| Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
| Werklh[t] = + 611.764523175355 -14.3070561873758LisStrat[t] -52.9865133386885`9/11`[t] -3.54164235685391M1[t] -7.72233825166646M2[t] -24.6711622204372M3[t] -23.8378288871038M4[t] -30.1689144435519M5[t] -33.6689144435519M6[t] -42.0022477768853M7[t] -49.3355811102186M8[t] -56.5022477768853M9[t] -56.0022477768852M10[t] -1.16891444355192M11[t] + e[t] |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
| Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
| (Intercept) | 611.764523175355 | 9.463543 | 64.6443 | 0 | 0 |
| LisStrat | -14.3070561873758 | 6.378918 | -2.2429 | 0.028675 | 0.014338 |
| `9/11` | -52.9865133386885 | 4.005741 | -13.2276 | 0 | 0 |
| M1 | -3.54164235685391 | 12.254717 | -0.289 | 0.773593 | 0.386796 |
| M2 | -7.72233825166646 | 12.746818 | -0.6058 | 0.546955 | 0.273477 |
| M3 | -24.6711622204372 | 12.75693 | -1.9339 | 0.057921 | 0.028961 |
| M4 | -23.8378288871038 | 12.75693 | -1.8686 | 0.066643 | 0.033322 |
| M5 | -30.1689144435519 | 12.704413 | -2.3747 | 0.020835 | 0.010417 |
| M6 | -33.6689144435519 | 12.704413 | -2.6502 | 0.010311 | 0.005155 |
| M7 | -42.0022477768853 | 12.704413 | -3.3061 | 0.001613 | 0.000807 |
| M8 | -49.3355811102186 | 12.704413 | -3.8833 | 0.000263 | 0.000131 |
| M9 | -56.5022477768853 | 12.704413 | -4.4475 | 3.9e-05 | 2e-05 |
| M10 | -56.0022477768852 | 12.704413 | -4.4081 | 4.5e-05 | 2.2e-05 |
| M11 | -1.16891444355192 | 12.704413 | -0.092 | 0.927003 | 0.463501 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
| Multiple R | 0.90349926934115 |
| R-squared | 0.816310929699992 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.775837066752533 |
| F-TEST (value) | 20.1688415746151 |
| F-TEST (DF numerator) | 13 |
| F-TEST (DF denominator) | 59 |
| p-value | 0 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
| Residual Standard Deviation | 21.9742835076412 |
| Sum Squared Residuals | 28489.2790047774 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
| Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
| 1 | 513 | 502.249854141123 | 10.7501458588766 |
| 2 | 503 | 498.069158246311 | 4.93084175368874 |
| 3 | 471 | 481.120334277541 | -10.1203342775406 |
| 4 | 471 | 481.953667610874 | -10.9536676108739 |
| 5 | 476 | 475.622582054426 | 0.377417945574188 |
| 6 | 475 | 472.122582054426 | 2.87741794557417 |
| 7 | 470 | 463.789248721092 | 6.21075127890751 |
| 8 | 461 | 456.455915387759 | 4.54408461224086 |
| 9 | 455 | 449.289248721092 | 5.71075127890752 |
| 10 | 456 | 449.789248721092 | 6.21075127890753 |
| 11 | 517 | 504.622582054426 | 12.3774179455742 |
| 12 | 525 | 558.778009836666 | -33.7780098366662 |
| 13 | 523 | 555.236367479812 | -32.2363674798123 |
| 14 | 519 | 551.055671585 | -32.0556715849998 |
| 15 | 509 | 534.106847616229 | -25.1068476162291 |
| 16 | 512 | 534.940180949562 | -22.9401809495624 |
| 17 | 519 | 528.609095393114 | -9.60909539311435 |
