| Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
| Aardolie[t] = + 89.103846153846 + 75.4591973244149Irakoorlog[t] + e[t] |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
| Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
| (Intercept) | 89.103846153846 | 8.249138 | 10.8016 | 0 | 0 |
| Irakoorlog | 75.4591973244149 | 10.320385 | 7.3117 | 0 | 0 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
| Multiple R | 0.65804011806457 |
| R-squared | 0.433016796982433 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.424917036939325 |
| F-TEST (value) | 53.4604475537367 |
| F-TEST (DF numerator) | 1 |
| F-TEST (DF denominator) | 70 |
| p-value | 3.36486394303392e-10 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
| Residual Standard Deviation | 42.0625141544103 |
| Sum Squared Residuals | 123847.856789298 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
| Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
| 1 | 90.8 | 89.103846153846 | 1.69615384615394 |
| 2 | 96.4 | 89.1038461538467 | 7.29615384615331 |
| 3 | 90 | 89.1038461538461 | 0.896153846153871 |
| 4 | 92.1 | 89.1038461538461 | 2.99615384615387 |
| 5 | 97.2 | 89.1038461538461 | 8.09615384615387 |
| 6 | 95.1 | 89.1038461538461 | 5.99615384615386 |
| 7 | 88.5 | 89.1038461538461 | -0.603846153846129 |
| 8 | 91 | 89.1038461538461 | 1.89615384615387 |
| 9 | 90.5 | 89.1038461538461 | 1.39615384615387 |
| 10 | 75 | 89.1038461538461 | -14.1038461538461 |
| 11 | 66.3 | 89.1038461538461 | -22.8038461538461 |
| 12 | 66 | 89.1038461538461 | -23.1038461538461 |
| 13 | 68.4 | 89.1038461538461 | -20.7038461538461 |
| 14 | 70.6 | 89.1038461538461 | -18.5038461538461 |
| 15 | 83.9 | 89.1038461538461 | -5.20384615384612 |
| 16 | 90.1 | 89.1038461538461 | 0.996153846153865 |
| 17 | 90.6 | 89.1038461538461 | 1.49615384615387 |
| 18 | 87.1 | 89.1038461538461 | -2.00384615384613 |
| 19 | 90.8 | 89.1038461538461 | 1.69615384615387 |
| 20 | 94.1 | 89.1038461538461 | 4.99615384615386 |
| 21 | 99.8 | 89.1038461538461 | 10.6961538461539 |
| 22 | 96.8 | 89.1038461538461 | 7.69615384615387 |
| 23 | 87 | 89.1038461538461 | -2.10384615384613 |
| 24 | 96.3 | 89.1038461538461 | 7.19615384615387 |
| 25 | 107.1 | 89.1038461538461 | 17.9961538461539 |
| 26 | 115.2 | 89.1038461538461 | 26.0961538461539 |
| 27 | 106.1 | 164.563043478261 | -58.4630434782609 |
| 28 | 89.5 | 164.563043478261 | -75.0630434782609 |
| 29 | 91.3 | 164.563043478261 | -73.2630434782609 |
| 30 | 97.6 | 164.563043478261 | -66.9630434782609 |
| 31 | 100.7 | 164.563043478261 | -63.8630434782609 |
| 32 | 104.6 | 164.563043478261 | -59.9630434782609 |
| 33 | 94.7 | 164.563043478261 | -69.8630434782609 |
| 34 | 101.8 | 164.563043478261 | -62.7630434782609 |
| 35 | 102.5 | 164.563043478261 | -62.0630434782609 |
| 36 | 105.3 | 164.563043478261 | -59.2630434782609 |
| 37 | 110.3 | 164.563043478261 | -54.2630434782609 |
| 38 | 109.8 | 164.563043478261 | -54.7630434782609 |
| 39 | 117.3 | 164.563043478261 | -47.2630434782609 |
| 40 | 118.8 | 164.563043478261 | -45.7630434782609 |
| 41 | 131.3 | 164.563043478261 | -33.2630434782609 |
| 42 | 125.9 | 164.563043478261 | -38.6630434782609 |
| 43 | 133.1 | 164.563043478261 | -31.4630434782609 |
| 44 | 147 | 164.563043478261 | -17.5630434782609 |
| 45 | 145.8 | 164.563043478261 | -18.7630434782609 |
| 46 | 164.4 | 164.563043478261 | -0.163043478260863 |
| 47 | 149.8 | 164.563043478261 | -14.7630434782609 |
| 48 | 137.7 | 164.563043478261 | -26.8630434782609 |
| 49 | 151.7 | 164.563043478261 | -12.8630434782609 |
| 50 | 156.8 | 164.563043478261 | -7.76304347826086 |
| 51 | 180 | 164.563043478261 | 15.4369565217391 |
| 52 | 180.4 | 164.563043478261 | 15.8369565217391 |
| 53 | 170.4 | 164.563043478261 | 5.83695652173914 |
| 54 | 191.6 | 164.563043478261 | 27.0369565217391 |
| 55 | 199.5 | 164.563043478261 | 34.9369565217391 |
| 56 | 218.2 | 164.563043478261 | 53.6369565217391 |
| 57 | 217.5 | 164.563043478261 | 52.9369565217391 |
| 58 | 205 | 164.563043478261 | 40.4369565217391 |
| 59 | 194 | 164.563043478261 | 29.4369565217391 |
| 60 | 199.3 | 164.563043478261 | 34.7369565217391 |
| 61 | 219.3 | 164.563043478261 | 54.7369565217391 |
| 62 | 211.1 | 164.563043478261 | 46.5369565217391 |
| 63 | 215.2 | 164.563043478261 | 50.6369565217391 |
| 64 | 240.2 | 164.563043478261 | 75.6369565217391 |
| 65 | 242.2 | 164.563043478261 | 77.6369565217391 |
| 66 | 240.7 | 164.563043478261 | 76.1369565217391 |
| 67 | 255.4 | 164.563043478261 | 90.8369565217391 |
| 68 | 253 | 164.563043478261 | 88.4369565217391 |
| 69 | 218.2 | 164.563043478261 | 53.6369565217391 |
| 70 | 203.7 | 164.563043478261 | 39.1369565217391 |
| 71 | 205.6 | 164.563043478261 | 41.0369565217391 |
| 72 | 215.6 | 164.563043478261 | 51.0369565217391 |
