Free Statistics

of Irreproducible Research!

Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_rwalk.wasp
Title produced by softwareLaw of Averages
Date of computationSat, 29 Nov 2008 05:44:30 -0700
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2008/Nov/29/t1227963019i2phjqaxn4llxzo.htm/, Retrieved Sun, 19 May 2024 05:54:44 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26243, Retrieved Sun, 19 May 2024 05:54:44 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact150
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
F     [Law of Averages] [Random Walk Simul...] [2008-11-25 17:50:19] [b98453cac15ba1066b407e146608df68]
F         [Law of Averages] [non stationary ti...] [2008-11-29 12:44:30] [d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e] [Current]
Feedback Forum
2008-12-08 19:35:53 [94a54c888ac7f7d6874c3108eb0e1808] [reply
Het is inderdaad correct dat we uit deze reeks kunnen concluderen dat er schijnbaar een trendmatig verloop is dat schijnbaar voorspelbaar is maar er zijn geen patronen van deze reeks die ons in staat stellen er een voorspelling over te doen. Algemeen kunnen we nog zeggen dat er geen seizonaliteit is. De student heeft dit juist geanalyseerd.
2008-12-08 20:02:08 [Vincent Dolhain] [reply
correct
2008-12-10 07:36:33 [Peter Van Doninck] [reply
Het klopt dat er bij deze methode geen seizoenaliteit waar te nemen is. Toch moet de student nog expliciet toevoegen dat er ook geen lange termijntrend waar te nemen is! Dit kan verklaard worden omdat we hier werken met een simulatie! Een stijging of daling is hier puur door toeval te verklaren. We kunnen hier dus nooit patronen in herkennen om een voorspelling te maken.

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Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher' @ 193.190.124.24

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 2 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher' @ 193.190.124.24 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26243&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]2 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher' @ 193.190.124.24[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26243&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26243&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher' @ 193.190.124.24



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 500 ; par2 = 0.5 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 500 ; par2 = 0.5 ; par3 = ; par4 = ; par5 = ; par6 = ; par7 = ; par8 = ; par9 = ; par10 = ; par11 = ; par12 = ; par13 = ; par14 = ; par15 = ; par16 = ; par17 = ; par18 = ; par19 = ; par20 = ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
n <- as.numeric(par1)
p <- as.numeric(par2)
heads=rbinom(n-1,1,p)
a=2*(heads)-1
b=diffinv(a,xi=0)
c=1:n
pheads=(diffinv(heads,xi=.5))/c
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op=par(mfrow=c(2,1))
plot(c,b,type='n',main='Law of Averages',xlab='Toss Number',ylab='Excess of Heads',lwd=2,cex.lab=1.5,cex.main=2)
lines(c,b,col='red')
lines(c,rep(0,n),col='black')
plot(c,pheads,type='n',xlab='Toss Number',ylab='Proportion of Heads',lwd=2,cex.lab=1.5)
lines(c,pheads,col='blue')
lines(c,rep(.5,n),col='black')
par(op)
dev.off()