Free Statistics

of Irreproducible Research!

Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_rwalk.wasp
Title produced by softwareLaw of Averages
Date of computationSat, 29 Nov 2008 05:59:17 -0700
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2008/Nov/29/t1227963785avqp0x4yv6vbvau.htm/, Retrieved Mon, 27 May 2024 14:26:13 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26252, Retrieved Mon, 27 May 2024 14:26:13 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact183
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
F     [Law of Averages] [Random Walk Simul...] [2008-11-25 18:05:16] [b98453cac15ba1066b407e146608df68]
F         [Law of Averages] [non stationary ti...] [2008-11-29 12:59:17] [d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e] [Current]
Feedback Forum
2008-12-08 19:38:09 [94a54c888ac7f7d6874c3108eb0e1808] [reply
Dit is volledig correct.
Er doet zich duidelijk een langzaam dalende trend voor. Alle autocorrelaties zijn positief en significant. Wanneer er een langzame evolutie is van het niveau is er sprake van autocorrelatie. Bij een zeer wispelturige grafiek zou er sprake zijn van negatieve autocorrelatie. Een autocorrelation plot als deze is typisch voor een stochastische lange termijn trend. We kunnen deze trend echter verwijderen uit de data door differentiatie.
2008-12-08 20:04:03 [Vincent Dolhain] [reply
correct
2008-12-10 07:39:53 [Peter Van Doninck] [reply
Het klopt dat alle staafjes buiten het 95% betrouwbaarheidsinterval liggen, en dus significant verschillen van nul. Wat we wel nog kunnen besluiten, doordat de staafjes buiten het 95% betrouwbaarheidsinterval liggen, is dat dit patroon niet op toeval berust. Het klopt dat er een positieve autocorrelatie is.

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Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 1 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26252&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]1 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26252&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26252&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 500 ; par2 = 0.5 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 500 ; par2 = 0.5 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
n <- as.numeric(par1)
p <- as.numeric(par2)
heads=rbinom(n-1,1,p)
a=2*(heads)-1
b=diffinv(a,xi=0)
c=1:n
pheads=(diffinv(heads,xi=.5))/c
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op=par(mfrow=c(2,1))
plot(c,b,type='n',main='Law of Averages',xlab='Toss Number',ylab='Excess of Heads',lwd=2,cex.lab=1.5,cex.main=2)
lines(c,b,col='red')
lines(c,rep(0,n),col='black')
plot(c,pheads,type='n',xlab='Toss Number',ylab='Proportion of Heads',lwd=2,cex.lab=1.5)
lines(c,pheads,col='blue')
lines(c,rep(.5,n),col='black')
par(op)
dev.off()
b
bitmap(file='pic1.png')
racf <- acf(b,n/10,main='Autocorrelation',xlab='lags',ylab='ACF')
dev.off()
racf