| Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
| -25[t] = + 163.547479367605 + 11.0329123993239`invloed>25`[t] -2.87383580259192M1[t] -11.0864903384044M2[t] -21.5772927645752M3[t] -24.9014285240794M4[t] -26.8922309502502M5[t] -30.0497000430877M6[t] -35.0405024692585M7[t] -38.8646382287627M8[t] -43.8554406549335M9[t] -42.6795764144377M10[t] -8.3425309071625M11[t] -0.342530907162507t + e[t] |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
| Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
| (Intercept) | 163.547479367605 | 3.481595 | 46.9749 | 0 | 0 |
| `invloed>25` | 11.0329123993239 | 1.422543 | 7.7558 | 0 | 0 |
| M1 | -2.87383580259192 | 3.784525 | -0.7594 | 0.450658 | 0.225329 |
| M2 | -11.0864903384044 | 3.943247 | -2.8115 | 0.006683 | 0.003342 |
| M3 | -21.5772927645752 | 3.938527 | -5.4785 | 1e-06 | 0 |
| M4 | -24.9014285240794 | 3.934542 | -6.3289 | 0 | 0 |
| M5 | -26.8922309502502 | 3.931293 | -6.8406 | 0 | 0 |
| M6 | -30.0497000430877 | 3.928782 | -7.6486 | 0 | 0 |
| M7 | -35.0405024692585 | 3.927011 | -8.9229 | 0 | 0 |
| M8 | -38.8646382287627 | 3.92598 | -9.8993 | 0 | 0 |
| M9 | -43.8554406549335 | 3.92569 | -11.1714 | 0 | 0 |
| M10 | -42.6795764144377 | 3.926142 | -10.8706 | 0 | 0 |
| M11 | -8.3425309071625 | 3.92248 | -2.1269 | 0.037624 | 0.018812 |
| t | -0.342530907162507 | 0.053949 | -6.3492 | 0 | 0 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
| Multiple R | 0.936903713692415 |
| R-squared | 0.877788568730638 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.850860626247559 |
| F-TEST (value) | 32.5976843304014 |
| F-TEST (DF numerator) | 13 |
| F-TEST (DF denominator) | 59 |
| p-value | 0 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
| Residual Standard Deviation | 6.79329216225658 |
| Sum Squared Residuals | 2722.78028570483 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
| Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
| 1 | 140 | 149.298200258527 | -9.29820025852665 |
| 2 | 132 | 140.743014815551 | -8.74301481555134 |
| 3 | 117 | 129.909681482218 | -12.909681482218 |
| 4 | 114 | 126.243014815551 | -12.2430148155514 |
| 5 | 113 | 123.909681482218 | -10.9096814822180 |
| 6 | 110 | 120.409681482218 | -10.4096814822181 |
| 7 | 107 | 115.076348148885 | -8.07634814888472 |
| 8 | 103 | 110.909681482218 | -7.90968148221798 |
| 9 | 98 | 105.576348148885 | -7.5763481488847 |
| 10 | 98 | 106.409681482218 | -8.40968148221801 |
| 11 | 137 | 140.404196082331 | -3.40419608233070 |
| 12 | 148 | 148.404196082331 | -0.404196082330704 |
| 13 | 147 | 145.187829372576 | 1.81217062742375 |
| 14 | 139 | 136.632643929601 | 2.36735607039873 |
| 15 | 130 | 125.799310596268 | 4.20068940373207 |
| 16 | 128 | 122.132643929601 | 5.86735607039874 |
| 17 | 127 | 119.799310596268 | 7.20068940373206 |
| 18 | 123 | 116.299310596268 | 6.70068940373208 |
| 19 | 118 | 110.965977262935 | 7.03402273706541 |
| 20 | 114 | 106.799310596268 | 7.20068940373207 |
| 21 | 108 | 101.465977262935 | 6.53402273706542 |
| 22 | 111 | 102.299310596268 | 8.70068940373207 |
| 23 | 151 | 147.326737595704 | 3.67326240429553 |
| 24 | 159 | 155.326737595704 | 3.67326240429554 |
| 25 | 158 | 152.11037088595 | 5.88962911404997 |
| 26 | 148 | 143.555185442975 | 4.44481455702496 |
| 27 | 138 | 132.721852109642 | 5.2781478903583 |
| 28 | 137 | 129.055185442975 | 7.94481455702497 |
| 29 | 136 | 126.721852109642 | 9.27814789035829 |
| 30 | 133 | 123.221852109642 | 9.7781478903583 |
| 31 | 126 | 117.888518776308 | 8.11148122369164 |
| 32 | 120 | 113.721852109642 | 6.27814789035829 |
| 33 | 114 | 108.388518776308 | 5.61148122369164 |
| 34 | 116 | 109.221852109642 | 6.7781478903583 |
| 35 | 153 | 143.216366709754 | 9.7836332902456 |
| 36 | 162 | 151.216366709754 | 10.7836332902456 |
| 37 | 161 | 148 | 13.0000000000000 |
| 38 | 149 | 150.477726956349 | -1.47772695634882 |
| 39 | 139 | 139.644393623015 | -0.644393623015476 |
| 40 | 135 | 135.977726956349 | -0.97772695634881 |
| 41 | 130 | 133.644393623016 | -3.64439362301549 |
| 42 | 127 | 130.144393623015 | -3.14439362301548 |
| 43 | 122 | 124.811060289682 | -2.81106028968214 |
| 44 | 117 | 120.644393623015 | -3.64439362301549 |
| 45 | 112 | 115.311060289682 | -3.31106028968215 |
| 46 | 113 | 116.144393623015 | -3.14439362301549 |
| 47 | 149 | 150.138908223128 | -1.13890822312817 |
| 48 | 157 | 158.138908223128 | -1.13890822312816 |
| 49 | 157 | 154.922541513374 | 2.07745848662627 |
| 50 | 147 | 146.367356070399 | 0.632643929601259 |
| 51 | 137 | 135.534022737065 | 1.46597726293460 |
| 52 | 132 | 131.867356070399 | 0.132643929601268 |
| 53 | 125 | 129.534022737065 | -4.53402273706541 |
| 54 | 123 | 126.034022737065 | -3.0340227370654 |
| 55 | 117 | 120.700689403732 | -3.70068940373206 |
| 56 | 114 | 116.534022737065 | -2.53402273706541 |
| 57 | 111 | 111.200689403732 | -0.200689403732075 |
| 58 | 112 | 112.034022737065 | -0.0340227370654120 |
| 59 | 144 | 146.028537337178 | -2.02853733717810 |
| 60 | 150 | 154.028537337178 | -4.02853733717808 |
| 61 | 149 | 150.812170627424 | -1.81217062742366 |
| 62 | 134 | 131.224072785125 | 2.77592721487519 |
| 63 | 123 | 120.390739451791 | 2.60926054820853 |
| 64 | 116 | 116.724072785125 | -0.724072785124802 |
| 65 | 117 | 114.390739451791 | 2.60926054820853 |
| 66 | 111 | 110.890739451791 | 0.109260548208544 |
| 67 | 105 | 105.557406118458 | -0.557406118458123 |
| 68 | 102 | 101.390739451791 | 0.609260548208527 |
| 69 | 95 | 96.0574061184581 | -1.05740611845812 |
| 70 | 93 | 96.8907394517915 | -3.89073945179146 |
| 71 | 124 | 130.885254051904 | -6.88525405190416 |
| 72 | 130 | 138.885254051904 | -8.88525405190415 |
| 73 | 124 | 135.668887342150 | -11.6688873421497 |
