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Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_variancereduction.wasp
Title produced by softwareVariance Reduction Matrix
Date of computationWed, 03 Dec 2008 08:14:16 -0700
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2008/Dec/03/t1228317342ljjvcun4vtu6d4e.htm/, Retrieved Sun, 19 May 2024 07:56:32 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=28729, Retrieved Sun, 19 May 2024 07:56:32 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact203
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-     [Univariate Data Series] [data set] [2008-12-01 19:54:57] [b98453cac15ba1066b407e146608df68]
F RMP     [Variance Reduction Matrix] [T8 1] [2008-12-03 15:14:16] [fb0ffb935e9c1a725d69519be28b148f] [Current]
- RM        [Standard Deviation-Mean Plot] [Verbetering Stand...] [2008-12-15 21:04:38] [73d6180dc45497329efd1b6934a84aba]
-    D      [Variance Reduction Matrix] [Paper - VRM] [2008-12-19 16:55:13] [23bfa928dab4b48567707937094f7011]
Feedback Forum
2008-12-15 21:10:48 [Gregory Van Overmeiren] [reply
Hier moest je aan de hand van een Standard Deviation Mean Plot de optimale transformatie parameters vinden om de tijdreeks stationair te maken. Hier heb je dus de verkeerde techniek gebruikt, namelijk die van de VRM-Matrix. (deze behoort volgens mij tot step 2)

Dit is de link met de juiste techniek:

http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2008/Dec/15/t1229375141o55168rdve9yrwj.htm

Op de grafiek van het SMP zien we dat er een positieve helling is. We zien hier een grote standaardfout en een hoge werkloosheidsgraad. We kunnen hier spreken over heteroskedasticiteit (ongelijke spreiding).

Regression: S.E.(k) = alpha + beta * Mean(k)
alpha 25.0818554501784
beta 0.0488516650103526
S.D. 0.0155384837695400
T-STAT 3.14391453728042
p-value 0.00382792717820021

Bèta is hier gelijk aan 0.0488… Het is dus een positieve helling die verschillend van 0 is. De P-value is hier 0.0038…De kans dat deze helling op toeval berust is met andere woorden zeer klein.

Regression: ln S.E.(k) = alpha + beta * ln Mean(k)
alpha 0.596066412617842
beta 0.532942026074986
S.D. 0.115396834084912
T-STAT 4.61834183148243
p-value 7.31833172336408e-05
Lambda 0.467057973925014

De gevonden lamdba-waarde is 0.4670…, deze kunnen we best afronden naar 0.5 om het verdere verloop van het model niet te ingewikkeld te maken.

2008-12-15 21:15:04 [Gregory Van Overmeiren] [reply
STEP 2 VRM

=> We vinden idd de laagste waarde bij d=1 en D= 1. De student heeft dit correct opgelost !

