| Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
| y[t] = + 1717.75147928994 -396.055827116028x[t] + e[t] |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
| Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
| (Intercept) | 1717.75147928994 | 20.000334 | 85.8861 | 0 | 0 |
| x | -396.055827116028 | 57.786173 | -6.8538 | 0 | 0 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
| Multiple R | 0.445226892939612 |
| R-squared | 0.198226986196661 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.194007128229275 |
| F-TEST (value) | 46.9748005095663 |
| F-TEST (DF numerator) | 1 |
| F-TEST (DF denominator) | 190 |
| p-value | 9.762957109416e-11 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
| Residual Standard Deviation | 260.004336317031 |
| Sum Squared Residuals | 12844428.4316954 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
| Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
| 1 | 1687 | 1717.75147928992 | -30.7514792899202 |
| 2 | 1508 | 1717.75147928994 | -209.751479289942 |
| 3 | 1507 | 1717.75147928994 | -210.751479289941 |
| 4 | 1385 | 1717.75147928994 | -332.751479289941 |
| 5 | 1632 | 1717.75147928994 | -85.751479289941 |
| 6 | 1511 | 1717.75147928994 | -206.751479289941 |
| 7 | 1559 | 1717.75147928994 | -158.751479289941 |
| 8 | 1630 | 1717.75147928994 | -87.751479289941 |
| 9 | 1579 | 1717.75147928994 | -138.751479289941 |
| 10 | 1653 | 1717.75147928994 | -64.751479289941 |
| 11 | 2152 | 1717.75147928994 | 434.248520710059 |
| 12 | 2148 | 1717.75147928994 | 430.248520710059 |
| 13 | 1752 | 1717.75147928994 | 34.2485207100591 |
| 14 | 1765 | 1717.75147928994 | 47.2485207100591 |
| 15 | 1717 | 1717.75147928994 | -0.751479289940944 |
| 16 | 1558 | 1717.75147928994 | -159.751479289941 |
| 17 | 1575 | 1717.75147928994 | -142.751479289941 |
| 18 | 1520 | 1717.75147928994 | -197.751479289941 |
| 19 | 1805 | 1717.75147928994 | 87.248520710059 |
| 20 | 1800 | 1717.75147928994 | 82.248520710059 |
| 21 | 1719 | 1717.75147928994 | 1.24852071005906 |
| 22 | 2008 | 1717.75147928994 | 290.248520710059 |
| 23 | 2242 | 1717.75147928994 | 524.248520710059 |
| 24 | 2478 | 1717.75147928994 | 760.248520710059 |
| 25 | 2030 | 1717.75147928994 | 312.248520710059 |
| 26 | 1655 | 1717.75147928994 | -62.751479289941 |
| 27 | 1693 | 1717.75147928994 | -24.7514792899409 |
| 28 | 1623 | 1717.75147928994 | -94.751479289941 |
| 29 | 1805 | 1717.75147928994 | 87.248520710059 |
| 30 | 1746 | 1717.75147928994 | 28.2485207100591 |
| 31 | 1795 | 1717.75147928994 | 77.2485207100591 |
| 32 | 1926 | 1717.75147928994 | 208.248520710059 |
| 33 | 1619 | 1717.75147928994 | -98.751479289941 |
| 34 | 1992 | 1717.75147928994 | 274.248520710059 |
| 35 | 2233 | 1717.75147928994 | 515.248520710059 |
| 36 | 2192 | 1717.75147928994 | 474.248520710059 |
| 37 | 2080 | 1717.75147928994 | 362.248520710059 |
| 38 | 1768 | 1717.75147928994 | 50.2485207100591 |
| 39 | 1835 | 1717.75147928994 | 117.248520710059 |
| 40 | 1569 | 1717.75147928994 | -148.751479289941 |
| 41 | 1976 | 1717.75147928994 | 258.248520710059 |
| 42 | 1853 | 1717.75147928994 | 135.248520710059 |
| 43 | 1965 | 1717.75147928994 | 247.248520710059 |
| 44 | 1689 | 1717.75147928994 | -28.7514792899409 |
| 45 | 1778 | 1717.75147928994 | 60.2485207100591 |
| 46 | 1976 | 1717.75147928994 | 258.248520710059 |
| 47 | 2397 | 1717.75147928994 | 679.248520710059 |
| 48 | 2654 | 1717.75147928994 | 936.248520710059 |
| 49 | 2097 | 1717.75147928994 | 379.248520710059 |
| 50 | 1963 | 1717.75147928994 | 245.248520710059 |
| 51 | 1677 | 1717.75147928994 | -40.7514792899409 |
| 52 | 1941 | 1717.75147928994 | 223.248520710059 |
| 53 | 2003 | 1717.75147928994 | 285.248520710059 |
