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Author

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R Software Module

rwasp_variancereduction.wasp

Title produced by software

Variance Reduction Matrix

Date of computation

Mon, 08 Dec 2008 15:59:18 -0700

Cite this page as follows

Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2008/Dec/09/t1228777212loxjwopsel00t0l.htm/, Retrieved Sun, 19 May 2024 10:47:17 +0000

Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=31110, Retrieved Sun, 19 May 2024 10:47:17 +0000

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Estimated Impact

216

Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)

-     [Univariate Data Series] [data set] [2008-12-01 19:54:57] [b98453cac15ba1066b407e146608df68]
F RMP   [Variance Reduction Matrix] [step 1] [2008-12-08 21:50:50] [cf9c64468d04c2c4dd548cc66b4e3677]
F           [Variance Reduction Matrix] [Step 1] [2008-12-08 22:59:18] [14a75ec03b2c0d8ddd8b141a7b1594fd] [Current]
F             [Variance Reduction Matrix] [Q1 step 1] [2008-12-08 23:30:00] [73d6180dc45497329efd1b6934a84aba] 

Feedback Forum

2008-12-14 10:44:56 [Christy Masson] [reply] 
Je hebt hier de verkeerde methode toegepast, je had hier gebruik moeten maken van de standard diviation mean plot.  
Op de SMP zien we 1 outlier. Deze outlier bevindt zich bijna in het midden van de grafiek. Maar enkel de outliers die zich aan de linker - of rechterkant van de grafiek kunnen een invloed hebben op de regressie rechte. 
Omdat de outlier zich hier in het midden bevindt kunnen we niet echt spreken van een invloed. 
de p-waarde = 0,003,we kunnen dus stellen dat de beta coëfficiënt significant verschillend is van 0. 
2008-12-15 22:11:49 [Kenny Simons] [reply] 
Hier moest je aan de hand van een Standard Deviation Mean Plot de optimale transformatie parameters vinden om de tijdreeks stationair te maken. Hier heb ik dus de verkeerde techniek gebruikt, namelijk die van de VRM-Matrix.  
 
Dit is de link met de juiste techniek: 
 
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2008/Dec/15/t122930266098bbsbcbpyzfnva.htm 
 
Op de grafiek van het SMP zien we dat er een positieve helling is. We zien hier een grote standaardfout en een hoge werkloosheidsgraad. We kunnen hier spreken over heteroskedasticiteit (ongelijke spreiding). 
 
Regression: S.E.(k) = alpha + beta * Mean(k) 
alpha	25.0818554501784 
beta	0.0488516650103526 
S.D.	0.0155384837695400 
T-STAT	3.14391453728042 
p-value	0.00382792717820021 
 
Bèta is hier gelijk aan 0.0488… Het is dus een positieve helling die verschillend van 0 is. De P-value is hier 0.0038…De kans dat deze helling op toeval berust is met andere woorden zeer klein.  
Regression: ln S.E.(k) = alpha + beta * ln Mean(k) 
alpha	0.596066412617842 
beta	0.532942026074986 
S.D.	0.115396834084912 
T-STAT	4.61834183148243 
p-value	7.31833172336408e-05 
Lambda	0.467057973925014 
 
De gevonden lamdba-waarde is 0.4670…, deze kunnen we best afronden naar 0.5 om het verdere verloop van het model niet te ingewikkeld te maken.  

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Summary of computational transaction
Raw Input	view raw input (R code)
Raw Output	view raw output of R engine
Computing time	1 seconds
R Server	'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 1 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=31110&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]1 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=31110&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=31110&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Input	view raw input (R code)
Raw Output	view raw output of R engine
Computing time	1 seconds
R Server	'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135

Variance Reduction Matrix
V(Y[t],d=0,D=0)	24040.7319917109	Range	708.9	Trim Var.	14891.1423067379
V(Y[t],d=1,D=0)	1855.27831616522	Range	306.2	Trim Var.	1019.21726473461
V(Y[t],d=2,D=0)	3601.51571083278	Range	388.2	Trim Var.	1764.07169175190
V(Y[t],d=3,D=0)	10155.4683153647	Range	595.5	Trim Var.	5250.86267655406
V(Y[t],d=0,D=1)	10061.5318845559	Range	585.7	Trim Var.	5798.12009737033
V(Y[t],d=1,D=1)	795.483036989776	Range	221.9	Trim Var.	451.063415764475
V(Y[t],d=2,D=1)	1251.20020977106	Range	223.4	Trim Var.	751.938251968809
V(Y[t],d=3,D=1)	3933.17493248985	Range	389.7	Trim Var.	2351.74535475078
V(Y[t],d=0,D=2)	23022.65043915	Range	819	Trim Var.	13637.4877562041
V(Y[t],d=1,D=2)	2352.87163598807	Range	333.6	Trim Var.	1332.90434353283
V(Y[t],d=2,D=2)	3506.43060400436	Range	407	Trim Var.	2059.39114521349
V(Y[t],d=3,D=2)	10920.6579647792	Range	659.1	Trim Var.	6490.07402051023

