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Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_variancereduction.wasp
Title produced by softwareVariance Reduction Matrix
Date of computationTue, 09 Dec 2008 08:49:01 -0700
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2008/Dec/09/t1228837758k5nttfp52w8tjk9.htm/, Retrieved Tue, 28 May 2024 12:25:37 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=31532, Retrieved Tue, 28 May 2024 12:25:37 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact185
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
F       [Variance Reduction Matrix] [] [2008-12-09 15:49:01] [e02910eed3830f1815f587e12f46cbdb] [Current]
Feedback Forum
2008-12-13 11:07:25 [Nicolaj Wuyts] [reply
VRM: We zoeken hier inderdaad de kleinste variatie, omdat een kleinere variatie ons meer zekerheid biedt.
ACF: Het verloop van de autocorrelatie functie vertoond het typische verloop van de hangmatstructuur. Er moet dan inderdaad zowel seizoenaal als niet-seizoenaal gedifferentieerd worden.
Spectraal analyse: In het raw periodogram herkennen we de seizoenaliteit aan de regelmatig wederkerende scherpe pieken in het verloop van de grafiek. In het cumulative periodogram kan ongeveer 70% van het verloop van de grafiek verklaard worden door de trend op lange termijn.
2008-12-14 14:31:05 [Toon Wouters] [reply
Je kon ook nog besluiten dat het ook belangrijk is rekening te houden met de getrimde variantie. Soms kan deze hard verschillen met de gewone door aanwezigheid van outliers
2008-12-15 17:50:10 [Käthe Vanderheggen] [reply
De student heeft het bij het rechte einde: Als we weten dat de variantie het risico, de volatiliteit van de tijdreeks weergeeft, spreekt het voor zich dat we in de tabel op zoek moeten gaan naar de kleinste variantie.
We zouden nog kunnen vermelden dat we de getrimde variantie berekenen door de tijdreeks te differentiëren, de extremen weg te laten en opnieuw de variantie te berekenen. We passen deze methode toe als we te maken hebben met veel outliers.
2008-12-16 20:04:09 [Laura Reussens] [reply
Aan de hand van de variance reduction matrix kunnen we bepalen welke differentiatie nodig is om onze tijdreeks stationair te maken.
De variantie van een tijdreeks duidt op het risico, de volatiliteit die eigen is aan de tijdreeks. We zullen met andere woorden de kleinste variantie moeten gebruiken om zo het risico te beperken en onze tijdreeks zo goed mogelijk te kunnen verklaren.
Deze bedraagt 795.483036989776. Vervolgens kunnen we uit de eerste kolom de graad van differentiatie aflezen, we moeten zowel d en D gelijk stellen aan 1 om de tijdreeks stationair te maken. Maw we moeten de LT-trend en de seizoenaliteit verwijderen.
Wanneer we echter te maken zouden hebben met outliers, moeten we gebruik maken van de getrimde variantie. Hierbij zijn de hoogste en laagste waarden weggelaten. Ook hier moeten we d en D gelijk stellen aan 1.

