ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iteration	ar1	ar2	ar3	ma1	sar1	sar2	sma1
Estimates ( 1 )	0.2471	0.1929	0.3594	-0.5537	0.35	-0.2434	-0.2724
(p-val)	(0.5376 )	(0.2433 )	(0.0219 )	(0.2102 )	(0.7396 )	(0.2913 )	(0.8035 )
Estimates ( 2 )	0.2081	0.1835	0.362	-0.5117	0.0901	-0.2164	0
(p-val)	(0.5923 )	(0.2521 )	(0.0182 )	(0.2319 )	(0.6274 )	(0.3247 )	(NA )
Estimates ( 3 )	0.1663	0.2029	0.3737	-0.4802	0	-0.2209	0
(p-val)	(0.6915 )	(0.2039 )	(0.0159 )	(0.3122 )	(NA )	(0.319 )	(NA )
Estimates ( 4 )	0	0.1697	0.3938	-0.2989	0	-0.1919	0
(p-val)	(NA )	(0.225 )	(0.0035 )	(0.0508 )	(NA )	(0.358 )	(NA )
Estimates ( 5 )	0	0.1404	0.3889	-0.2913	0	0	0
(p-val)	(NA )	(0.301 )	(0.004 )	(0.0514 )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )
Estimates ( 6 )	0	0	0.3867	-0.2546	0	0	0
(p-val)	(NA )	(NA )	(0.0053 )	(0.0497 )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )

Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
2.07499637734079
153.675517441929
103.419623762635
216.189803152609
335.382010451738
463.370543682255
-382.820070251666
-186.903140522640
-303.415413794258
238.674290066074
176.076176195619
96.5778356789821
95.3392188336864
216.60373476563
274.960742656616
-244.168173910860
354.989326442553
-17.8193942637513
-12.8538062127354
943.698908296033
-472.607381256773
-100.888252979811
-304.016474181599
275.092987823520
50.2014972680345
-30.6825960547155
-399.523719975333
-171.407448165688
-4.33915556164447
100.990368385169
-45.1250611081332
60.524272205952
150.909545634929
405.306656410578
-65.4800539151238
-103.487491889994
-130.737362685940
-57.0348319265543
-145.575463339584
253.094314834186
28.2061072575052
24.6319668588603
607.70263792905
-0.307703691212737
95.4911734363877
644.358106638274
190.496299237879
-221.756674923333
-140.369181621094