Post a new message
Dataseries X:
235.1
280.7
264.6
240.7
201.4
240.8
241.1
223.8
206.1
174.7
203.3
220.5
299.5
347.4
338.3
327.7
351.6
396.6
438.8
395.6
363.5
378.8
357
369
464.8
479.1
431.3
366.5
326.3
355.1
331.6
261.3
249
205.5
235.6
240.9
264.9
253.8
232.3
193.8
177
213.2
207.2
180.6
188.6
175.4
199
179.6
225.8
234
200.2
183.6
178.2
203.2
208.5
191.8
172.8
148
159.4
154.5
213.2
196.4
182.8
176.4
153.6
173.2
171
151.2
161.9
157.2
201.7
236.4
356.1
398.3
403.7
384.6
365.8
368.1
367.9
347
343.3
292.9
311.5
300.9
366.9
356.9
329.7
316.2
269
289.3
266.2
253.6
233.8
228.4
253.6
260.1
306.6
309.2
309.5
271
279.9
317.9
298.4
246.7
227.3
209.1
259.9
266
320.6
308.5
282.2
262.7
263.5
313.1
284.3
252.6
250.3
246.5
312.7
333.2
446.4
511.6
515.5
506.4
483.2
522.3
509.8
460.7
405.8
375
378.5
406.8
467.8
469.8
429.8
355.8
332.7
378
360.5
334.7
319.5
323.1
363.6
352.1
411.9
388.6
416.4
360.7
338
417.2
388.4
371.1
331.5
353.7
396.7
447
533.5
565.4
542.3
488.7
467.1
531.3
496.1
444
403.4
386.3
394.1
404.1
462.1
448.1
432.3
386.3
395.2
421.9
382.9
384.2
345.5
323.4
372.6
376
462.7
487
444.2
399.3
394.9
455.4
414
375.5
347
339.4
385.8
378.8
451.8
446.1
422.5
383.1
352.8
445.3
367.5
355.1
326.2
319.8
331.8
340.9
394.1
417.2
369.9
349.2
321.4
405.7
342.9
316.5
284.2
270.9
288.8
278.8
324.4
310.9
299
273
279.3
359.2
305
282.1
250.3
246.5
257.9
266.5
315.9
318.4
295.4
266.4
245.8
362.8
324.9
294.2
289.5
295.2
290.3
272
307.4
328.7
292.9
249.1
230.4
361.5
321.7
277.2
260.7
251
257.6
241.8
287.5
292.3
274.7
254.2
230
339
318.2
287
295.8
284
271
262.7
340.6
379.4
373.3
355.2
338.4
466.9
451
422
429.2
425.9
460.7
463.6
541.4
544.2
517.5
469.4
439.4
549
533
506.1
484
457
481.5
469.5
544.7
541.2
521.5
469.7
434.4
542.6
517.3
485.7
465.8
447
426.6
411.6
467.5
484.5
451.2
417.4
379.9
484.7
455
420.8
416.5
376.3
405.6
405.8
500.8
514
475.5
430.1
414.4
538
526
488.5
520.2
504.4
568.5
610.6
818
830.9
835.9
782
762.3
856.9
820.9
769.6
752.2
724.4
723.1
719.5
817.4
803.3
752.5
689
630.4
765.5
757.7
732.2
702.6
683.3
709.5
702.2
784.8
810.9
755.6
656.8
615.1
745.3
694.1
675.7
643.7
622.1
634.6
588
689.7
673.9
647.9
568.8
545.7
632.6
643.8
593.1
579.7
546
562.9
572.5




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'Herman Ole Andreas Wold' @ 193.190.124.10:1001

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 2 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Herman Ole Andreas Wold' @ 193.190.124.10:1001 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=28729&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]2 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Herman Ole Andreas Wold' @ 193.190.124.10:1001[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=28729&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=28729&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'Herman Ole Andreas Wold' @ 193.190.124.10:1001







Variance Reduction Matrix
V(Y[t],d=0,D=0)24040.7319917109Range708.9Trim Var.14891.1423067379
V(Y[t],d=1,D=0)1855.27831616522Range306.2Trim Var.1019.21726473461
V(Y[t],d=2,D=0)3601.51571083278Range388.2Trim Var.1764.07169175190
V(Y[t],d=3,D=0)10155.4683153647Range595.5Trim Var.5250.86267655406
V(Y[t],d=0,D=1)10061.5318845559Range585.7Trim Var.5798.12009737033
V(Y[t],d=1,D=1)795.483036989776Range221.9Trim Var.451.063415764475
V(Y[t],d=2,D=1)1251.20020977106Range223.4Trim Var.751.938251968809
V(Y[t],d=3,D=1)3933.17493248985Range389.7Trim Var.2351.74535475078
V(Y[t],d=0,D=2)23022.65043915Range819Trim Var.13637.4877562041
V(Y[t],d=1,D=2)2352.87163598807Range333.6Trim Var.1332.90434353283
V(Y[t],d=2,D=2)3506.43060400436Range407Trim Var.2059.39114521349
V(Y[t],d=3,D=2)10920.6579647792Range659.1Trim Var.6490.07402051023