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Dataseries X:
235.1
280.7
264.6
240.7
201.4
240.8
241.1
223.8
206.1
174.7
203.3
220.5
299.5
347.4
338.3
327.7
351.6
396.6
438.8
395.6
363.5
378.8
357
369
464.8
479.1
431.3
366.5
326.3
355.1
331.6
261.3
249
205.5
235.6
240.9
264.9
253.8
232.3
193.8
177
213.2
207.2
180.6
188.6
175.4
199
179.6
225.8
234
200.2
183.6
178.2
203.2
208.5
191.8
172.8
148
159.4
154.5
213.2
196.4
182.8
176.4
153.6
173.2
171
151.2
161.9
157.2
201.7
236.4
356.1
398.3
403.7
384.6
365.8
368.1
367.9
347
343.3
292.9
311.5
300.9
366.9
356.9
329.7
316.2
269
289.3
266.2
253.6
233.8
228.4
253.6
260.1
306.6
309.2
309.5
271
279.9
317.9
298.4
246.7
227.3
209.1
259.9
266
320.6
308.5
282.2
262.7
263.5
313.1
284.3
252.6
250.3
246.5
312.7
333.2
446.4
511.6
515.5
506.4
483.2
522.3
509.8
460.7
405.8
375
378.5
406.8
467.8
469.8
429.8
355.8
332.7
378
360.5
334.7
319.5
323.1
363.6
352.1
411.9
388.6
416.4
360.7
338
417.2
388.4
371.1
331.5
353.7
396.7
447
533.5
565.4
542.3
488.7
467.1
531.3
496.1
444
403.4
386.3
394.1
404.1
462.1
448.1
432.3
386.3
395.2
421.9
382.9
384.2
345.5
323.4
372.6
376
462.7
487
444.2
399.3
394.9
455.4
414
375.5
347
339.4
385.8
378.8
451.8
446.1
422.5
383.1
352.8
445.3
367.5
355.1
326.2
319.8
331.8
340.9
394.1
417.2
369.9
349.2
321.4
405.7
342.9
316.5
284.2
270.9
288.8
278.8
324.4
310.9
299
273
279.3
359.2
305
282.1
250.3
246.5
257.9
266.5
315.9
318.4
295.4
266.4
245.8
362.8
324.9
294.2
289.5
295.2
290.3
272
307.4
328.7
292.9
249.1
230.4
361.5
321.7
277.2
260.7
251
257.6
241.8
287.5
292.3
274.7
254.2
230
339
318.2
287
295.8
284
271
262.7
340.6
379.4
373.3
355.2
338.4
466.9
451
422
429.2
425.9
460.7
463.6
541.4
544.2
517.5
469.4
439.4
549
533
506.1
484
457
481.5
469.5
544.7
541.2
521.5
469.7
434.4
542.6
517.3
485.7
465.8
447
426.6
411.6
467.5
484.5
451.2
417.4
379.9
484.7
455
420.8
416.5
376.3
405.6
405.8
500.8
514
475.5
430.1
414.4
538
526
488.5
520.2
504.4
568.5
610.6
818
830.9
835.9
782
762.3
856.9
820.9
769.6
752.2
724.4
723.1
719.5
817.4
803.3
752.5
689
630.4
765.5
757.7
732.2
702.6
683.3
709.5
702.2
784.8
810.9
755.6
656.8
615.1
745.3
694.1
675.7
643.7
622.1
634.6
588
689.7
673.9
647.9
568.8
545.7
632.6
643.8
593.1
579.7
546
562.9
572.5




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time0 seconds
R Server'George Udny Yule' @ 72.249.76.132

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 0 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'George Udny Yule' @ 72.249.76.132 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=31532&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]0 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'George Udny Yule' @ 72.249.76.132[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=31532&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=31532&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time0 seconds
R Server'George Udny Yule' @ 72.249.76.132







Variance Reduction Matrix
V(Y[t],d=0,D=0)24040.7319917109Range708.9Trim Var.14891.1423067379
V(Y[t],d=1,D=0)1855.27831616522Range306.2Trim Var.1019.21726473461
V(Y[t],d=2,D=0)3601.51571083278Range388.2Trim Var.1764.07169175190
V(Y[t],d=3,D=0)10155.4683153647Range595.5Trim Var.5250.86267655406
V(Y[t],d=0,D=1)10061.5318845559Range585.7Trim Var.5798.12009737033
V(Y[t],d=1,D=1)795.483036989776Range221.9Trim Var.451.063415764475
V(Y[t],d=2,D=1)1251.20020977106Range223.4Trim Var.751.938251968809
V(Y[t],d=3,D=1)3933.17493248985Range389.7Trim Var.2351.74535475078
V(Y[t],d=0,D=2)23022.65043915Range819Trim Var.13637.4877562041
V(Y[t],d=1,D=2)2352.87163598807Range333.6Trim Var.1332.90434353283
V(Y[t],d=2,D=2)3506.43060400436Range407Trim Var.2059.39114521349
V(Y[t],d=3,D=2)10920.6579647792Range659.1Trim Var.6490.07402051023

