Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 721 | 0 | 73 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 41086 | 39765.5877520622 | 8016.04177882911 | 34390.3704691087 | -1320.41224793783 |
2 | 39690 | 40483.6159166965 | 5307.45671236408 | 33588.9273709394 | 793.615916696486 |
3 | 43129 | 44904.8115425091 | 8565.70418472071 | 32787.4842727702 | 1775.81154250913 |
4 | 37863 | 38041.8885082853 | 5665.29615310634 | 32018.8153386084 | 178.888508285268 |
5 | 35953 | 39374.9678060536 | 1280.88578949974 | 31250.1464044466 | 3421.96780605364 |
6 | 29133 | 26945.6209875880 | 803.419222166538 | 30516.9597902454 | -2187.37901241197 |
7 | 24693 | 22954.6053756259 | -3352.37855167013 | 29783.7731760442 | -1738.39462437410 |
8 | 22205 | 21012.5446188337 | -5652.56678712428 | 29050.0221682906 | -1192.45538116634 |
9 | 21725 | 19296.3142029408 | -4162.58536347779 | 28316.2711605370 | -2428.68579705923 |
10 | 27192 | 26702.3207129158 | -2.76958531050464 | 27684.4488723947 | -489.679287084222 |
11 | 21790 | 21649.9964985952 | -5122.6230828476 | 27052.6265842524 | -140.003501404826 |
12 | 13253 | 11005.7402153704 | -11345.8784375805 | 26846.1382222102 | -2247.25978462961 |
13 | 37702 | 40748.308361003 | 8016.04177882911 | 26639.6498601679 | 3046.30836100299 |
14 | 30364 | 28755.9675613027 | 5307.45671236408 | 26664.5757263332 | -1608.03243869726 |
15 | 32609 | 29962.7942227808 | 8565.70418472071 | 26689.5015924984 | -2646.20577721916 |
16 | 30212 | 28007.0165879138 | 5665.29615310634 | 26751.6872589799 | -2204.9834120862 |
17 | 29965 | 31835.241285039 | 1280.88578949974 | 26813.8729254613 | 1870.241285039 |
18 | 28352 | 28984.8872877684 | 803.419222166538 | 26915.6934900651 | 632.887287768386 |
19 | 25814 | 27962.8644970013 | -3352.37855167013 | 27017.5140546689 | 2148.86449700125 |
20 | 22414 | 23289.939069944 | -5652.56678712428 | 27190.6277171803 | 875.939069944005 |
21 | 20506 | 17810.8439837861 | -4162.58536347779 | 27363.7413796917 | -2695.15601621388 |
22 | 28806 | 30170.7731880218 | -2.76958531050464 | 27443.9963972887 | 1364.77318802182 |
23 | 22228 | 22054.3716679619 | -5122.6230828476 | 27524.2514148857 | -173.628332038101 |
24 | 13971 | 11928.2861887096 | -11345.8784375805 | 27359.5922488709 | -2042.71381129037 |
25 | 36845 | 38479.0251383148 | 8016.04177882911 | 27194.9330828561 | 1634.02513831475 |
26 | 35338 | 38422.2093830700 | 5307.45671236408 | 26946.3339045659 | 3084.20938307004 |
27 | 35022 | 34780.5610890037 | 8565.70418472071 | 26697.7347262756 | -241.438910996323 |
28 | 34777 | 37487.7864545794 | 5665.29615310634 | 26400.9173923142 | 2710.78645457942 |
29 | 26887 | 26389.0141521474 | 1280.88578949974 | 26104.1000583529 | -497.9858478526 |
30 | 23970 | 21444.3240703537 | 803.419222166538 | 25692.2567074797 | -2525.67592964626 |
31 | 22780 | 23631.9651950636 | -3352.37855167013 | 25280.4133566066 | 851.965195063556 |
32 | 17351 | 15586.6767269591 | -5652.56678712428 | 24767.8900601652 | -1764.32327304094 |
33 | 21382 | 22671.2185997539 | -4162.58536347779 | 24255.3667637239 | 1289.21859975392 |
34 | 24561 | 25328.0179503678 | -2.76958531050464 | 23796.7516349427 | 767.01795036778 |
35 | 17409 | 16602.4865766860 | -5122.6230828476 | 23338.1365061616 | -806.513423313969 |
