| Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
| y[t] = + 2324.06337309061 -226.385033603346x[t] + 1.00000000000397e[t] -451.374973249477M1[t] -635.461053319472M2[t] -583.133697992863M3[t] -694.556342649877M4[t] -555.478987326081M5[t] -609.464131986534M6[t] -532.074276654237M7[t] -515.434421318189M8[t] -460.857065991642M9[t] -319.717210652969M10[t] -118.389855331297M11[t] -1.76485533229719t + e[t] |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
| Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
| (Intercept) | 2324.06337309061 | 0 | 391994456299.71 | 0 | 0 |
| x | -226.385033603346 | 0 | -40968471038.4106 | 0 | 0 |
| e | 1.00000000000397 | 0 | 99080923473.9482 | 0 | 0 |
| M1 | -451.374973249477 | 0 | -62141692481.3685 | 0 | 0 |
| M2 | -635.461053319472 | 0 | -87487525132.8026 | 0 | 0 |
| M3 | -583.133697992863 | 0 | -80298493501.3127 | 0 | 0 |
| M4 | -694.556342649877 | 0 | -95657757006.2975 | 0 | 0 |
| M5 | -555.478987326081 | 0 | -76514752724.3532 | 0 | 0 |
| M6 | -609.464131986534 | 0 | -83961830707.0428 | 0 | 0 |
| M7 | -532.074276654237 | 0 | -73308372722.6929 | 0 | 0 |
| M8 | -515.434421318189 | 0 | -71022124802.8736 | 0 | 0 |
| M9 | -460.857065991642 | 0 | -63506294859.5911 | 0 | 0 |
| M10 | -319.717210652969 | 0 | -44059358800.2004 | 0 | 0 |
| M11 | -118.389855331297 | 0 | -16315471444.0731 | 0 | 0 |
| t | -1.76485533229719 | 0 | -54485534203.3458 | 0 | 0 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
| Multiple R | 1 |
| R-squared | 1 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 1 |
| F-TEST (value) | 2.71659098471517e+21 |
| F-TEST (DF numerator) | 14 |
| F-TEST (DF denominator) | 177 |
| p-value | 0 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
| Residual Standard Deviation | 2.05236939072391e-08 |
| Sum Squared Residuals | 7.45562960528537e-14 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
| Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
| 1 | 1687 | 1687.00000000808 | -8.07841035921319e-09 |
| 2 | 1508 | 1508.00000000584 | -5.83990233320611e-09 |
| 3 | 1507 | 1506.99999999995 | 5.4426155940564e-11 |
| 4 | 1385 | 1385.00000001060 | -1.05963719974158e-08 |
| 5 | 1632 | 1632.00000000253 | -2.53304427804870e-09 |
| 6 | 1511 | 1511.00000000952 | -9.523306307422e-09 |
| 7 | 1559 | 1559.00000000942 | -9.41581624232455e-09 |
| 8 | 1630 | 1630.00000001339 | -1.33862390790312e-08 |
| 9 | 1579 | 1579.00000000722 | -7.22352819159455e-09 |
| 10 | 1653 | 1653.00000001334 | -1.33385652060095e-08 |
| 11 | 2152 | 2151.99999999390 | 6.0965645449989e-09 |
| 12 | 2148 | 2148.00000000242 | -2.42493231019157e-09 |
| 13 | 1752 | 1751.99999999088 | 9.12167988479288e-09 |
| 14 | 1765 | 1765.00000001937 | -1.93749008670963e-08 |
| 15 | 1717 | 1716.99999998730 | 1.27036665936512e-08 |
| 16 | 1558 | 1557.99999999380 | 6.19782694265761e-09 |
| 17 | 1575 | 1575.00000001482 | -1.48243979350528e-08 |
| 18 | 1520 | 1520.00000002208 | -2.2077405608368e-08 |
| 19 | 1805 | 1804.99999999291 | 7.09144566142088e-09 |
| 20 | 1800 | 1799.99999999658 | 3.42017011734905e-09 |
| 21 | 1719 | 1719.0000000203 | -2.02984885061949e-08 |
| 22 | 2008 | 2007.99999999727 | 2.73240042868976e-09 |
| 23 | 2242 | 2241.99999998678 | 1.32208344891252e-08 |
