Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Const[t] = + 1846.02995172578 -251.176611181584Inv.wet[t] + 1.00000000001661et[t] -1.50915849924538t + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 1846.02995172578 | 31.428327 | 58.7378 | 0 | 0 |
Inv.wet | -251.176611181584 | 54.718719 | -4.5903 | 8e-06 | 4e-06 |
et | 1.00000000001661 | 0.100108 | 9.9892 | 0 | 0 |
t | -1.50915849924538 | 0.320581 | -4.7076 | 5e-06 | 2e-06 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.716713275798988 |
R-squared | 0.513677919706516 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.505917460978429 |
F-TEST (value) | 66.1916953243184 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 3 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 188 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 203.570453314249 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 7790894.73896291 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 1687 | 1660.59724872346 | 26.4027512765405 |
2 | 1508 | 1665.93902562435 | -157.939025624350 |
3 | 1507 | 1612.86736712425 | -105.867367124248 |
4 | 1385 | 1602.54570862486 | -217.545708624856 |
5 | 1632 | 1710.72405012743 | -78.724050127432 |
6 | 1511 | 1643.96489162710 | -132.964891627103 |
7 | 1559 | 1614.8307331274 | -55.8307331273989 |
8 | 1630 | 1669.44657462909 | -39.4465746290856 |
9 | 1579 | 1564.12491612812 | 14.8750838718838 |
10 | 1653 | 1497.24075762779 | 155.759242372215 |
11 | 2152 | 1795.16909912351 | 356.830900876487 |
12 | 2148 | 1673.03494063226 | 474.965059367736 |
13 | 1752 | 1728.66561070397 | 23.3343892960326 |
14 | 1765 | 1926.00738763802 | -161.007387638024 |
15 | 1717 | 1825.93572911114 | -108.935729111142 |
16 | 1558 | 1778.61407060714 | -220.614070607136 |
17 | 1575 | 1656.79241213589 | -81.7924121358925 |
18 | 1520 | 1656.03325363666 | -136.033253636660 |
19 | 1805 | 1863.89909511089 | -58.8990951108913 |
20 | 1800 | 1842.51493661132 | -42.5149366113159 |
21 | 1719 | 1707.19327813985 | 11.8067218601517 |
22 | 2008 | 1855.30911961309 | 152.690880386912 |
23 | 2242 | 1888.23746111441 | 353.762538885586 |
24 | 2478 | 2006.10330264715 | 471.896697352849 |
25 | 2030 | 2009.73397274799 | 20.2660272520087 |
26 | 1655 | 1819.07574960560 | -164.075749605605 |
27 | 1693 | 1805.00409110915 | -112.004091109151 |
28 | 1623 | 1846.68243260762 | -223.682432607623 |
29 | 1805 | 1889.86077410912 | -84.8607741091193 |
30 | 1746 | 1885.10161560982 | -139.10161560982 |
31 | 1795 | 1856.96745711013 | -61.9674571101324 |
32 | 1926 | 1971.58329865282 | -45.5832986528155 |
33 | 1619 | 1610.26164014759 | 8.73835985240528 |
34 | 1992 | 1842.37748161223 | 149.622518387771 |
35 | 2233 | 1882.30582311367 | 350.694176886328 |
36 | 2192 | 1723.17166461181 | 468.828335388191 |
37 | 2080 | 2062.80233475823 | 17.1976652417712 |
38 | 1768 | 1935.14411165689 | -167.144111656888 |
39 | 1835 | 1950.07245315792 | -115.072453157916 |
40 | 1569 | 1795.75079460613 | -226.750794606133 |
41 | 1976 | 2063.92913616137 | -87.9291361613663 |
42 | 1853 | 1995.16997766100 | -142.169977661004 |
43 | 1965 | 2030.03581916236 | -65.0358191623626 |
44 | 1689 | 1737.65166060829 | -48.6516606082868 |
45 | 1778 | 1772.33000211064 | 5.66999788935767 |
46 | 1976 | 1829.44584361137 | 146.554156388629 |
47 | 2397 | 2049.37418516580 | 347.625814834197 |
48 | 2654 | 2188.24002666889 | 465.759973331112 |
49 | 2097 | 2082.87069666792 | 14.1293033320818 |
50 | 1963 | 2133.21247356953 | -170.212473569534 |
51 | 1677 | 1795.1408151047 | -118.140815104699 |
52 | 1941 | 2170.81915657172 | -229.819156571718 |
