Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 467 | NA | NA | 0.999132198884102 | NA |
2 | 460 | NA | NA | 0.990447201199623 | NA |
3 | 448 | NA | NA | 0.973009564451151 | NA |
4 | 443 | NA | NA | 0.960724070363275 | NA |
5 | 436 | NA | NA | 0.943109726810955 | NA |
6 | 431 | NA | NA | 0.945472181629265 | NA |
7 | 484 | 490.833970450881 | 470.125 | 1.04404992385191 | 0.98607681851237 |
8 | 510 | 497.701461910019 | 471.125 | 1.05641063817462 | 1.02471067302632 |
9 | 513 | 498.521569531802 | 472.666666666667 | 1.0547000765835 | 1.02904273626876 |
10 | 503 | 490.27544410345 | 474.333333333333 | 1.03360950970509 | 1.02595389193889 |
11 | 471 | 477.635754143836 | 475.875 | 1.00370003497523 | 0.986107082465528 |
12 | 471 | 475.623075966733 | 477.708333333333 | 0.995634873371269 | 0.99027995864722 |
13 | 476 | 479.708346989230 | 480.125 | 0.999132198884102 | 0.992269580021894 |
14 | 475 | 477.519356878368 | 482.125 | 0.990447201199623 | 0.994724073815902 |
15 | 470 | 470.125787890648 | 483.166666666667 | 0.973009564451151 | 0.999732437798802 |
16 | 461 | 465.230631073416 | 484.25 | 0.960724070363275 | 0.990906378920806 |
17 | 455 | 458.822882093529 | 486.5 | 0.943109726810955 | 0.991668065733587 |
18 | 456 | 463.084395627167 | 489.791666666667 | 0.945472181629265 | 0.984701718101357 |
19 | 517 | 515.021127020118 | 493.291666666667 | 1.04404992385191 | 1.00384231418104 |
20 | 525 | 524.860018733092 | 496.833333333333 | 1.05641063817462 | 1.00026670209563 |
21 | 523 | 527.613713310897 | 500.25 | 1.0547000765835 | 0.991255509107327 |
22 | 519 | 520.853058765559 | 503.916666666667 | 1.03360950970509 | 0.996442261911736 |
23 | 509 | 509.712334428252 | 507.833333333333 | 1.00370003497523 | 0.998602477554224 |
24 | 512 | 509.640600806918 | 511.875 | 0.995634873371269 | 1.00462953538110 |
25 | 519 | 515.718736657344 | 516.166666666667 | 0.999132198884102 | 1.00636250558575 |
26 | 517 | 515.651574124553 | 520.625 | 0.990447201199623 | 1.00261499419979 |
27 | 510 | 511.032731662782 | 525.208333333333 | 0.973009564451151 | 0.997979128148168 |
28 | 509 | 508.623334918157 | 529.416666666667 | 0.960724070363275 | 1.00074055800429 |
29 | 501 | 502.598891913004 | 532.916666666667 | 0.943109726810955 | 0.99681875161539 |
30 | 507 | 507.048852072928 | 536.291666666667 | 0.945472181629265 | 0.999903654109997 |
31 | 569 | 563.656452639553 | 539.875 | 1.04404992385191 | 1.00948014936301 |
32 | 580 | 574.159181847907 | 543.5 | 1.05641063817462 | 1.01017282025046 |
33 | 578 | 577.140671073797 | 547.208333333333 | 1.0547000765835 | 1.00148894189800 |
34 | 565 | 569.045102155559 | 550.541666666667 | 1.03360950970509 | 0.992891420837758 |
35 | 547 | 555.547969358788 | 553.5 | 1.00370003497523 | 0.984613445048402 |
36 | 555 | 554.070807031111 | 556.5 | 0.995634873371269 | 1.00167702928416 |
37 | 562 | 558.5565296845 | 559.041666666667 | 0.999132198884102 | 1.00616494505479 |
38 | 561 | 556.012297573438 | 561.375 | 0.990447201199623 | 1.00897048940883 |
39 | 555 | 548.899020546006 | 564.125 | 0.973009564451151 | 1.0111149395893 |
40 | 544 | 545.210909931159 | 567.5 | 0.960724070363275 | 0.997779006419164 |
41 | 537 | 538.869320156609 | 571.375 | 0.943109726810955 | 0.996531032503269 |
42 | 543 | 543.646504436827 | 575 | 0.945472181629265 | 0.998810799974706 |
43 | 594 | 603.330349745925 | 577.875 | 1.04404992385191 | 0.984535255437002 |
44 | 611 | 612.982272800825 | 580.25 | 1.05641063817462 | 0.996766182500242 |
45 | 613 | 614.494632119463 | 582.625 | 1.0547000765835 | 0.997567705165613 |
46 | 611 | 604.704630240385 | 585.041666666667 | 1.03360950970509 | 1.01041065248188 |
47 | 594 | 589.673770547945 | 587.5 | 1.00370003497523 | 1.00733664895428 |
48 | 595 | 587.258636143487 | 589.833333333333 | 0.995634873371269 | 1.01318220521600 |