| 54 | 1813 | 1717.75147928994 | 95.248520710059 |
| 55 | 2012 | 1717.75147928994 | 294.248520710059 |
| 56 | 1912 | 1717.75147928994 | 194.248520710059 |
| 57 | 2084 | 1717.75147928994 | 366.248520710059 |
| 58 | 2080 | 1717.75147928994 | 362.248520710059 |
| 59 | 2118 | 1717.75147928994 | 400.248520710059 |
| 60 | 2150 | 1717.75147928994 | 432.248520710059 |
| 61 | 1608 | 1717.75147928994 | -109.751479289941 |
| 62 | 1503 | 1717.75147928994 | -214.751479289941 |
| 63 | 1548 | 1717.75147928994 | -169.751479289941 |
| 64 | 1382 | 1717.75147928994 | -335.751479289941 |
| 65 | 1731 | 1717.75147928994 | 13.2485207100591 |
| 66 | 1798 | 1717.75147928994 | 80.248520710059 |
| 67 | 1779 | 1717.75147928994 | 61.2485207100591 |
| 68 | 1887 | 1717.75147928994 | 169.248520710059 |
| 69 | 2004 | 1717.75147928994 | 286.248520710059 |
| 70 | 2077 | 1717.75147928994 | 359.248520710059 |
| 71 | 2092 | 1717.75147928994 | 374.248520710059 |
| 72 | 2051 | 1717.75147928994 | 333.248520710059 |
| 73 | 1577 | 1717.75147928994 | -140.751479289941 |
| 74 | 1356 | 1717.75147928994 | -361.751479289941 |
| 75 | 1652 | 1717.75147928994 | -65.7514792899409 |
| 76 | 1382 | 1717.75147928994 | -335.751479289941 |
| 77 | 1519 | 1717.75147928994 | -198.751479289941 |
| 78 | 1421 | 1717.75147928994 | -296.751479289941 |
| 79 | 1442 | 1717.75147928994 | -275.751479289941 |
| 80 | 1543 | 1717.75147928994 | -174.751479289941 |
| 81 | 1656 | 1717.75147928994 | -61.7514792899409 |
| 82 | 1561 | 1717.75147928994 | -156.751479289941 |
| 83 | 1905 | 1717.75147928994 | 187.248520710059 |
| 84 | 2199 | 1717.75147928994 | 481.248520710059 |
| 85 | 1473 | 1717.75147928994 | -244.751479289941 |
| 86 | 1655 | 1717.75147928994 | -62.751479289941 |
| 87 | 1407 | 1717.75147928994 | -310.751479289941 |
| 88 | 1395 | 1717.75147928994 | -322.751479289941 |
| 89 | 1530 | 1717.75147928994 | -187.751479289941 |
| 90 | 1309 | 1717.75147928994 | -408.751479289941 |
| 91 | 1526 | 1717.75147928994 | -191.751479289941 |
| 92 | 1327 | 1717.75147928994 | -390.751479289941 |
| 93 | 1627 | 1717.75147928994 | -90.751479289941 |
| 94 | 1748 | 1717.75147928994 | 30.2485207100591 |
| 95 | 1958 | 1717.75147928994 | 240.248520710059 |
| 96 | 2274 | 1717.75147928994 | 556.248520710059 |
| 97 | 1648 | 1717.75147928994 | -69.7514792899409 |
| 98 | 1401 | 1717.75147928994 | -316.751479289941 |
| 99 | 1411 | 1717.75147928994 | -306.751479289941 |
| 100 | 1403 | 1717.75147928994 | -314.751479289941 |
| 101 | 1394 | 1717.75147928994 | -323.751479289941 |
| 102 | 1520 | 1717.75147928994 | -197.751479289941 |
| 103 | 1528 | 1717.75147928994 | -189.751479289941 |
| 104 | 1643 | 1717.75147928994 | -74.7514792899409 |
| 105 | 1515 | 1717.75147928994 | -202.751479289941 |
| 106 | 1685 | 1717.75147928994 | -32.7514792899409 |
| 107 | 2000 | 1717.75147928994 | 282.248520710059 |
| 108 | 2215 | 1717.75147928994 | 497.248520710059 |
| 109 | 1956 | 1717.75147928994 | 238.248520710059 |
| 110 | 1462 | 1717.75147928994 | -255.751479289941 |
| 111 | 1563 | 1717.75147928994 | -154.751479289941 |
| 112 | 1459 | 1717.75147928994 | -258.751479289941 |
| 113 | 1446 | 1717.75147928994 | -271.751479289941 |
| 114 | 1622 | 1717.75147928994 | -95.751479289941 |
| 115 | 1657 | 1717.75147928994 | -60.7514792899409 |
| 116 | 1638 | 1717.75147928994 | -79.751479289941 |
| 117 | 1643 | 1717.75147928994 | -74.7514792899409 |
| 118 | 1683 | 1717.75147928994 | -34.7514792899409 |
| 119 | 2050 | 1717.75147928994 | 332.248520710059 |
| 120 | 2262 | 1717.75147928994 | 544.248520710059 |
| 121 | 1813 | 1717.75147928994 | 95.248520710059 |
| 122 | 1445 | 1717.75147928994 | -272.751479289941 |
| 123 | 1762 | 1717.75147928994 | 44.2485207100591 |