53 | 2003 | 2093.99749807122 | -90.9974980712217 |
54 | 1813 | 1958.23833956975 | -145.238339569747 |
55 | 2012 | 2080.10418107255 | -68.1041810725504 |
56 | 1912 | 1963.72002257140 | -51.7200225713973 |
57 | 2084 | 2081.39836407413 | 2.60163592586877 |
58 | 2080 | 1936.51420557250 | 143.485794427495 |
59 | 2118 | 1773.44254711058 | 344.557452889424 |
60 | 2150 | 1687.30838860993 | 462.691611390074 |
61 | 1608 | 1596.93905866920 | 11.0609413307955 |
62 | 1503 | 1676.2808356013 | -173.280835601302 |
63 | 1548 | 1669.20917710196 | -121.209177101964 |
64 | 1382 | 1614.88751857184 | -232.887518571842 |
65 | 1731 | 1825.06586010611 | -94.0658601061117 |
66 | 1798 | 1946.30670157890 | -148.306701578905 |
67 | 1779 | 1850.17254307809 | -71.1725430780881 |
68 | 1887 | 1941.78838458039 | -54.7883845803892 |
69 | 2004 | 2004.46672608221 | -0.466726082209838 |
70 | 2077 | 1936.58256758186 | 140.417432418138 |
71 | 2092 | 1750.51090910955 | 341.489090890448 |
72 | 2051 | 1591.37675057769 | 459.623249422311 |
73 | 1577 | 1569.00742067810 | 7.99257932190315 |
74 | 1356 | 1532.34919757827 | -176.349197578268 |
75 | 1652 | 1776.27753910310 | -124.277539103098 |
76 | 1382 | 1617.95588058125 | -235.955880581249 |
77 | 1519 | 1616.134222082 | -97.1342220819982 |
78 | 1421 | 1572.37506358205 | -151.375063582051 |
79 | 1442 | 1516.2409050819 | -74.2409050818986 |
80 | 1543 | 1600.85674658408 | -57.8567465840835 |
81 | 1656 | 1659.53508810584 | -3.53508810583768 |
82 | 1561 | 1423.6509295827 | 137.3490704173 |
83 | 1905 | 1566.57927108585 | 338.420728914147 |
84 | 2199 | 1742.44511260955 | 456.554887390446 |
85 | 1473 | 1468.07578268578 | 4.92421731422319 |
86 | 1655 | 1834.41755959264 | -179.417559592640 |
87 | 1407 | 1534.34590108844 | -127.345901088437 |
88 | 1395 | 1634.02424260087 | -239.024242600872 |
89 | 1530 | 1630.20258410159 | -100.202584101588 |
90 | 1309 | 1463.44342558960 | -154.443425589598 |
91 | 1526 | 1603.3092670927 | -77.3092670927007 |
92 | 1327 | 1387.92510858990 | -60.9251085899035 |
93 | 1627 | 1633.60345010476 | -6.60345010476319 |
94 | 1748 | 1613.71929160521 | 134.280708394787 |
95 | 1958 | 1622.64763310614 | 335.352366893859 |
96 | 2274 | 1820.51347460021 | 453.486525399794 |
97 | 1648 | 1646.14414468809 | 1.85585531190981 |
98 | 1401 | 1583.48592159783 | -182.485921597829 |
99 | 1411 | 1541.41426309791 | -130.414263097910 |
100 | 1403 | 1645.09260459041 | -242.092604590412 |
101 | 1394 | 1497.27094609874 | -103.270946098737 |
102 | 1520 | 1677.51178759251 | -157.511787592509 |
103 | 1528 | 1608.37762909214 | -80.377629092141 |
104 | 1643 | 1706.99347059456 | -63.9934705945585 |
105 | 1515 | 1524.67181210231 | -9.67181210231035 |
106 | 1685 | 1553.78765360357 | 131.212346396427 |
107 | 2000 | 1667.71599509625 | 332.284004903755 |
108 | 2215 | 1764.58183659863 | 450.418163401366 |
109 | 1956 | 1957.21250671261 | -1.21250671261230 |
110 | 1462 | 1647.55428358825 | -185.554283588249 |
111 | 1563 | 1696.48262508984 | -133.482625089842 |
112 | 1459 | 1704.16096659075 | -245.160966590749 |
113 | 1446 | 1552.33930810901 | -106.339308109007 |
114 | 1622 | 1782.58014961361 | -160.580149613611 |
115 | 1657 | 1740.44599109369 | -83.4459910936905 |
116 | 1638 | 1705.06183259388 | -67.0618325938826 |
117 | 1643 | 1655.74017409384 | -12.7401740938432 |
118 | 1683 | 1554.85601561295 | 128.143984387053 |
119 | 2050 | 1720.78435709648 | 329.215642903517 |
120 | 2262 | 1814.65019861882 | 447.349801381179 |
121 | 1813 | 1817.28086871964 | -4.28086871964461 |
122 | 1445 | 1633.62264558737 | -188.622645587374 |
123 | 1762 | 1898.55098712255 | -136.550987122554 |