| 24 | 2478 | 2478.00000001625 | -1.62531975043710e-08 |
| 25 | 2030 | 2030.0000000345 | -3.44996665995736e-08 |
| 26 | 1655 | 1654.99999999146 | 8.54383558228406e-09 |
| 27 | 1693 | 1692.99999998872 | 1.12811436977333e-08 |
| 28 | 1623 | 1622.99999999658 | 3.42205455441808e-09 |
| 29 | 1805 | 1804.99999998826 | 1.17446700512943e-08 |
| 30 | 1746 | 1745.99999999549 | 4.50749910424557e-09 |
| 31 | 1795 | 1794.99999999539 | 4.61343612025048e-09 |
| 32 | 1926 | 1926.00000003960 | -3.95978404096195e-08 |
| 33 | 1619 | 1619.00000003242 | -3.24194690964559e-08 |
| 34 | 1992 | 1991.99999999972 | 2.78160187773732e-10 |
| 35 | 2233 | 2232.99999998926 | 1.07385815492939e-08 |
| 36 | 2192 | 2191.99999998764 | 1.23643504036851e-08 |
| 37 | 2080 | 2080.00000004722 | -4.7215917088588e-08 |
| 38 | 1768 | 1768.00000004442 | -4.44226282520115e-08 |
| 39 | 1835 | 1835.0000000388 | -3.88006512972592e-08 |
| 40 | 1569 | 1568.99999999888 | 1.11844795414448e-09 |
| 41 | 1976 | 1976.00000004145 | -4.1452151067455e-08 |
| 42 | 1853 | 1853.00000004844 | -4.84351812189409e-08 |
| 43 | 1965 | 1965.00000004858 | -4.85793121300945e-08 |
| 44 | 1689 | 1689.00000000117 | -1.17471079114745e-09 |
| 45 | 1778 | 1777.99999999657 | 3.43156483519882e-09 |
| 46 | 1976 | 1976.00000000218 | -2.17628455622343e-09 |
| 47 | 2397 | 2397.00000004243 | -4.24303334519505e-08 |
| 48 | 2654 | 2654.00000004199 | -4.19875341978733e-08 |
| 49 | 2097 | 2096.99999995980 | 4.01986642182907e-08 |
| 50 | 1963 | 1962.99999995771 | 4.22853855357526e-08 |
| 51 | 1677 | 1676.99999999069 | 9.30897194582681e-09 |
| 52 | 1941 | 1940.99999996288 | 3.71237995293998e-08 |
| 53 | 2003 | 2002.99999995408 | 4.59228952671764e-08 |
| 54 | 1813 | 1812.99999996079 | 3.92057484528335e-08 |
| 55 | 2012 | 2011.99999996128 | 3.87162237235464e-08 |
| 56 | 1912 | 1911.99999996458 | 3.542193729044e-08 |
| 57 | 2084 | 2083.9999999593 | 4.06988797286203e-08 |
| 58 | 2080 | 2079.99999996511 | 3.48930606660695e-08 |
| 59 | 2118 | 2117.99999999384 | 6.15952582074438e-09 |
| 60 | 2150 | 2149.99999999250 | 7.49551147551065e-09 |
| 61 | 1608 | 1607.99999997038 | 2.96222248332568e-08 |
| 62 | 1503 | 1502.99999999841 | 1.59375792088297e-09 |
| 63 | 1548 | 1547.99999999270 | 7.30320635232327e-09 |
| 64 | 1382 | 1381.99999997317 | 2.68253093200337e-08 |
| 65 | 1731 | 1730.99999999552 | 4.48491647098744e-09 |
| 66 | 1798 | 1797.99999997325 | 2.67476903115042e-08 |
| 67 | 1779 | 1778.99999997288 | 2.71233046450325e-08 |
| 68 | 1887 | 1886.99999997700 | 2.30033785942211e-08 |
| 69 | 2004 | 2003.9999999715 | 2.84986444527535e-08 |
| 70 | 2077 | 2076.99999997761 | 2.2387048256731e-08 |
| 71 | 2092 | 2091.99999999626 | 3.74488538910021e-09 |
| 72 | 2051 | 2050.99999996463 | 3.5370711792735e-08 |
| 73 | 1577 | 1576.99999998277 | 1.72273963574418e-08 |
| 74 | 1356 | 1355.99999998034 | 1.96595114930373e-08 |
| 75 | 1652 | 1651.99999999563 | 4.37243613251533e-09 |
| 76 | 1382 | 1381.99999998569 | 1.43073785097880e-08 |
| 77 | 1519 | 1518.99999997719 | 2.28086856433213e-08 |
| 78 | 1421 | 1420.99999998427 | 1.57263828537918e-08 |
| 79 | 1442 | 1441.99999998406 | 1.59434052155156e-08 |
| 80 | 1543 | 1542.99999998815 | 1.18513692949975e-08 |
