ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iteration	ar1	ar2	ar3	ma1	sar1	sar2	sma1
Estimates ( 1 )	-0.1971	0.4107	0.5129	0.5112	-0.1542	0.0638	-0.3739
(p-val)	(0.4297 )	(0.0186 )	(4e-04 )	(0.0667 )	(0.9314 )	(0.9412 )	(0.8383 )
Estimates ( 2 )	-0.1967	0.408	0.5131	0.5087	-0.2855	0	-0.2396
(p-val)	(0.429 )	(0.0165 )	(4e-04 )	(0.0656 )	(0.5099 )	(NA )	(0.6142 )
Estimates ( 3 )	-0.2021	0.3859	0.5063	0.4982	-0.4649	0	0
(p-val)	(0.4041 )	(0.0143 )	(4e-04 )	(0.0589 )	(0.0088 )	(NA )	(NA )
Estimates ( 4 )	0	0.3177	0.4517	0.3011	-0.4697	0	0
(p-val)	(NA )	(0.0146 )	(0.0011 )	(0.0371 )	(0.0087 )	(NA )	(NA )
Estimates ( 5 )	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA
(p-val)	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )
Estimates ( 6 )	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA
(p-val)	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )

Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
0.0570995506747289
-4.02433689685369
2.12923804755129
-10.6122938903797
-4.3359296411517
-6.22733888669911
3.22296485773548
2.91903778485799
-4.77029180223457
2.60234152246724
14.5497832096462
-3.19704615494907
-1.53934714697667
-14.1675779119197
-7.69834856363702
-9.46063260300812
3.20599307526845
0.9340260327146
-1.74643706169598
-1.60436901235218
-2.76609885843894
-1.06819778481231
4.10693320775714
0.883404289491322
5.54361026470324
-4.41494693376834
-11.9754052810744
8.31266129910436
3.01450253660800
3.68094707104857
-0.890415067019422
2.595145395353
-7.01589724607974
7.19258687721864
-3.71176629728104
-2.03097842214099
-0.536909636305827
-4.50694468863811
6.65189348962333
-3.19831960108117
-4.05617780409288
0.9948724856378
0.73129942742564
-4.30310893621346
-5.91630674892977
-0.54156629790667
-4.30524233796557
11.4524575704916
1.15801877251615