| 124 | 1461 | 1717.75147928994 | -256.751479289941 |
| 125 | 1556 | 1717.75147928994 | -161.751479289941 |
| 126 | 1431 | 1717.75147928994 | -286.751479289941 |
| 127 | 1427 | 1717.75147928994 | -290.751479289941 |
| 128 | 1554 | 1717.75147928994 | -163.751479289941 |
| 129 | 1645 | 1717.75147928994 | -72.7514792899409 |
| 130 | 1653 | 1717.75147928994 | -64.751479289941 |
| 131 | 2016 | 1717.75147928994 | 298.248520710059 |
| 132 | 2207 | 1717.75147928994 | 489.248520710059 |
| 133 | 1665 | 1717.75147928994 | -52.7514792899409 |
| 134 | 1361 | 1717.75147928994 | -356.751479289941 |
| 135 | 1506 | 1717.75147928994 | -211.751479289941 |
| 136 | 1360 | 1717.75147928994 | -357.751479289941 |
| 137 | 1453 | 1717.75147928994 | -264.751479289941 |
| 138 | 1522 | 1717.75147928994 | -195.751479289941 |
| 139 | 1460 | 1717.75147928994 | -257.751479289941 |
| 140 | 1552 | 1717.75147928994 | -165.751479289941 |
| 141 | 1548 | 1717.75147928994 | -169.751479289941 |
| 142 | 1827 | 1717.75147928994 | 109.248520710059 |
| 143 | 1737 | 1717.75147928994 | 19.2485207100591 |
| 144 | 1941 | 1717.75147928994 | 223.248520710059 |
| 145 | 1474 | 1717.75147928994 | -243.751479289941 |
| 146 | 1458 | 1717.75147928994 | -259.751479289941 |
| 147 | 1542 | 1717.75147928994 | -175.751479289941 |
| 148 | 1404 | 1717.75147928994 | -313.751479289941 |
| 149 | 1522 | 1717.75147928994 | -195.751479289941 |
| 150 | 1385 | 1717.75147928994 | -332.751479289941 |
| 151 | 1641 | 1717.75147928994 | -76.7514792899409 |
| 152 | 1510 | 1717.75147928994 | -207.751479289941 |
| 153 | 1681 | 1717.75147928994 | -36.7514792899409 |
| 154 | 1938 | 1717.75147928994 | 220.248520710059 |
| 155 | 1868 | 1717.75147928994 | 150.248520710059 |
| 156 | 1726 | 1717.75147928994 | 8.24852071005906 |
| 157 | 1456 | 1717.75147928994 | -261.751479289941 |
| 158 | 1445 | 1717.75147928994 | -272.751479289941 |
| 159 | 1456 | 1717.75147928994 | -261.751479289941 |
| 160 | 1365 | 1717.75147928994 | -352.751479289941 |
| 161 | 1487 | 1717.75147928994 | -230.751479289941 |
| 162 | 1558 | 1717.75147928994 | -159.751479289941 |
| 163 | 1488 | 1717.75147928994 | -229.751479289941 |
| 164 | 1684 | 1717.75147928994 | -33.7514792899409 |
| 165 | 1594 | 1717.75147928994 | -123.751479289941 |
| 166 | 1850 | 1717.75147928994 | 132.248520710059 |
| 167 | 1998 | 1717.75147928994 | 280.248520710059 |
| 168 | 2079 | 1717.75147928994 | 361.248520710059 |
| 169 | 1494 | 1717.75147928994 | -223.751479289941 |
| 170 | 1057 | 1321.69565217391 | -264.695652173913 |
| 171 | 1218 | 1321.69565217391 | -103.695652173913 |
| 172 | 1168 | 1321.69565217391 | -153.695652173913 |
| 173 | 1236 | 1321.69565217391 | -85.695652173913 |
| 174 | 1076 | 1321.69565217391 | -245.695652173913 |
| 175 | 1174 | 1321.69565217391 | -147.695652173913 |
| 176 | 1139 | 1321.69565217391 | -182.695652173913 |
| 177 | 1427 | 1321.69565217391 | 105.304347826087 |
| 178 | 1487 | 1321.69565217391 | 165.304347826087 |
| 179 | 1483 | 1321.69565217391 | 161.304347826087 |
| 180 | 1513 | 1321.69565217391 | 191.304347826087 |
| 181 | 1357 | 1321.69565217391 | 35.304347826087 |
| 182 | 1165 | 1321.69565217391 | -156.695652173913 |
| 183 | 1282 | 1321.69565217391 | -39.695652173913 |
| 184 | 1110 | 1321.69565217391 | -211.695652173913 |
| 185 | 1297 | 1321.69565217391 | -24.6956521739130 |
| 186 | 1185 | 1321.69565217391 | -136.695652173913 |
| 187 | 1222 | 1321.69565217391 | -99.695652173913 |
| 188 | 1284 | 1321.69565217391 | -37.695652173913 |
| 189 | 1444 | 1321.69565217391 | 122.304347826087 |
| 190 | 1575 | 1321.69565217391 | 253.304347826087 |
| 191 | 1737 | 1321.69565217391 | 415.304347826087 |
| 192 | 1763 | 1321.69565217391 | 441.304347826087 |
