| Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
| Werkloosheid[t] = + 505931.171474359 + 84124.9903846154EUlanden[t] + 835.165064102585M1[t] -1974.66826923081M2[t] -9319.6682692308M3[t] -16614.6682692308M4[t] -36566.8333333334M5[t] -34890.8333333333M6[t] + 19342.5000000000M7[t] + 32012.1666666666M8[t] + 31115.5M9[t] + 18330.6666666667M10[t] -847.000000000007M11[t] + e[t] |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
| Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
| (Intercept) | 505931.171474359 | 12702.293789 | 39.8299 | 0 | 0 |
| EUlanden | 84124.9903846154 | 7169.587706 | 11.7336 | 0 | 0 |
| M1 | 835.165064102585 | 17274.921182 | 0.0483 | 0.961604 | 0.480802 |
| M2 | -1974.66826923081 | 17274.921182 | -0.1143 | 0.909381 | 0.454691 |
| M3 | -9319.6682692308 | 17274.921182 | -0.5395 | 0.591578 | 0.295789 |
| M4 | -16614.6682692308 | 17274.921182 | -0.9618 | 0.340086 | 0.170043 |
| M5 | -36566.8333333334 | 17233.544066 | -2.1218 | 0.038061 | 0.01903 |
| M6 | -34890.8333333333 | 17233.544066 | -2.0246 | 0.047444 | 0.023722 |
| M7 | 19342.5000000000 | 17233.544066 | 1.1224 | 0.26625 | 0.133125 |
| M8 | 32012.1666666666 | 17233.544066 | 1.8575 | 0.068226 | 0.034113 |
| M9 | 31115.5 | 17233.544066 | 1.8055 | 0.076096 | 0.038048 |
| M10 | 18330.6666666667 | 17233.544066 | 1.0637 | 0.291816 | 0.145908 |
| M11 | -847.000000000007 | 17233.544066 | -0.0491 | 0.960967 | 0.480484 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
| Multiple R | 0.870341412865593 |
| R-squared | 0.757494174948876 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.70817095629441 |
| F-TEST (value) | 15.3577604141268 |
| F-TEST (DF numerator) | 12 |
| F-TEST (DF denominator) | 59 |
| p-value | 5.59552404411079e-14 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
| Residual Standard Deviation | 29849.3739164386 |
| Sum Squared Residuals | 52568122268.9984 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
| Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
| 1 | 467037 | 506766.336538461 | -39729.3365384614 |
| 2 | 460070 | 503956.503205128 | -43886.5032051283 |
| 3 | 447988 | 496611.503205128 | -48623.5032051282 |
| 4 | 442867 | 489316.503205128 | -46449.5032051281 |
| 5 | 436087 | 469364.338141026 | -33277.3381410257 |
| 6 | 431328 | 471040.338141026 | -39712.3381410256 |
| 7 | 484015 | 525273.671474359 | -41258.671474359 |
| 8 | 509673 | 537943.338141026 | -28270.3381410257 |
| 9 | 512927 | 537046.671474359 | -24119.6714743590 |
| 10 | 502831 | 524261.838141026 | -21430.8381410256 |
| 11 | 470984 | 505084.171474359 | -34100.1714743589 |
| 12 | 471067 | 505931.171474359 | -34864.171474359 |
| 13 | 476049 | 506766.336538462 | -30717.3365384616 |
| 14 | 474605 | 503956.503205128 | -29351.5032051282 |
| 15 | 470439 | 496611.503205128 | -26172.5032051282 |
| 16 | 461251 | 489316.503205128 | -28065.5032051282 |
| 17 | 454724 | 469364.338141026 | -14640.3381410256 |