| 81 | 1656 | 1656.00000000264 | -2.63762036919011e-09 |
| 82 | 1561 | 1560.99999998808 | 1.19179153360686e-08 |
| 83 | 1905 | 1904.99999997803 | 2.19693828115688e-08 |
| 84 | 2199 | 2198.99999999773 | 2.26536140074465e-09 |
| 85 | 1473 | 1472.99999999488 | 5.12248497414851e-09 |
| 86 | 1655 | 1654.99999999405 | 5.95454176678693e-09 |
| 87 | 1407 | 1406.99999998717 | 1.28272900120439e-08 |
| 88 | 1395 | 1395.00000000826 | -8.26204735721309e-09 |
| 89 | 1530 | 1529.99999999975 | 2.47186133059207e-10 |
| 90 | 1309 | 1308.99999999635 | 3.65326504916263e-09 |
| 91 | 1526 | 1525.99999999691 | 3.09211978030868e-09 |
| 92 | 1327 | 1326.99999999981 | 1.91071299220913e-10 |
| 93 | 1627 | 1627.00000000504 | -5.04035749896028e-09 |
| 94 | 1748 | 1748.00000001134 | -1.13425131063771e-08 |
| 95 | 1958 | 1958.00000000076 | -7.58746049539306e-10 |
| 96 | 2274 | 2273.99999999055 | 9.44960078643467e-09 |
| 97 | 1648 | 1647.99999999809 | 1.90988477885181e-09 |
| 98 | 1401 | 1401.00000000555 | -5.55473711891312e-09 |
| 99 | 1411 | 1410.99999999971 | 2.93506488320248e-10 |
| 100 | 1403 | 1403.00000000081 | -8.11623319851292e-10 |
| 101 | 1394 | 1394.00000000173 | -1.73075860806771e-09 |
| 102 | 1520 | 1519.99999999970 | 2.97746849632427e-10 |
| 103 | 1528 | 1527.99999999943 | 5.66422424655038e-10 |
| 104 | 1643 | 1643.00000000358 | -3.58131204403513e-09 |
| 105 | 1515 | 1515.00000000711 | -7.11359615663907e-09 |
| 106 | 1685 | 1685.00000001361 | -1.36101744337475e-08 |
| 107 | 2000 | 1999.99999999344 | 6.55663593620266e-09 |
| 108 | 2215 | 2214.99999999283 | 7.1661187200094e-09 |
| 109 | 1956 | 1956.00000002183 | -2.18307859104518e-08 |
| 110 | 1462 | 1461.99999999831 | 1.68513975268266e-09 |
| 111 | 1563 | 1562.99999999283 | 7.17218478993919e-09 |
| 112 | 1459 | 1459.00000000355 | -3.5517701794187e-09 |
| 113 | 1446 | 1446.00000001446 | -1.44550411470531e-08 |
| 114 | 1622 | 1622.00000002263 | -2.26251137672573e-08 |
| 115 | 1657 | 1657.00000000246 | -2.463682605686e-09 |
| 116 | 1638 | 1638.00000000608 | -6.0793306558593e-09 |
| 117 | 1643 | 1643.00000000014 | -1.3959196404514e-10 |
| 118 | 1683 | 1683.00000002612 | -2.61200785230927e-08 |
| 119 | 2050 | 2049.99999999616 | 3.84032232573584e-09 |
| 120 | 2262 | 2262.00000001554 | -1.55383616331094e-08 |
| 121 | 1813 | 1813.00000003378 | -3.37808928630275e-08 |
| 122 | 1445 | 1445.00000000077 | -7.65205255512978e-10 |
| 123 | 1762 | 1762.00000002614 | -2.61356836044261e-08 |
| 124 | 1461 | 1461.00000000608 | -6.07765938161099e-09 |
| 125 | 1556 | 1555.99999999841 | 1.59052393362959e-09 |
| 126 | 1431 | 1431.00000000438 | -4.38458421926998e-09 |
| 127 | 1427 | 1427.00000003407 | -3.40685217398947e-08 |
| 128 | 1554 | 1554.00000000826 | -8.26373548349319e-09 |
| 129 | 1645 | 1645.00000000367 | -3.66522900630562e-09 |
| 130 | 1653 | 1653.00000003852 | -3.85188128897691e-08 |
| 131 | 2016 | 2015.99999999854 | 1.45737577472820e-09 |
| 132 | 2207 | 2207.00000002784 | -2.7837924614082e-08 |
| 133 | 1665 | 1665.00000000571 | -5.7111188857802e-09 |
| 134 | 1361 | 1361.00000000295 | -2.94963139942894e-09 |
| 135 | 1506 | 1505.99999999664 | 3.3629077509735e-09 |
| 136 | 1360 | 1360.00000000819 | -8.19438864038994e-09 |
