ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iteration	ar1	ar2	ar3	ma1	sar1	sar2	sma1
Estimates ( 1 )	-0.1971	0.4107	0.5129	0.5112	-0.1542	0.0638	-0.3739
(p-val)	(0.4297 )	(0.0186 )	(4e-04 )	(0.0667 )	(0.9315 )	(0.9412 )	(0.8384 )
Estimates ( 2 )	-0.1967	0.408	0.5131	0.5087	-0.2855	0	-0.2396
(p-val)	(0.429 )	(0.0165 )	(4e-04 )	(0.0656 )	(0.5098 )	(NA )	(0.6142 )
Estimates ( 3 )	-0.2021	0.3859	0.5063	0.4982	-0.4649	0	0
(p-val)	(0.404 )	(0.0143 )	(4e-04 )	(0.0589 )	(0.0088 )	(NA )	(NA )
Estimates ( 4 )	0	0.3177	0.4517	0.3011	-0.4697	0	0
(p-val)	(NA )	(0.0146 )	(0.0011 )	(0.0371 )	(0.0087 )	(NA )	(NA )
Estimates ( 5 )	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA
(p-val)	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )
Estimates ( 6 )	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA
(p-val)	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )

Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
0.0570995506747299
-4.02433691114591
2.12923805817709
-10.6122939294846
-4.33592967347822
-6.22733887934561
3.22296488971418
2.91903775786582
-4.77029181464147
2.60234151268745
14.5497833196297
-3.19704622303658
-1.53934717938419
-14.1675778665002
-7.69834859633814
-9.46063257356501
3.20599318735003
0.934025985972693
-1.74643708941751
-1.60436910416306
-2.76609879854714
-1.06819785304358
4.10693305127507
0.883404304002277
5.54361022112565
-4.41494681931158
-11.9754052150113
8.31266134673431
3.01450252845769
3.68094694148618
-0.890415043695038
2.59514547831168
-7.01589731743944
7.19258696175249
-3.71176628364015
-2.03097845619725
-0.536909685093532
-4.50694465524361
6.65189348266821
-3.19831963840527
-4.0561778497255
0.994872465591811
0.731299482811721
-4.30310906068591
-5.91630665073181
-0.541566355927785
-4.30524234788582
11.4524575972973
1.15801877147329