1.10593605962239 | 0.987325868128005 |
| 28 | 9807 | 9947.9012612143 | 9777.54166666667 | 1.01742356109086 | 0.985836081650342 |
| 29 | 9565 | 9756.12324512931 | 10043 | 0.97143515335351 | 0.980409918947597 |
| 30 | 10439 | 9915.4524383955 | 10310.0416666667 | 0.961727678604161 | 1.05280117723899 |
| 31 | 9115 | 9120.619460987 | 10490.5 | 0.869417040273296 | 0.999383872881547 |
| 32 | 9535 | 9731.95281961454 | 10648.5 | 0.913927108946287 | 0.97976225087964 |
| 33 | 10790 | 10850.8443913344 | 10874.75 | 0.997801732576328 | 0.994392658383064 |
| 34 | 11340 | 11737.9030662279 | 11084.4583333333 | 1.05895143571694 | 0.966101009355516 |
| 35 | 11196 | 9850.25338153493 | 11247.375 | 0.875782427591765 | 1.13662050775138 |
| 36 | 12132 | 10315.6021202166 | 11354.5833333333 | 0.90849675566107 | 1.17608258428498 |
| 37 | 12013 | 13846.5572196707 | 11424 | 1.21205858015325 | 0.867580280745458 |
| 38 | 12692 | 12790.8147836721 | 11554.0416666667 | 1.10704246641014 | 0.992274551282043 |
| 39 | 13330 | 12961.8931834585 | 11720.2916666667 | 1.10593605962239 | 1.02839915522613 |
| 40 | 11926 | 12119.0407479338 | 11911.5 | 1.01742356109086 | 0.984071284852579 |
| 41 | 11356 | 11351.2197669358 | 11685 | 0.97143515335351 | 1.00042112065156 |
| 42 | 11221 | 10513.2062626346 | 10931.5833333333 | 0.961727678604161 | 1.06732425101189 |
| 43 | 9999 | 9277.1145282362 | 10670.5 | 0.869417040273296 | 1.07781357765571 |
| 44 | 11772 | 9913.25310985176 | 10846.875 | 0.913927108946287 | 1.18750120364636 |
| 45 | 12543 | 10843.9845044230 | 10867.875 | 0.997801732576328 | 1.15667815597524 |
| 46 | 14176 | 11523.4212775187 | 10881.9166666667 | 1.05895143571694 | 1.23019020641519 |
| 47 | 2924 | 9579.23521112976 | 10937.9166666667 | 0.875782427591765 | 0.305243574831811 |
| 48 | 2322 | 9991.45804860303 | 10997.7916666667 | 0.90849675566107 | 0.232398513680859 |
| 49 | 15557 | 13351.7343043232 | 11015.75 | 1.21205858015325 | 1.16516698470870 |
| 50 | 13381 | 12214.5530531362 | 11033.5 | 1.10704246641014 | 1.09549649027594 |
| 51 | 13145 | 12235.9383216547 | 11063.875 | 1.10593605962239 | 1.07429439855352 |
| 52 | 12448 | 11201.9605855555 | 11010.125 | 1.01742356109086 | 1.11123404737303 |
| 53 | 12178 | 11051.9367867735 | 11376.9166666667 | 0.97143515335351 | 1.10188831468654 |
| 54 | 11836 | 11799.9578246204 | 12269.5416666667 | 0.961727678604161 | 1.00305443255945 |
| 55 | 9815 | 11155.0191095165 | 12830.4583333333 | 0.869417040273296 | 0.879872988440394 |
| 56 | 12382 | 11907.4420615726 | 13028.875 | 0.913927108946287 | 1.03985389439424 |
| 57 | 12662 | 13257.8331958139 | 13287.0416666667 | 0.997801732576328 | 0.955058025922215 |
| 58 | 12767 | 14320.9944787769 | 13523.75 | 1.05895143571694 | 0.891488368277783 |
| 59 | 13136 | 12039.7459414488 | 13747.4166666667 | 0.875782427591765 | 1.09105292286751 |
| 60 | 13533 | 12740.379961076 | 14023.5833333333 | 0.90849675566107 | 1.06221321823569 |
| 61 | 17808 | 17492.5809360942 | 14432.125 | 1.21205858015325 | 1.01803159093893 |
| 62 | 15892 | 16368.1763871071 | 14785.5 | 1.10704246641014 | 0.97090840324264 |
| 63 | 16830 | 16588.8565716592 | 14999.8333333333 | 1.10593605962239 | 1.01453647075066 |
| 64 | 14444 | 15612.6612934780 | 15345.2916666667 | 1.01742356109086 | 0.925146567166857 |
| 65 | 15550 | 15329.8133904245 | 15780.5833333333 | 0.97143515335351 | 1.01436329353578 |
| 66 | 15092 | 15455.7251629144 | 16070.7916666667 | 0.961727678604161 | 0.976466638796918 |
| 67 | 16364 | 14103.8643558635 | 16222.2083333333 | 0.869417040273296 | 1.16024938889865 |
| 68 | 14314 | 14988.9757911622 | 16400.625 | 0.913927108946287 | 0.954968518158514 |
| 69 | 15874 | 16543.8853266930 | 16580.3333333333 | 0.997801732576328 | 0.959508584986853 |
| 70 | 17846 | 17875.3208497844 | 16880.2083333333 | 1.05895143571694 | 0.99835970218209 |
| 71 | 18504 | 15036.8923542747 | 17169.6666666667 | 0.875782427591765 | 1.23057341663682 |
| 72 | 15130 | 15812.9916967847 | 17405.6666666667 | 0.90849675566107 | 0.956808192283843 |
| 73 | 19845 | 21308.5453659434 | 17580.4583333333 | 1.21205858015325 | 0.931316505148093 |
| 74 | 18137 | 19573.6639753671 | 17681.0416666667 | 1.10704246641014 | 0.92660219480752 |
| 75 | 18898 | 19799.7115174271 | 17903.125 | 1.10593605962239 | 0.954458350737412 |
| 76 | 19573 | 18506.7226130009 | 18189.7916666667 | 1.01742356109086 | 1.05761567886958 |
| 77 | 17368 | 17868.8210695728 | 18394.25 | 0.97143515335351 | 0.971972349623802 |
| 78 | 18938 | 17803.6630742667 | 18512.1666666667 | 0.961727678604161 | 1.06371368189802 |
| 79 | 16713 | NA | NA | 0.869417040273296 | NA |
| 80 | 16379 | NA | NA | 0.913927108946287 | NA |
| 81 | 19139 | NA | NA | 0.997801732576328 | NA |
| 82 | 21461 | NA | NA | 1.05895143571694 | NA |
| 83 | 19796 | NA | NA | 0.875782427591765 | NA |
| 84 | 16668 | NA | NA | 0.90849675566107 | NA |