| 137 | 1453 | 1452.99999999952 | 4.81617197453916e-10 |
| 138 | 1522 | 1522.00000000726 | -7.26382112986579e-09 |
| 139 | 1460 | 1460.00000000672 | -6.71729230244482e-09 |
| 140 | 1552 | 1552.00000001077 | -1.07736884834360e-08 |
| 141 | 1548 | 1548.00000000480 | -4.79813241641111e-09 |
| 142 | 1827 | 1827.00000001173 | -1.17274054580844e-08 |
| 143 | 1737 | 1737.00000003995 | -3.99527892745115e-08 |
| 144 | 1941 | 1941.0000000393 | -3.92996489120618e-08 |
| 145 | 1474 | 1473.99999995747 | 4.2529299457551e-08 |
| 146 | 1458 | 1458.00000000585 | -5.85258076686026e-09 |
| 147 | 1542 | 1542.00000000030 | -2.97909898740287e-10 |
| 148 | 1404 | 1404.00000001089 | -1.08870040048760e-08 |
| 149 | 1522 | 1522.00000000231 | -2.31011981474448e-09 |
| 150 | 1385 | 1385.00000000924 | -9.2376219483148e-09 |
| 151 | 1641 | 1640.99999995995 | 4.00463598804971e-08 |
| 152 | 1510 | 1510.00000001312 | -1.31246489431071e-08 |
| 153 | 1681 | 1681.00000000784 | -7.84388232647993e-09 |
| 154 | 1938 | 1937.99999996469 | 3.53139578687087e-08 |
| 155 | 1868 | 1868.00000000299 | -2.9907596204189e-09 |
| 156 | 1726 | 1725.99999995096 | 4.90360631046830e-08 |
| 157 | 1456 | 1455.99999996992 | 3.00829980686564e-08 |
| 158 | 1445 | 1445.00000000832 | -8.31869855247611e-09 |
| 159 | 1456 | 1455.99999999947 | 5.25742440810668e-10 |
| 160 | 1365 | 1365.00000001325 | -1.32499983286487e-08 |
| 161 | 1487 | 1487.00000000169 | -1.68911048868104e-09 |
| 162 | 1558 | 1557.99999997244 | 2.75575678566464e-08 |
| 163 | 1488 | 1488.00000001186 | -1.18641763295563e-08 |
| 164 | 1684 | 1683.99999997633 | 2.36668516865271e-08 |
| 165 | 1594 | 1594.00000001002 | -1.00164664528328e-08 |
| 166 | 1850 | 1849.99999997685 | 2.31455949973408e-08 |
| 167 | 1998 | 1998.00000000602 | -6.02466040749732e-09 |
| 168 | 2079 | 2079.00000000488 | -4.88310541602843e-09 |
| 169 | 1494 | 1494.00000001259 | -1.25857091966035e-08 |
| 170 | 1057 | 1056.99999997685 | 2.31513005650348e-08 |
| 171 | 1218 | 1217.9999999996 | 4.00344749668489e-10 |
| 172 | 1168 | 1168.00000001254 | -1.25381522596376e-08 |
| 173 | 1236 | 1236.00000000176 | -1.76288250005544e-09 |
| 174 | 1076 | 1075.99999998060 | 1.94007854405194e-08 |
| 175 | 1174 | 1174.00000001069 | -1.06878643438212e-08 |
| 176 | 1139 | 1138.99999998424 | 1.57601034467787e-08 |
| 177 | 1427 | 1426.99999997942 | 2.05763011179852e-08 |
| 178 | 1487 | 1487.00000001548 | -1.54834977974808e-08 |
| 179 | 1483 | 1482.99999997405 | 2.59497321738463e-08 |
| 180 | 1513 | 1512.99999997271 | 2.72936370799242e-08 |
| 181 | 1357 | 1357.00000001211 | -1.21121316697520e-08 |
| 182 | 1165 | 1165.00000000980 | -9.79518807095607e-09 |
| 183 | 1282 | 1282.00000000437 | -4.37158230932092e-09 |
| 184 | 1110 | 1110.00000001483 | -1.48258013413797e-08 |
| 185 | 1297 | 1297.00000000652 | -6.52298885776388e-09 |
| 186 | 1185 | 1185.00000001355 | -1.35496517188970e-08 |
| 187 | 1222 | 1222.00000001340 | -1.33960517574046e-08 |
| 188 | 1284 | 1284.00000001733 | -1.73333758398054e-08 |
| 189 | 1444 | 1443.99999999201 | 7.99097185055156e-09 |
| 190 | 1575 | 1574.99999999835 | 1.64919422940239e-09 |
| 191 | 1737 | 1737.00000000758 | -7.57655201142678e-09 |
| 192 | 1763 | 1763.00000000222 | -2.21665017600935e-09 |
