| Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
| totmetaal[t] = + 80.6502857142857 + 11.8871428571428ramp[t] + 24.7374285714286M1[t] + 24.8574285714286M2[t] + 20.5774285714286M3[t] + 19.5774285714286M4[t] + 10.9774285714285M5[t] + 13.9774285714286M6[t] + 30.6974285714285M7[t] + 17.6974285714285M8[t] + 18.6374285714286M9[t] + 35.1974285714286M10[t] + 1.53742857142857M11[t] + e[t] |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
| Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
| (Intercept) | 80.6502857142857 | 3.36062 | 23.9986 | 0 | 0 |
| ramp | 11.8871428571428 | 1.811925 | 6.5605 | 0 | 0 |
| M1 | 24.7374285714286 | 4.303084 | 5.7488 | 1e-06 | 0 |
| M2 | 24.8574285714286 | 4.303084 | 5.7767 | 1e-06 | 0 |
| M3 | 20.5774285714286 | 4.303084 | 4.782 | 1.8e-05 | 9e-06 |
| M4 | 19.5774285714286 | 4.303084 | 4.5496 | 3.8e-05 | 1.9e-05 |
| M5 | 10.9774285714285 | 4.303084 | 2.5511 | 0.014055 | 0.007027 |
| M6 | 13.9774285714286 | 4.303084 | 3.2482 | 0.002147 | 0.001073 |
| M7 | 30.6974285714285 | 4.303084 | 7.1338 | 0 | 0 |
| M8 | 17.6974285714285 | 4.303084 | 4.1127 | 0.000156 | 7.8e-05 |
| M9 | 18.6374285714286 | 4.303084 | 4.3312 | 7.7e-05 | 3.9e-05 |
| M10 | 35.1974285714286 | 4.303084 | 8.1796 | 0 | 0 |
| M11 | 1.53742857142857 | 4.303084 | 0.3573 | 0.722478 | 0.361239 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
| Multiple R | 0.883269342311904 |
| R-squared | 0.780164731068104 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.724036577298258 |
| F-TEST (value) | 13.899704135418 |
| F-TEST (DF numerator) | 12 |
| F-TEST (DF denominator) | 47 |
| p-value | 1.14690479335877e-11 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
| Residual Standard Deviation | 6.77960283421276 |
| Sum Squared Residuals | 2160.26168571429 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
| Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
| 1 | 106.8 | 105.387714285714 | 1.41228571428576 |
| 2 | 113.7 | 105.507714285714 | 8.19228571428573 |
| 3 | 102.5 | 101.227714285714 | 1.27228571428569 |
| 4 | 96.6 | 100.227714285714 | -3.62771428571431 |
| 5 | 92.1 | 91.6277142857143 | 0.47228571428566 |
| 6 | 95.6 | 94.6277142857143 | 0.972285714285704 |
| 7 | 102.3 | 111.347714285714 | -9.04771428571428 |
| 8 | 98.6 | 98.3477142857143 | 0.252285714285688 |
| 9 | 98.2 | 99.2877142857143 | -1.08771428571426 |
| 10 | 104.5 | 115.847714285714 | -11.3477142857143 |
| 11 | 84 | 82.1877142857143 | 1.81228571428573 |
| 12 | 73.8 | 80.6502857142857 | -6.8502857142857 |
| 13 | 103.9 | 105.387714285714 | -1.48771428571430 |
| 14 | 106 | 105.507714285714 | 0.492285714285705 |
| 15 | 97.2 | 101.227714285714 | -4.02771428571428 |
| 16 | 102.6 | 100.227714285714 | 2.37228571428571 |
| 17 | 89 | 91.6277142857143 | -2.62771428571428 |
| 18 | 93.8 | 94.6277142857143 | -0.827714285714281 |
| 19 | 116.7 | 111.347714285714 | 5.35228571428571 |
| 20 | 106.8 | 98.3477142857143 | 8.45228571428572 |
| 21 | 98.5 | 99.2877142857143 | -0.787714285714292 |
| 22 | 118.7 | 115.847714285714 | 2.85228571428571 |
| 23 | 90 | 82.1877142857143 | 7.81228571428571 |
| 24 | 91.9 | 92.5374285714286 | -0.637428571428575 |
| 25 | 113.3 | 117.274857142857 | -3.97485714285716 |
| 26 | 113.1 | 117.394857142857 | -4.29485714285715 |
| 27 | 104.1 | 113.114857142857 | -9.01485714285714 |
| 28 | 108.7 | 112.114857142857 | -3.41485714285713 |
| 29 | 96.7 | 103.514857142857 | -6.81485714285712 |
| 30 | 101 | 106.514857142857 | -5.51485714285714 |
| 31 | 116.9 | 123.234857142857 | -6.33485714285714 |
| 32 | 105.8 | 110.234857142857 | -4.43485714285714 |
| 33 | 99 | 111.174857142857 | -12.1748571428571 |
| 34 | 129.4 | 127.734857142857 | 1.66514285714285 |
| 35 | 83 | 94.0748571428571 | -11.0748571428571 |
| 36 | 88.9 | 92.5374285714286 | -3.63742857142858 |
| 37 | 115.9 | 117.274857142857 | -1.37485714285715 |
| 38 | 104.2 | 117.394857142857 | -13.1948571428571 |
| 39 | 113.4 | 113.114857142857 | 0.285142857142872 |
| 40 | 112.2 | 112.114857142857 | 0.0851428571428692 |
| 41 | 100.8 | 103.514857142857 | -2.71485714285713 |
| 42 | 107.3 | 106.514857142857 | 0.785142857142858 |
| 43 | 126.6 | 123.234857142857 | 3.36514285714284 |
| 44 | 102.9 | 110.234857142857 | -7.33485714285713 |
| 45 | 117.9 | 111.174857142857 | 6.72514285714286 |
| 46 | 128.8 | 127.734857142857 | 1.06514285714286 |
| 47 | 87.5 | 94.0748571428571 | -6.57485714285715 |
| 48 | 93.8 | 92.5374285714286 | 1.26257142857142 |
| 49 | 122.7 | 117.274857142857 | 5.42514285714285 |
| 50 | 126.2 | 117.394857142857 | 8.80514285714285 |
| 51 | 124.6 | 113.114857142857 | 11.4851428571429 |
| 52 | 116.7 | 112.114857142857 | 4.58514285714287 |
| 53 | 115.2 | 103.514857142857 | 11.6851428571429 |
| 54 | 111.1 | 106.514857142857 | 4.58514285714286 |
| 55 | 129.9 | 123.234857142857 | 6.66514285714286 |
| 56 | 113.3 | 110.234857142857 | 3.06514285714286 |
| 57 | 118.5 | 111.174857142857 | 7.32514285714285 |
| 58 | 133.5 | 127.734857142857 | 5.76514285714285 |
| 59 | 102.1 | 94.0748571428571 | 8.02514285714285 |
| 60 | 102.4 | 92.5374285714286 | 9.86257142857143 |