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Variance Reduction Matrix \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=0,D=0) & 24040.7319917109 & Range & 708.9 & Trim Var. & 14891.1423067379 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=1,D=0) & 1855.27831616522 & Range & 306.2 & Trim Var. & 1019.21726473461 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=2,D=0) & 3601.51571083278 & Range & 388.2 & Trim Var. & 1764.07169175190 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=3,D=0) & 10155.4683153647 & Range & 595.5 & Trim Var. & 5250.86267655406 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=0,D=1) & 10061.5318845559 & Range & 585.7 & Trim Var. & 5798.12009737033 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=1,D=1) & 795.483036989776 & Range & 221.9 & Trim Var. & 451.063415764475 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=2,D=1) & 1251.20020977106 & Range & 223.4 & Trim Var. & 751.938251968809 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=3,D=1) & 3933.17493248985 & Range & 389.7 & Trim Var. & 2351.74535475078 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=0,D=2) & 23022.65043915 & Range & 819 & Trim Var. & 13637.4877562041 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=1,D=2) & 2352.87163598807 & Range & 333.6 & Trim Var. & 1332.90434353283 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=2,D=2) & 3506.43060400436 & Range & 407 & Trim Var. & 2059.39114521349 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=3,D=2) & 10920.6579647792 & Range & 659.1 & Trim Var. & 6490.07402051023 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=31532&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Variance Reduction Matrix[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=0,D=0)[/C][C]24040.7319917109[/C][C]Range[/C][C]708.9[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]14891.1423067379[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=1,D=0)[/C][C]1855.27831616522[/C][C]Range[/C][C]306.2[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]1019.21726473461[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=2,D=0)[/C][C]3601.51571083278[/C][C]Range[/C][C]388.2[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]1764.07169175190[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=3,D=0)[/C][C]10155.4683153647[/C][C]Range[/C][C]595.5[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]5250.86267655406[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=0,D=1)[/C][C]10061.5318845559[/C][C]Range[/C][C]585.7[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]5798.12009737033[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=1,D=1)[/C][C]795.483036989776[/C][C]Range[/C][C]221.9[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]451.063415764475[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=2,D=1)[/C][C]1251.20020977106[/C][C]Range[/C][C]223.4[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]751.938251968809[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=3,D=1)[/C][C]3933.17493248985[/C][C]Range[/C][C]389.7[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]2351.74535475078[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=0,D=2)[/C][C]23022.65043915[/C][C]Range[/C][C]819[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]13637.4877562041[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=1,D=2)[/C][C]2352.87163598807[/C][C]Range[/C][C]333.6[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]1332.90434353283[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=2,D=2)[/C][C]3506.43060400436[/C][C]Range[/C][C]407[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]2059.39114521349[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=3,D=2)[/C][C]10920.6579647792[/C][C]Range[/C][C]659.1[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]6490.07402051023[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=31532&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=31532&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Variance Reduction Matrix
V(Y[t],d=0,D=0)24040.7319917109Range708.9Trim Var.14891.1423067379
V(Y[t],d=1,D=0)1855.27831616522Range306.2Trim Var.1019.21726473461
V(Y[t],d=2,D=0)3601.51571083278Range388.2Trim Var.1764.07169175190
V(Y[t],d=3,D=0)10155.4683153647Range595.5Trim Var.5250.86267655406
V(Y[t],d=0,D=1)10061.5318845559Range585.7Trim Var.5798.12009737033
V(Y[t],d=1,D=1)795.483036989776Range221.9Trim Var.451.063415764475
V(Y[t],d=2,D=1)1251.20020977106Range223.4Trim Var.751.938251968809
V(Y[t],d=3,D=1)3933.17493248985Range389.7Trim Var.2351.74535475078
V(Y[t],d=0,D=2)23022.65043915Range819Trim Var.13637.4877562041
V(Y[t],d=1,D=2)2352.87163598807Range333.6Trim Var.1332.90434353283
V(Y[t],d=2,D=2)3506.43060400436Range407Trim Var.2059.39114521349
V(Y[t],d=3,D=2)10920.6579647792Range659.1Trim Var.6490.07402051023



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 12 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 12 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
n <- length(x)
sx <- sort(x)
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variance Reduction Matrix',6,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (bigd in 0:2) {
for (smalld in 0:3) {
mylabel <- 'V(Y[t],d='
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,as.character(smalld),sep='')
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,',D=',sep='')
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,as.character(bigd),sep='')
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,')',sep='')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mylabel,header=TRUE)
myx <- x
if (smalld > 0) myx <- diff(x,lag=1,differences=smalld)
if (bigd > 0) myx <- diff(myx,lag=par1,differences=bigd)
a<-table.element(a,var(myx))
a<-table.element(a,'Range',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,max(myx)-min(myx))
a<-table.element(a,'Trim Var.',header=TRUE)
smyx <- sort(myx)
sn <- length(smyx)
a<-table.element(a,var(smyx[smyx>quantile(smyx,0.05) & smyxa<-table.row.end(a)
}
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')