FreeStatistics.org

Free Statistics

of Irreproducible Research!

Description of Statistical Computation

Author's title

Author*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Modulerwasp_babies.wasp
Title produced by softwareExercise 1.13
Date of computationFri, 10 Oct 2008 08:03:18 -0600
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2008/Oct/10/t12236474912vg31sfsqqcwhjl.htm/, Retrieved Sun, 19 May 2024 21:02:27 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=15226, Retrieved Sun, 19 May 2024 21:02:27 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact176

Tree of Dependent Computations

Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
F       [Exercise 1.13] [Probability small...] [2008-10-10 14:03:18] [63db34dadd44fb018112addcdefe949f] [Current]
-   P     [Exercise 1.13] [Reproduce 80% mal...] [2008-10-19 17:59:23] [b82ef11dce0545f3fd4676ec3ebed828]
Feedback Forum
2008-10-19 18:19:50 [Nick Wuyts] [reply] 
Het veranderen van 0.6 naar 0.8 bij percentage mannelijke babies per dag is correct. Als we de studente haar grafieken bekijken zien we bij het grote hospitaal dat deze situatie 0 keer voorkomt (juist). Bij het kleine hospitaal hebben we ook 0 (niet correct). Dit is echter toeval en een beetje pech hebben met de random getallen die gegenereerd worden. Ik heb de studente haar resultaat nog eens gereproduced, en dit gaf het volgende resultaat: http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2008/Oct/19/t1224439376b5endokopg1xf9l.htm/
Hier zien we het percentage stijgen van 0 naar 0.00273972602739726. Op de grafiek zien we bij de 100ste meting een dag waarin er 80% jongens geboren worden.
Dit voorval is mede te wijten doordat de studente 365 dagen genomen heeft als gesimuleerde dagen. Als we 3650 dagen nemen zal het bovenstaande scenario veel minder voorkomen.
2008-10-20 17:52:07 [Dorien Janssens] [reply] 
Het had hier inderdaad beter geweest om de berekening enkele keren te reproduceren. Dan had duidelijk geworden dat niet enkel 0 als antwoord kan. Door het aantal dagen ook hier te vermeerderen, wordt het resultaat nauwkeuriger.
2008-10-20 18:14:31 [Martjin De Swert] [reply] 
Het antwoord dat de waarschijnlijkheid dat in het kleine ziekenhuis meer dan 80% van alle geboorten jongens zijn 0 % is, is niet helemaal correct.

Zoals reeds gezegd was het aangewezen om een paar keer te reproduceren zodat ook een afwijkende oplossing bekomen word.

Post a new message

Dataset

Tables (Output of Computation)





Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'George Udny Yule' @ 72.249.76.132

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 2 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'George Udny Yule' @ 72.249.76.132 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=15226&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]2 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'George Udny Yule' @ 72.249.76.132[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=15226&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=15226&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  
QR Code


The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'George Udny Yule' @ 72.249.76.132






Exercise 1.13 p. 14 (Introduction to Probability, 2nd ed.)
Number of simulated days365
Expected number of births in Large Hospital45
Expected number of births in Small Hospital15
Percentage of Male births per day(for which the probability is computed)0.8
#Females births in Large Hospital8294
#Males births in Large Hospital8131
#Female births in Small Hospital2776
#Male births in Small Hospital2699
Probability of more than 80 % of male births in Large Hospital0
Probability of more than 80 % of male births in Small Hospital0
#Days per Year when more than 80 % of male births occur in Large Hospital0
#Days per Year when more than 80 % of male births occur in Small Hospital0

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Exercise 1.13 p. 14 (Introduction to Probability, 2nd ed.) \tabularnewline
Number of simulated days & 365 \tabularnewline
Expected number of births in Large Hospital & 45 \tabularnewline
Expected number of births in Small Hospital & 15 \tabularnewline
Percentage of Male births per day(for which the probability is computed) & 0.8 \tabularnewline
#Females births in Large Hospital & 8294 \tabularnewline
#Males births in Large Hospital & 8131 \tabularnewline
#Female births in Small Hospital & 2776 \tabularnewline
#Male births in Small Hospital & 2699 \tabularnewline
Probability of more than 80 % of male births in Large Hospital & 0 \tabularnewline
Probability of more than 80 % of male births in Small Hospital & 0 \tabularnewline
#Days per Year when more than 80 % of male births occur in Large Hospital & 0 \tabularnewline
#Days per Year when more than 80 % of male births occur in Small Hospital & 0 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=15226&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Exercise 1.13 p. 14 (Introduction to Probability, 2nd ed.)[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Number of simulated days[/C][C]365[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Expected number of births in Large Hospital[/C][C]45[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Expected number of births in Small Hospital[/C][C]15[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Percentage of Male births per day(for which the probability is computed)[/C][C]0.8[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]#Females births in Large Hospital[/C][C]8294[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]#Males births in Large Hospital[/C][C]8131[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]#Female births in Small Hospital[/C][C]2776[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]#Male births in Small Hospital[/C][C]2699[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Probability of more than 80 % of male births in Large Hospital[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[C]Probability of more than 80 % of male births in Small Hospital[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]#Days per Year when more than 80 % of male births occur in Large Hospital[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[C]#Days per Year when more than 80 % of male births occur in Small Hospital[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=15226&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=15226&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  
QR Code


