| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.873 | 1.3748 | -0.3748 | 0.4493 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0365 ) | (0.0424 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.9848 | 1.6071 | -0.6104 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 238.062931743434 |
| 134.196255236253 |
| 184.823475832214 |
| 143.259279491303 |
| 170.094439063408 |
| 144.978792940636 |
| 200.315165985152 |
| 170.940897824544 |
| 197.843010497108 |
| 168.030041681407 |
| 172.134525430037 |
| 38.7586473768255 |
| 5074.25472784224 |
| 6527.49745497863 |
| 10857.2289187117 |
| 4767.59341861155 |
| 9611.11139014742 |
| 9815.39322808685 |
| 15880.487630175 |
| -1953.87934078772 |
| 9088.36887108634 |
| 3896.36998157015 |
| 25061.7495290512 |
| 5965.80787615933 |
| 30096.4201613827 |
| 6197.80389231876 |
| 18808.6527754912 |
| 18467.6046928547 |
| 16942.9300083847 |
| 19837.6405813962 |
| 13320.8372509661 |
| 31256.7953234686 |
| 19448.4938739834 |
| 18503.2525593878 |
| -2544.12417984496 |
| 18765.3647110512 |
| -4866.2405389827 |
| 18297.8475810416 |
| 3987.80327013155 |
| -1962.13385727643 |
| 5965.81589072695 |
| -3615.57117716371 |
| -5405.14755401159 |
| -3089.15057406328 |
| -3354.40774300017 |
| 15836.2487599974 |
| 12656.2961322389 |
| 6278.15920654889 |
| 1773.25671311402 |
| 4252.74914249067 |
| -518.772307000538 |
| 16330.3093012522 |
| 1198.87731463900 |
| 11132.6279358748 |
| 12193.9500404376 |
| -696.664276599008 |
| 5939.46957788695 |
| -27295.3784181949 |
| -4238.01142166526 |
| -17571.4374794949 |
| 3935.43972295109 |
| -16029.5083877595 |
| -2966.92222599916 |
| -14478.8463008854 |
| -508.995630107440 |
| -10960.0677565972 |
| -11617.6118488806 |
| -4181.27723627569 |
| -12905.1320819068 |
| -3599.39251750014 |
| -14388.1116529129 |
| -18386.3000479872 |