124 | 1461 | 1709.22932859019 | -248.229328590189 |
125 | 1556 | 1665.40767009124 | -109.407670091241 |
126 | 1431 | 1594.64851158985 | -163.648511589846 |
127 | 1427 | 1513.51435311928 | -86.514353119278 |
128 | 1554 | 1624.13019459189 | -70.1301945918947 |
129 | 1645 | 1660.80853609428 | -15.8085360942835 |
130 | 1653 | 1527.92437762186 | 125.075622378144 |
131 | 2016 | 1689.85271909533 | 326.147280904675 |
132 | 2207 | 1762.71856062732 | 444.281439372685 |
133 | 1665 | 1672.34923068659 | -7.34923068659388 |
134 | 1361 | 1552.69100758539 | -191.691007585386 |
135 | 1506 | 1645.61934908671 | -139.619349086709 |
136 | 1360 | 1611.29769058792 | -251.297690587919 |
137 | 1453 | 1565.47603208794 | -112.476032087938 |
138 | 1522 | 1688.71687359076 | -166.716873590764 |
139 | 1460 | 1549.58271508923 | -89.5827150892332 |
140 | 1552 | 1625.19855659127 | -73.1985565912686 |
141 | 1548 | 1566.87689809108 | -18.8768980910798 |
142 | 1827 | 1704.99273959415 | 122.007260405847 |
143 | 1737 | 1413.9210811301 | 323.078918869901 |
144 | 1941 | 1499.78692263230 | 441.213077367695 |
145 | 1474 | 1484.41759263283 | -10.4175926328291 |
146 | 1458 | 1652.75936958640 | -194.759369586404 |
147 | 1542 | 1684.68771108771 | -142.687711087714 |
148 | 1404 | 1658.36605258806 | -254.366052588057 |
149 | 1522 | 1637.54439408849 | -115.544394088491 |
150 | 1385 | 1554.78523558790 | -169.785235587896 |
151 | 1641 | 1733.65107704165 | -92.6510770416462 |
152 | 1510 | 1586.26691858998 | -76.2669185899782 |
153 | 1681 | 1702.94526009270 | -21.9452600926956 |
154 | 1938 | 1819.06110154540 | 118.938898454596 |
155 | 1868 | 1547.98944309168 | 320.010556908318 |
156 | 1726 | 1287.85528453814 | 438.144715461859 |
157 | 1456 | 1469.48595464194 | -13.4859546419372 |
158 | 1445 | 1642.82773158560 | -197.827731585596 |
159 | 1456 | 1601.75607308269 | -145.756073082693 |
160 | 1365 | 1622.43441458682 | -257.434414586816 |
161 | 1487 | 1605.61275608432 | -118.612756084317 |
162 | 1558 | 1730.85359755018 | -172.853597550176 |
163 | 1488 | 1583.71943908851 | -95.7194390885124 |
164 | 1684 | 1763.33528055227 | -79.335280552275 |
165 | 1594 | 1619.01362209066 | -25.0136220906579 |
166 | 1850 | 1734.12946355335 | 115.870536446651 |
167 | 1998 | 1681.05780509325 | 316.942194906752 |
168 | 2079 | 1643.92364659341 | 435.076353406589 |
169 | 1494 | 1510.55431668198 | -16.5543166819755 |
170 | 1057 | 1233.10451597073 | -176.104515970735 |
171 | 1218 | 1342.03285750132 | -124.032857501324 |
172 | 1168 | 1403.71119900513 | -235.711199005128 |
173 | 1236 | 1332.88954050273 | -96.889540502731 |
174 | 1076 | 1227.13038197375 | -151.130381973754 |
175 | 1174 | 1247.99622350488 | -73.9962235048806 |
176 | 1139 | 1196.61206497481 | -57.6120649748069 |
177 | 1427 | 1430.29040647947 | -3.29040647946732 |
178 | 1487 | 1349.40624800890 | 137.593751991096 |
179 | 1483 | 1144.33458947628 | 338.665410523722 |
180 | 1513 | 1056.20043097559 | 456.799569024406 |
181 | 1357 | 1351.83110110128 | 5.16889889871692 |
182 | 1165 | 1344.17287800194 | -179.172878001936 |
183 | 1282 | 1409.10121950379 | -127.101219503794 |
184 | 1110 | 1348.77956100357 | -238.779561003571 |
185 | 1297 | 1396.95790250515 | -99.9579025051512 |
186 | 1185 | 1339.19874400497 | -154.198744004972 |
187 | 1222 | 1299.06458550508 | -77.0645855050848 |
188 | 1284 | 1344.68042700662 | -60.6804270066221 |
189 | 1444 | 1450.35876848916 | -6.35876848915676 |
190 | 1575 | 1440.47460998977 | 134.525390010228 |
191 | 1737 | 1401.40295150990 | 335.597048490097 |
192 | 1763 | 1309.26879300515 | 453.731206994847 |