| Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
| Huwelijken[t] = + 2132.44137931034 + 198.448275862069Dummy[t] -806.310344827587M1[t] -73.7103448275845M2[t] + 66.0896551724116M3[t] + 1031.28965517242M4[t] + 2379.68965517241M5[t] + 2871.2M6[t] + 2962.20000000000M7[t] + 3620.4M8[t] + 2903.2M9[t] + 812.8M10[t] -339.4M11[t] + e[t] |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
| Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
| (Intercept) | 2132.44137931034 | 166.262186 | 12.8258 | 0 | 0 |
| Dummy | 198.448275862069 | 96.637933 | 2.0535 | 0.045609 | 0.022805 |
| M1 | -806.310344827587 | 209.059813 | -3.8568 | 0.000348 | 0.000174 |
| M2 | -73.7103448275845 | 209.059813 | -0.3526 | 0.725979 | 0.36299 |
| M3 | 66.0896551724116 | 209.059813 | 0.3161 | 0.753305 | 0.376653 |
| M4 | 1031.28965517242 | 209.059813 | 4.933 | 1.1e-05 | 5e-06 |
| M5 | 2379.68965517241 | 209.059813 | 11.3828 | 0 | 0 |
| M6 | 2871.2 | 208.164478 | 13.7929 | 0 | 0 |
| M7 | 2962.20000000000 | 208.164478 | 14.2301 | 0 | 0 |
| M8 | 3620.4 | 208.164478 | 17.392 | 0 | 0 |
| M9 | 2903.2 | 208.164478 | 13.9467 | 0 | 0 |
| M10 | 812.8 | 208.164478 | 3.9046 | 3e-04 | 0.00015 |
| M11 | -339.4 | 208.164478 | -1.6304 | 0.109693 | 0.054846 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
| Multiple R | 0.981844481859706 |
| R-squared | 0.964018586558354 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.954831842700913 |
| F-TEST (value) | 104.935829442711 |
| F-TEST (DF numerator) | 12 |
| F-TEST (DF denominator) | 47 |
| p-value | 0 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
| Residual Standard Deviation | 329.136939390896 |
| Sum Squared Residuals | 5091562.86896551 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
| Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
| 1 | 1178 | 1326.13103448276 | -148.131034482759 |
| 2 | 2141 | 2058.73103448276 | 82.2689655172425 |
| 3 | 2238 | 2198.53103448276 | 39.4689655172429 |
| 4 | 2685 | 3163.73103448276 | -478.73103448276 |
| 5 | 4341 | 4512.13103448275 | -171.131034482752 |
| 6 | 5376 | 5003.64137931035 | 372.358620689652 |
| 7 | 4478 | 5094.64137931034 | -616.64137931034 |
| 8 | 6404 | 5752.84137931035 | 651.158620689654 |
| 9 | 4617 | 5035.64137931035 | -418.641379310348 |
| 10 | 3024 | 2945.24137931035 | 78.7586206896522 |
| 11 | 1897 | 1793.04137931035 | 103.958620689654 |
| 12 | 2075 | 2132.44137931034 | -57.4413793103445 |
| 13 | 1351 | 1326.13103448276 | 24.8689655172416 |
| 14 | 2211 | 2058.73103448276 | 152.268965517241 |
| 15 | 2453 | 2198.53103448276 | 254.468965517241 |
| 16 | 3042 | 3163.73103448276 | -121.731034482758 |
| 17 | 4765 | 4512.13103448276 | 252.86896551724 |
| 18 | 4992 | 5202.08965517241 | -210.089655172413 |
| 19 | 4601 | 5293.08965517242 | -692.089655172415 |
| 20 | 6266 | 5951.28965517241 | 314.710344827587 |
| 21 | 4812 | 5234.08965517241 | -422.089655172413 |
| 22 | 3159 | 3143.68965517241 | 15.3103448275869 |
| 23 | 1916 | 1991.48965517241 | -75.4896551724136 |
| 24 | 2237 | 2330.88965517241 | -93.8896551724135 |
| 25 | 1595 | 1524.57931034483 | 70.4206896551726 |
| 26 | 2453 | 2257.17931034483 | 195.820689655172 |
| 27 | 2226 | 2396.97931034483 | -170.979310344828 |
| 28 | 3597 | 3362.17931034483 | 234.820689655173 |
| 29 | 4706 | 4710.57931034483 | -4.57931034482927 |
| 30 | 4974 | 5202.08965517241 | -228.089655172413 |
| 31 | 5756 | 5293.08965517241 | 462.910344827585 |
| 32 | 5493 | 5951.28965517241 | -458.289655172414 |
| 33 | 5004 | 5234.08965517241 | -230.089655172413 |
| 34 | 3225 | 3143.68965517241 | 81.310344827587 |
| 35 | 2006 | 1991.48965517241 | 14.5103448275864 |
| 36 | 2291 | 2330.88965517241 | -39.8896551724135 |
| 37 | 1588 | 1524.57931034483 | 63.4206896551726 |
| 38 | 2105 | 2257.17931034483 | -152.179310344828 |
| 39 | 2191 | 2396.97931034483 | -205.979310344828 |
| 40 | 3591 | 3362.17931034483 | 228.820689655173 |
| 41 | 4668 | 4710.57931034483 | -42.5793103448292 |
| 42 | 4885 | 5202.08965517241 | -317.089655172413 |
| 43 | 5822 | 5293.08965517242 | 528.910344827585 |
| 44 | 5599 | 5951.28965517241 | -352.289655172414 |
| 45 | 5340 | 5234.08965517241 | 105.910344827587 |
| 46 | 3082 | 3143.68965517241 | -61.6896551724131 |
| 47 | 2010 | 1991.48965517241 | 18.5103448275864 |
| 48 | 2301 | 2330.88965517241 | -29.8896551724135 |
| 49 | 1514 | 1524.57931034483 | -10.5793103448274 |
| 50 | 1979 | 2257.17931034483 | -278.179310344828 |
| 51 | 2480 | 2396.97931034483 | 83.020689655172 |
| 52 | 3499 | 3362.17931034483 | 136.820689655173 |
| 53 | 4676 | 4710.57931034483 | -34.5793103448293 |
| 54 | 5585 | 5202.08965517241 | 382.910344827586 |
| 55 | 5610 | 5293.08965517242 | 316.910344827585 |
| 56 | 5796 | 5951.28965517241 | -155.289655172414 |
| 57 | 6199 | 5234.08965517241 | 964.910344827587 |
| 58 | 3030 | 3143.68965517241 | -113.689655172413 |
| 59 | 1930 | 1991.48965517241 | -61.4896551724136 |
| 60 | 2552 | 2330.88965517241 | 221.110344827587 |