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Variance Reduction Matrix \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=0,D=0) & 24040.7319917109 & Range & 708.9 & Trim Var. & 14891.1423067379 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=1,D=0) & 1855.27831616522 & Range & 306.2 & Trim Var. & 1019.21726473461 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=2,D=0) & 3601.51571083278 & Range & 388.2 & Trim Var. & 1764.07169175190 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=3,D=0) & 10155.4683153647 & Range & 595.5 & Trim Var. & 5250.86267655406 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=0,D=1) & 10061.5318845559 & Range & 585.7 & Trim Var. & 5798.12009737033 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=1,D=1) & 795.483036989776 & Range & 221.9 & Trim Var. & 451.063415764475 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=2,D=1) & 1251.20020977106 & Range & 223.4 & Trim Var. & 751.938251968809 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=3,D=1) & 3933.17493248985 & Range & 389.7 & Trim Var. & 2351.74535475078 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=0,D=2) & 23022.65043915 & Range & 819 & Trim Var. & 13637.4877562041 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=1,D=2) & 2352.87163598807 & Range & 333.6 & Trim Var. & 1332.90434353283 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=2,D=2) & 3506.43060400436 & Range & 407 & Trim Var. & 2059.39114521349 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=3,D=2) & 10920.6579647792 & Range & 659.1 & Trim Var. & 6490.07402051023 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=28729&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Variance Reduction Matrix[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=0,D=0)[/C][C]24040.7319917109[/C][C]Range[/C][C]708.9[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]14891.1423067379[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=1,D=0)[/C][C]1855.27831616522[/C][C]Range[/C][C]306.2[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]1019.21726473461[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=2,D=0)[/C][C]3601.51571083278[/C][C]Range[/C][C]388.2[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]1764.07169175190[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=3,D=0)[/C][C]10155.4683153647[/C][C]Range[/C][C]595.5[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]5250.86267655406[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=0,D=1)[/C][C]10061.5318845559[/C][C]Range[/C][C]585.7[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]5798.12009737033[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=1,D=1)[/C][C]795.483036989776[/C][C]Range[/C][C]221.9[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]451.063415764475[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=2,D=1)[/C][C]1251.20020977106[/C][C]Range[/C][C]223.4[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]751.938251968809[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=3,D=1)[/C][C]3933.17493248985[/C][C]Range[/C][C]389.7[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]2351.74535475078[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=0,D=2)[/C][C]23022.65043915[/C][C]Range[/C][C]819[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]13637.4877562041[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=1,D=2)[/C][C]2352.87163598807[/C][C]Range[/C][C]333.6[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]1332.90434353283[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=2,D=2)[/C][C]3506.43060400436[/C][C]Range[/C][C]407[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]2059.39114521349[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=3,D=2)[/C][C]10920.6579647792[/C][C]Range[/C][C]659.1[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]6490.07402051023[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=28729&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=28729&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Variance Reduction Matrix
V(Y[t],d=0,D=0)24040.7319917109Range708.9Trim Var.14891.1423067379
V(Y[t],d=1,D=0)1855.27831616522Range306.2Trim Var.1019.21726473461
V(Y[t],d=2,D=0)3601.51571083278Range388.2Trim Var.1764.07169175190
V(Y[t],d=3,D=0)10155.4683153647Range595.5Trim Var.5250.86267655406
V(Y[t],d=0,D=1)10061.5318845559Range585.7Trim Var.5798.12009737033
V(Y[t],d=1,D=1)795.483036989776Range221.9Trim Var.451.063415764475
V(Y[t],d=2,D=1)1251.20020977106Range223.4Trim Var.751.938251968809
V(Y[t],d=3,D=1)3933.17493248985Range389.7Trim Var.2351.74535475078
V(Y[t],d=0,D=2)23022.65043915Range819Trim Var.13637.4877562041
V(Y[t],d=1,D=2)2352.87163598807Range333.6Trim Var.1332.90434353283
V(Y[t],d=2,D=2)3506.43060400436Range407Trim Var.2059.39114521349
V(Y[t],d=3,D=2)10920.6579647792Range659.1Trim Var.6490.07402051023



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 12 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 12 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
n <- length(x)
sx <- sort(x)
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variance Reduction Matrix',6,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (bigd in 0:2) {
for (smalld in 0:3) {
mylabel <- 'V(Y[t],d='
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,as.character(smalld),sep='')
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,',D=',sep='')
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,as.character(bigd),sep='')
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,')',sep='')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mylabel,header=TRUE)
myx <- x
if (smalld > 0) myx <- diff(x,lag=1,differences=smalld)
if (bigd > 0) myx <- diff(myx,lag=par1,differences=bigd)
a<-table.element(a,var(myx))
a<-table.element(a,'Range',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,max(myx)-min(myx))
a<-table.element(a,'Trim Var.',header=TRUE)
smyx <- sort(myx)
sn <- length(smyx)
a<-table.element(a,var(smyx[smyx>quantile(smyx,0.05) & smyxa<-table.row.end(a)
}
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')