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Variance Reduction Matrix \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=0,D=0) & 24040.7319917109 & Range & 708.9 & Trim Var. & 14891.1423067379 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=1,D=0) & 1855.27831616522 & Range & 306.2 & Trim Var. & 1019.21726473461 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=2,D=0) & 3601.51571083278 & Range & 388.2 & Trim Var. & 1764.07169175190 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=3,D=0) & 10155.4683153647 & Range & 595.5 & Trim Var. & 5250.86267655406 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=0,D=1) & 10061.5318845559 & Range & 585.7 & Trim Var. & 5798.12009737033 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=1,D=1) & 795.483036989776 & Range & 221.9 & Trim Var. & 451.063415764475 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=2,D=1) & 1251.20020977106 & Range & 223.4 & Trim Var. & 751.938251968809 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=3,D=1) & 3933.17493248985 & Range & 389.7 & Trim Var. & 2351.74535475078 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=0,D=2) & 23022.65043915 & Range & 819 & Trim Var. & 13637.4877562041 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=1,D=2) & 2352.87163598807 & Range & 333.6 & Trim Var. & 1332.90434353283 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=2,D=2) & 3506.43060400436 & Range & 407 & Trim Var. & 2059.39114521349 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=3,D=2) & 10920.6579647792 & Range & 659.1 & Trim Var. & 6490.07402051023 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=31110&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Variance Reduction Matrix[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=0,D=0)[/C][C]24040.7319917109[/C][C]Range[/C][C]708.9[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]14891.1423067379[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=1,D=0)[/C][C]1855.27831616522[/C][C]Range[/C][C]306.2[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]1019.21726473461[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=2,D=0)[/C][C]3601.51571083278[/C][C]Range[/C][C]388.2[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]1764.07169175190[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=3,D=0)[/C][C]10155.4683153647[/C][C]Range[/C][C]595.5[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]5250.86267655406[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=0,D=1)[/C][C]10061.5318845559[/C][C]Range[/C][C]585.7[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]5798.12009737033[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=1,D=1)[/C][C]795.483036989776[/C][C]Range[/C][C]221.9[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]451.063415764475[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=2,D=1)[/C][C]1251.20020977106[/C][C]Range[/C][C]223.4[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]751.938251968809[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=3,D=1)[/C][C]3933.17493248985[/C][C]Range[/C][C]389.7[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]2351.74535475078[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=0,D=2)[/C][C]23022.65043915[/C][C]Range[/C][C]819[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]13637.4877562041[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=1,D=2)[/C][C]2352.87163598807[/C][C]Range[/C][C]333.6[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]1332.90434353283[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=2,D=2)[/C][C]3506.43060400436[/C][C]Range[/C][C]407[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]2059.39114521349[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=3,D=2)[/C][C]10920.6579647792[/C][C]Range[/C][C]659.1[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]6490.07402051023[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=31110&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=31110&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Variance Reduction Matrix
V(Y[t],d=0,D=0)	24040.7319917109	Range	708.9	Trim Var.	14891.1423067379
V(Y[t],d=1,D=0)	1855.27831616522	Range	306.2	Trim Var.	1019.21726473461
V(Y[t],d=2,D=0)	3601.51571083278	Range	388.2	Trim Var.	1764.07169175190
V(Y[t],d=3,D=0)	10155.4683153647	Range	595.5	Trim Var.	5250.86267655406
V(Y[t],d=0,D=1)	10061.5318845559	Range	585.7	Trim Var.	5798.12009737033
V(Y[t],d=1,D=1)	795.483036989776	Range	221.9	Trim Var.	451.063415764475
V(Y[t],d=2,D=1)	1251.20020977106	Range	223.4	Trim Var.	751.938251968809
V(Y[t],d=3,D=1)	3933.17493248985	Range	389.7	Trim Var.	2351.74535475078
V(Y[t],d=0,D=2)	23022.65043915	Range	819	Trim Var.	13637.4877562041
V(Y[t],d=1,D=2)	2352.87163598807	Range	333.6	Trim Var.	1332.90434353283
V(Y[t],d=2,D=2)	3506.43060400436	Range	407	Trim Var.	2059.39114521349
V(Y[t],d=3,D=2)	10920.6579647792	Range	659.1	Trim Var.	6490.07402051023

Parameters (Session):

par1 = 12 ;

Parameters (R input):

par1 = 12 ;

R code (references can be found in the software module):

par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
n <- length(x)
sx <- sort(x)
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variance Reduction Matrix',6,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (bigd in 0:2) {
for (smalld in 0:3) {
mylabel <- 'V(Y[t],d='
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,as.character(smalld),sep='')
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,',D=',sep='')
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,as.character(bigd),sep='')
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,')',sep='')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mylabel,header=TRUE)
myx <- x
if (smalld > 0) myx <- diff(x,lag=1,differences=smalld)
if (bigd > 0) myx <- diff(myx,lag=par1,differences=bigd)
a<-table.element(a,var(myx))
a<-table.element(a,'Range',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,max(myx)-min(myx))
a<-table.element(a,'Trim Var.',header=TRUE)
smyx <- sort(myx)
sn <- length(smyx)
a<-table.element(a,var(smyx[smyx>quantile(smyx,0.05) & smyxa<-table.row.end(a)
}
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')

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Dataset

Tables (Output of Computation)

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Input Parameters & R Code