36 | 11514 | 11284.6111677483 | -11345.8784375805 | 23089.2672698323 | -229.388832251727 |
37 | 31514 | 32171.5601876679 | 8016.04177882911 | 22840.398033503 | 657.560187667907 |
38 | 27071 | 26049.5941221377 | 5307.45671236408 | 22784.9491654982 | -1021.40587786227 |
39 | 29462 | 27628.7955177859 | 8565.70418472071 | 22729.5002974934 | -1833.20448221411 |
40 | 26105 | 23738.83918743 | 5665.29615310634 | 22805.8646594637 | -2366.16081257002 |
41 | 22397 | 20630.8851890663 | 1280.88578949974 | 22882.2290214340 | -1766.11481093370 |
42 | 23843 | 23853.5358689037 | 803.419222166538 | 23029.0449089298 | 10.5358689036875 |
43 | 21705 | 23586.5177552445 | -3352.37855167013 | 23175.8607964256 | 1881.51775524455 |
44 | 18089 | 18405.6288275960 | -5652.56678712428 | 23424.9379595283 | 316.628827595952 |
45 | 20764 | 22016.5702408467 | -4162.58536347779 | 23674.0151226311 | 1252.57024084672 |
46 | 25316 | 26712.4449074679 | -2.76958531050464 | 23922.3246778426 | 1396.44490746794 |
47 | 17704 | 16359.9888497936 | -5122.6230828476 | 24170.6342330540 | -1344.01115020644 |
48 | 15548 | 18246.044990641 | -11345.8784375805 | 24195.8334469395 | 2698.04499064101 |
49 | 28029 | 23820.9255603458 | 8016.04177882911 | 24221.0326608250 | -4208.07443965416 |
50 | 29383 | 29357.6619172478 | 5307.45671236408 | 24100.8813703881 | -25.3380827521505 |
51 | 36438 | 40329.5657353282 | 8565.70418472071 | 23980.7300799511 | 3891.5657353282 |
52 | 32034 | 34500.6376160078 | 5665.29615310634 | 23902.0662308859 | 2466.63761600781 |
53 | 22679 | 20253.7118286797 | 1280.88578949974 | 23823.4023818206 | -2425.28817132035 |
54 | 24319 | 24089.7381878047 | 803.419222166538 | 23744.8425900287 | -229.261812195284 |
55 | 18004 | 15694.0957534333 | -3352.37855167013 | 23666.2827982369 | -2309.90424656674 |
56 | 17537 | 17284.0365297475 | -5652.56678712428 | 23442.5302573768 | -252.963470252518 |
57 | 20366 | 21675.8076469611 | -4162.58536347779 | 23218.7777165167 | 1309.80764696106 |
58 | 22782 | 22601.6558894239 | -2.76958531050464 | 22965.1136958866 | -180.344110576123 |
59 | 19169 | 20749.1734075911 | -5122.6230828476 | 22711.4496752565 | 1580.17340759108 |
60 | 13807 | 16311.7423297352 | -11345.8784375805 | 22648.1361078453 | 2504.74232973524 |
61 | 29743 | 28885.1356807368 | 8016.04177882911 | 22584.8225404341 | -857.864319263212 |
62 | 25591 | 23315.3181746960 | 5307.45671236408 | 22559.2251129399 | -2275.68182530402 |
63 | 29096 | 27092.6681298335 | 8565.70418472071 | 22533.6276854458 | -2003.33187016649 |
64 | 26482 | 24788.7295232435 | 5665.29615310634 | 22509.9743236502 | -1693.27047675652 |
65 | 22405 | 21042.7932486457 | 1280.88578949974 | 22486.3209618546 | -1362.20675135432 |
66 | 27044 | 30815.0152992919 | 803.419222166538 | 22469.5654785415 | 3771.01529929193 |
67 | 17970 | 16839.5685564417 | -3352.37855167013 | 22452.8099952285 | -1130.43144355834 |
68 | 18730 | 20648.9163639743 | -5652.56678712428 | 22463.65042315 | 1918.91636397429 |
69 | 19684 | 21056.0945124063 | -4162.58536347779 | 22474.4908510715 | 1372.09451240629 |
70 | 19785 | 17073.1635633569 | -2.76958531050464 | 22499.6060219537 | -2711.83643664315 |
71 | 18479 | 19555.9018900118 | -5122.6230828476 | 22524.7211928358 | 1076.9018900118 |
72 | 10698 | 10189.5107696766 | -11345.8784375805 | 22552.3676679039 | -508.489230323401 |