The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Exercise 1.13 p. 14 (Introduction to Probability, 2nd ed.)
Number of simulated days365
Expected number of births in Large Hospital45
Expected number of births in Small Hospital15
Percentage of Male births per day(for which the probability is computed)0.8
#Females births in Large Hospital8294
#Males births in Large Hospital8131
#Female births in Small Hospital2776
#Male births in Small Hospital2699
Probability of more than 80 % of male births in Large Hospital0
Probability of more than 80 % of male births in Small Hospital0
#Days per Year when more than 80 % of male births occur in Large Hospital0
#Days per Year when more than 80 % of male births occur in Small Hospital0


Figures (Output of Computation)

Input Parameters & R Code

Parameters (Session):
par1 = 3285 ; par2 = 45 ; par3 = 15 ; par4 = 0.6 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 365 ; par2 = 45 ; par3 = 15 ; par4 = 0.8 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
par2 <- as.numeric(par2)
par3 <- as.numeric(par3)
par4 <- as.numeric(par4)
numsuccessbig <- 0
numsuccesssmall <- 0
bighospital <- array(NA,dim=c(par1,par2))
smallhospital <- array(NA,dim=c(par1,par3))
bigprob <- array(NA,dim=par1)
smallprob <- array(NA,dim=par1)
for (i in 1:par1) {
bighospital[i,] <- sample(c('F','M'),par2,replace=TRUE)
if (as.matrix(table(bighospital[i,]))[2] > par4*par2) numsuccessbig = numsuccessbig + 1
bigprob[i] <- numsuccessbig/i
smallhospital[i,] <- sample(c('F','M'),par3,replace=TRUE)
if (as.matrix(table(smallhospital[i,]))[2] > par4*par3) numsuccesssmall = numsuccesssmall + 1
smallprob[i] <- numsuccesssmall/i
}
tbig <- as.matrix(table(bighospital))
tsmall <- as.matrix(table(smallhospital))
tbig
tsmall
numsuccessbig/par1
bigprob[par1]
numsuccesssmall/par1
smallprob[par1]
numsuccessbig/par1*365
bigprob[par1]*365
numsuccesssmall/par1*365
smallprob[par1]*365
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(bigprob,col=2,main='Probability in Large Hospital',xlab='#simulated days',ylab='probability')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
plot(smallprob,col=2,main='Probability in Small Hospital',xlab='#simulated days',ylab='probability')
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Exercise 1.13 p. 14 (Introduction to Probability, 2nd ed.)',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Number of simulated days',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,par1)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Expected number of births in Large Hospital',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,par2)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Expected number of births in Small Hospital',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,par3)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Percentage of Male births per day
(for which the probability is computed)',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,par4)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'#Females births in Large Hospital',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,tbig[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'#Males births in Large Hospital',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,tbig[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'#Female births in Small Hospital',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,tsmall[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'#Male births in Small Hospital',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,tsmall[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
dum1 <- paste('Probability of more than', par4*100, sep=' ')
dum <- paste(dum1, '% of male births in Large Hospital', sep=' ')
a<-table.element(a, dum, header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, bigprob[par1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
dum <- paste(dum1, '% of male births in Small Hospital', sep=' ')
a<-table.element(a, dum, header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, smallprob[par1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
dum1 <- paste('#Days per Year when more than', par4*100, sep=' ')
dum <- paste(dum1, '% of male births occur in Large Hospital', sep=' ')
a<-table.element(a, dum, header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, bigprob[par1]*365)
a<-table.row.end(a)
dum <- paste(dum1, '% of male births occur in Small Hospital', sep=' ')
a<-table.element(a, dum, header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, smallprob[par1]*365)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')