| 18 | 517 | 525.109095393114 | -8.10909539311435 |
| 19 | 510 | 516.775762059781 | -6.77576205978101 |
| 20 | 509 | 509.442428726448 | -0.442428726447684 |
| 21 | 501 | 502.275762059781 | -1.27576205978101 |
| 22 | 507 | 502.775762059781 | 4.22423794021898 |
| 23 | 569 | 557.609095393114 | 11.3909046068857 |
| 24 | 580 | 558.778009836666 | 21.2219901633337 |
| 25 | 578 | 555.236367479812 | 22.7636325201876 |
| 26 | 565 | 551.055671585 | 13.9443284150002 |
| 27 | 547 | 534.106847616229 | 12.8931523837709 |
| 28 | 555 | 534.940180949562 | 20.0598190504376 |
| 29 | 562 | 581.595608731803 | -19.5956087318029 |
| 30 | 561 | 578.095608731803 | -17.0956087318029 |
| 31 | 555 | 569.76227539847 | -14.7622753984695 |
| 32 | 544 | 562.428942065136 | -18.4289420651362 |
| 33 | 537 | 555.26227539847 | -18.2622753984695 |
| 34 | 543 | 555.76227539847 | -12.7622753984695 |
| 35 | 594 | 610.595608731803 | -16.5956087318029 |
| 36 | 611 | 611.764523175355 | -0.764523175354782 |
| 37 | 613 | 608.222880818501 | 4.77711918149913 |
| 38 | 611 | 604.042184923688 | 6.95781507631168 |
| 39 | 594 | 587.093360954918 | 6.9066390450824 |
| 40 | 595 | 587.926694288251 | 7.07330571174906 |
| 41 | 591 | 581.595608731803 | 9.40439126819714 |
| 42 | 589 | 578.095608731803 | 10.9043912681971 |
| 43 | 584 | 569.76227539847 | 14.2377246015305 |
| 44 | 573 | 562.428942065136 | 10.5710579348638 |
| 45 | 567 | 555.26227539847 | 11.7377246015305 |
| 46 | 569 | 555.76227539847 | 13.2377246015305 |
| 47 | 621 | 610.595608731803 | 10.4043912681971 |
| 48 | 629 | 611.764523175355 | 17.2354768246452 |
| 49 | 628 | 608.222880818501 | 19.7771191814991 |
| 50 | 612 | 604.042184923688 | 7.95781507631168 |
| 51 | 595 | 572.786304767542 | 22.2136952324582 |
| 52 | 597 | 573.619638100875 | 23.3803618991249 |
| 53 | 593 | 567.288552544427 | 25.7114474555729 |
| 54 | 590 | 563.788552544427 | 26.2114474555729 |
| 55 | 580 | 555.455219211094 | 24.5447807889063 |
| 56 | 574 | 548.12188587776 | 25.8781141222396 |
| 57 | 573 | 540.955219211094 | 32.0447807889063 |
| 58 | 573 | 541.455219211094 | 31.5447807889063 |
| 59 | 620 | 596.288552544427 | 23.7114474555730 |
| 60 | 626 | 597.457466987979 | 28.5425330120210 |
| 61 | 620 | 593.915824631125 | 26.0841753688749 |
| 62 | 588 | 589.735128736313 | -1.73512873631252 |
| 63 | 566 | 572.786304767542 | -6.7863047675418 |
| 64 | 557 | 573.619638100875 | -16.6196381008751 |
| 65 | 561 | 567.288552544427 | -6.28855254442706 |
| 66 | 549 | 563.788552544427 | -14.7885525444271 |
| 67 | 532 | 555.455219211094 | -23.4552192110937 |
| 68 | 526 | 548.12188587776 | -22.1218858777604 |
| 69 | 511 | 540.955219211094 | -29.9552192110937 |
| 70 | 499 | 541.455219211094 | -42.4552192110937 |
| 71 | 555 | 596.288552544427 | -41.2885525444270 |
| 72 | 565 | 597.457466987979 | -32.457466987979 |
| 73 | 542 | 593.915824631125 | -51.9158246311251 |
