Free Statistics

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Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_rwalk.wasp
Title produced by softwareLaw of Averages
Date of computationSat, 29 Nov 2008 13:50:50 -0700
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2008/Nov/29/t1227991911eqi2rezkqx2wb4p.htm/, Retrieved Mon, 27 May 2024 01:00:18 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26375, Retrieved Mon, 27 May 2024 01:00:18 +0000
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Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywordsVan Dooren Leen
Estimated Impact181
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
F     [Law of Averages] [Random Walk Simul...] [2008-11-25 18:05:16] [b98453cac15ba1066b407e146608df68]
F         [Law of Averages] [Non Stationary Ti...] [2008-11-29 20:50:50] [d175f84d503eb4f2a43145d5e67795b5] [Current]
Feedback Forum
2008-12-06 19:24:02 [Stefan Temmerman] [reply
Het Random-Walk model (Yt= Yt-1 + Et) zegt dat als een waarde hoog is (Yt-1), de kans groot is dat de volgende waarde (Yt) ook hoog is. Daarom ziet de ACF hier er zo uit, met opeenvolgende waarden die lichtjes dalen. In de ACF liggen alle correlaties buiten de stippellijnen, wat wil zeggen dat ze allen significant verschillend zijn en dat het patroon niet door het toeval kan verklaard worden zoals de student vermeldt. Dit is geen toeval en moet wijzen op een eigenschap van de tijdreeks. Het ligt dalend patroon duidt op een stochastische trend. Dit wil zeggen dat de trend kan veranderen: Hier verandert hij dikwijls, het is een munt dat wordt opgegooid.
2008-12-07 10:57:01 [006ad2c49b6a7c2ad6ab685cfc1dae56] [reply
Goed opgelost en voldoende uitleg gegeven.
2008-12-07 11:49:14 [Lana Van Wesemael] [reply
Goed opgelost.
2008-12-08 18:54:52 [Birgit Van Dyck] [reply
goede oplossing en interpretatie gegeven door de student.

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Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 1 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26375&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]1 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26375&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26375&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 500 ; par2 = 0.5 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 500 ; par2 = 0.5 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
n <- as.numeric(par1)
p <- as.numeric(par2)
heads=rbinom(n-1,1,p)
a=2*(heads)-1
b=diffinv(a,xi=0)
c=1:n
pheads=(diffinv(heads,xi=.5))/c
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op=par(mfrow=c(2,1))
plot(c,b,type='n',main='Law of Averages',xlab='Toss Number',ylab='Excess of Heads',lwd=2,cex.lab=1.5,cex.main=2)
lines(c,b,col='red')
lines(c,rep(0,n),col='black')
plot(c,pheads,type='n',xlab='Toss Number',ylab='Proportion of Heads',lwd=2,cex.lab=1.5)
lines(c,pheads,col='blue')
lines(c,rep(.5,n),col='black')
par(op)
dev.off()
b
bitmap(file='pic1.png')
racf <- acf(b,n/10,main='Autocorrelation',xlab='lags',ylab='ACF')
dev.off()
racf