49 | 591 | 591.527892247675 | 592.041666666667 | 0.999132198884102 | 0.999107578434435 |
50 | 589 | 588.243100245809 | 593.916666666667 | 0.990447201199623 | 1.00128671250691 |
51 | 584 | 579.224485304733 | 595.291666666667 | 0.973009564451151 | 1.00824466992751 |
52 | 573 | 572.551515766914 | 595.958333333333 | 0.960724070363275 | 1.00078330808798 |
53 | 567 | 562.132693417946 | 596.041666666667 | 0.943109726810955 | 1.00865864348231 |
54 | 569 | 563.65899894798 | 596.166666666667 | 0.945472181629265 | 1.00947558907422 |
55 | 621 | 622.601771257025 | 596.333333333333 | 1.04404992385191 | 0.99742729408914 |
56 | 629 | 630.104928561238 | 596.458333333333 | 1.05641063817462 | 0.998246437202513 |
57 | 628 | 628.952812335961 | 596.333333333333 | 1.0547000765835 | 0.998485081364972 |
58 | 612 | 616.246603098758 | 596.208333333333 | 1.03360950970509 | 0.993108922503744 |
59 | 595 | 598.707070862722 | 596.5 | 1.00370003497523 | 0.99380820597729 |
60 | 597 | 594.311049829866 | 596.916666666667 | 0.995634873371269 | 1.00452448287964 |
61 | 593 | 596.523553242096 | 597.041666666667 | 0.999132198884102 | 0.994093186726752 |
62 | 590 | 591.173173216025 | 596.875 | 0.990447201199623 | 0.99801551682455 |
63 | 580 | 580.319121064741 | 596.416666666667 | 0.973009564451151 | 0.999450093830864 |
64 | 574 | 571.710882205346 | 595.083333333333 | 0.960724070363275 | 1.0040039779999 |
65 | 573 | 559.146179283045 | 592.875 | 0.943109726810955 | 1.02477674216556 |
66 | 573 | 557.828587161266 | 590 | 0.945472181629265 | 1.02719726666562 |
67 | 620 | 612.857305301074 | 587 | 1.04404992385191 | 1.01165474350578 |
68 | 626 | 616.899795584055 | 583.958333333333 | 1.05641063817462 | 1.01475151147899 |
69 | 620 | 611.989719437577 | 580.25 | 1.0547000765835 | 1.01308891360101 |
70 | 588 | 595.61747996756 | 576.25 | 1.03360950970509 | 0.98721078506968 |
71 | 566 | 573.781853327504 | 571.666666666667 | 1.00370003497523 | 0.986437609899345 |
72 | 557 | 563.529338328138 | 566 | 0.995634873371269 | 0.988413489974614 |
73 | 561 | 559.722183916531 | 560.208333333333 | 0.999132198884102 | 1.00228294700511 |
74 | 549 | 549.656928032407 | 554.958333333333 | 0.990447201199623 | 0.998804839893934 |
75 | 532 | 534.344419144424 | 549.166666666667 | 0.973009564451151 | 0.995612531804528 |
76 | 526 | 522.033441733645 | 543.375 | 0.960724070363275 | 1.00759828384401 |
77 | 511 | 507.864587887699 | 538.5 | 0.943109726810955 | 1.00617371674867 |
78 | 499 | 505.236697058138 | 534.375 | 0.945472181629265 | 0.987655890606416 |
79 | 555 | 554.129497084404 | 530.75 | 1.04404992385191 | 1.00157093769629 |
80 | 565 | 556.948491867646 | 527.208333333333 | 1.05641063817462 | 1.01445646814727 |
81 | 542 | 552.531002620182 | 523.875 | 1.0547000765835 | 0.980940431269482 |
82 | 527 | 538.252152178928 | 520.75 | 1.03360950970509 | 0.979095016836668 |
83 | 510 | 519.41476809968 | 517.5 | 1.00370003497523 | 0.98187427720986 |
84 | 514 | 512.627505427032 | 514.875 | 0.995634873371269 | 1.00267737208487 |
85 | 517 | 512.429926502684 | 512.875 | 0.999132198884102 | 1.00891843598696 |
86 | 508 | 505.582027579024 | 510.458333333333 | 0.990447201199623 | 1.00478255216578 |
87 | 493 | 494.451027001927 | 508.166666666667 | 0.973009564451151 | 0.997065377716525 |
88 | 490 | 486.406590791006 | 506.291666666667 | 0.960724070363275 | 1.00738766553954 |
89 | 469 | 476.349004516766 | 505.083333333333 | 0.943109726810955 | 0.984572226566903 |
90 | 478 | 477.305873025841 | 504.833333333333 | 0.945472181629265 | 1.00145426028337 |
91 | 528 | 527.636730266661 | 505.375 | 1.04404992385191 | 1.00068848454344 |
92 | 534 | NA | NA | 1.05641063817462 | NA |
93 | 518 | NA | NA | 1.0547000765835 | NA |
94 | 506 | NA | NA | 1.03360950970509 | NA |
95 | 502 | NA | NA | 1.00370003497523 | NA |
96 | 516 | NA | NA | 0.995634873371269 | NA |
97 | 528 | NA | NA | NA | NA |