| 18 | 455626 | 471040.338141026 | -15414.3381410256 |
| 19 | 516847 | 525273.671474359 | -8426.67147435898 |
| 20 | 525192 | 537943.338141026 | -12751.3381410256 |
| 21 | 522975 | 537046.671474359 | -14071.6714743590 |
| 22 | 518585 | 524261.838141026 | -5676.83814102565 |
| 23 | 509239 | 505084.171474359 | 4154.82852564102 |
| 24 | 512238 | 505931.171474359 | 6306.828525641 |
| 25 | 519164 | 506766.336538462 | 12397.6634615384 |
| 26 | 517009 | 503956.503205128 | 13052.4967948718 |
| 27 | 509933 | 496611.503205128 | 13321.4967948718 |
| 28 | 509127 | 489316.503205128 | 19810.4967948718 |
| 29 | 500857 | 469364.338141026 | 31492.6618589744 |
| 30 | 506971 | 471040.338141026 | 35930.6618589744 |
| 31 | 569323 | 525273.671474359 | 44049.328525641 |
| 32 | 579714 | 537943.338141026 | 41770.6618589744 |
| 33 | 577992 | 537046.671474359 | 40945.328525641 |
| 34 | 565464 | 524261.838141026 | 41202.1618589743 |
| 35 | 547344 | 505084.171474359 | 42259.828525641 |
| 36 | 554788 | 505931.171474359 | 48856.828525641 |
| 37 | 562325 | 506766.336538462 | 55558.6634615384 |
| 38 | 560854 | 503956.503205128 | 56897.4967948718 |
| 39 | 555332 | 496611.503205128 | 58720.4967948718 |
| 40 | 543599 | 489316.503205128 | 54282.4967948718 |
| 41 | 536662 | 553489.328525641 | -16827.328525641 |
| 42 | 542722 | 555165.328525641 | -12443.3285256410 |
| 43 | 593530 | 609398.661858974 | -15868.6618589744 |
| 44 | 610763 | 622068.328525641 | -11305.3285256410 |
| 45 | 612613 | 621171.661858974 | -8558.66185897436 |
| 46 | 611324 | 608386.828525641 | 2937.17147435897 |
| 47 | 594167 | 589209.161858974 | 4957.83814102564 |
| 48 | 595454 | 590056.161858974 | 5397.83814102562 |
| 49 | 590865 | 590891.326923077 | -26.3269230769674 |
| 50 | 589379 | 588081.493589744 | 1297.50641025640 |
| 51 | 584428 | 580736.493589744 | 3691.50641025642 |
| 52 | 573100 | 573441.493589744 | -341.493589743584 |
| 53 | 567456 | 553489.328525641 | 13966.671474359 |
| 54 | 569028 | 555165.328525641 | 13862.6714743590 |
| 55 | 620735 | 609398.661858974 | 11336.3381410256 |
| 56 | 628884 | 622068.328525641 | 6815.67147435899 |
| 57 | 628232 | 621171.661858974 | 7060.33814102564 |
| 58 | 612117 | 608386.828525641 | 3730.17147435897 |
| 59 | 595404 | 589209.161858974 | 6194.83814102563 |
| 60 | 597141 | 590056.161858974 | 7084.83814102562 |
| 61 | 593408 | 590891.326923077 | 2516.67307692304 |
| 62 | 590072 | 588081.493589744 | 1990.50641025640 |
| 63 | 579799 | 580736.493589744 | -937.49358974358 |
| 64 | 574205 | 573441.493589744 | 763.506410256416 |
| 65 | 572775 | 553489.328525641 | 19285.6714743590 |
| 66 | 572942 | 555165.328525641 | 17776.6714743590 |
| 67 | 619567 | 609398.661858974 | 10168.3381410256 |
| 68 | 625809 | 622068.328525641 | 3740.67147435899 |
| 69 | 619916 | 621171.661858974 | -1255.66185897437 |
| 70 | 587625 | 608386.828525641 | -20761.8285256410 |
| 71 | 565742 | 589209.161858974 | -23467.1618589744 |
| 72 | 557274 | 590056.161858974 | -32782.1618589744 |
