| Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
| <25[t] = + 145.357865871655 -1.33837687591762`ST/DL`[t] + 21.6262589242684Outc[t] -4.22921472041965M1[t] -11.7252604896346M2[t] -21.8230233049027M3[t] -26.3155591420747M4[t] -28.5825103953017M5[t] -31.3469398772365M6[t] -35.7216398798517M7[t] -39.5988616537590M8[t] -44.6427500943329M9[t] -44.1891603061991M10[t] -8.51250770541228M11[t] -0.289444892759341t + e[t] |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
| Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
| (Intercept) | 145.357865871655 | 3.345663 | 43.4467 | 0 | 0 |
| `ST/DL` | -1.33837687591762 | 2.351273 | -0.5692 | 0.571409 | 0.285704 |
| Outc | 21.6262589242684 | 2.90918 | 7.4338 | 0 | 0 |
| M1 | -4.22921472041965 | 4.032372 | -1.0488 | 0.298614 | 0.149307 |
| M2 | -11.7252604896346 | 4.174553 | -2.8087 | 0.006767 | 0.003383 |
| M3 | -21.8230233049027 | 4.478975 | -4.8723 | 9e-06 | 4e-06 |
| M4 | -26.3155591420747 | 3.934067 | -6.6891 | 0 | 0 |
| M5 | -28.5825103953017 | 3.934324 | -7.2649 | 0 | 0 |
| M6 | -31.3469398772365 | 3.95506 | -7.9258 | 0 | 0 |
| M7 | -35.7216398798517 | 4.258035 | -8.3892 | 0 | 0 |
| M8 | -39.5988616537590 | 4.247708 | -9.3224 | 0 | 0 |
| M9 | -44.6427500943329 | 4.238038 | -10.5338 | 0 | 0 |
| M10 | -44.1891603061991 | 3.935521 | -11.2283 | 0 | 0 |
| M11 | -8.51250770541228 | 3.928519 | -2.1668 | 0.034367 | 0.017183 |
| t | -0.289444892759341 | 0.053707 | -5.3894 | 1e-06 | 1e-06 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
| Multiple R | 0.93838584467497 |
| R-squared | 0.880567993486356 |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.851739578120994 |
| F-TEST (value) | 30.5451403528884 |
| F-TEST (DF numerator) | 14 |
| F-TEST (DF denominator) | 58 |
| p-value | 0 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
| Residual Standard Deviation | 6.77324447055734 |
| Sum Squared Residuals | 2660.85675816027 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
| Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
| 1 | 140 | 140.839206258476 | -0.839206258476054 |
| 2 | 132 | 131.715338720584 | 0.284661279416025 |
| 3 | 117 | 121.328131012557 | -4.32813101255654 |
| 4 | 114 | 117.884527158543 | -3.88452715854283 |
| 5 | 113 | 115.328131012557 | -2.32813101255654 |
| 6 | 110 | 112.274256637862 | -2.27425663786241 |
| 7 | 107 | 106.271734866570 | 0.728265133429657 |
| 8 | 103 | 102.105068199904 | 0.894931800096396 |
| 9 | 98 | 96.7717348665703 | 1.22826513342974 |
| 10 | 98 | 98.2742566378624 | -0.274256637862373 |
| 11 | 137 | 133.661464345890 | 3.33853565411012 |
| 12 | 148 | 140.546150282625 | 7.45384971737482 |
| 13 | 147 | 157.653749593715 | -10.6537495937146 |
| 14 | 139 | 151.206635807658 | -12.2066358076580 |
| 15 | 130 | 139.481051223713 | -9.48105122371286 |
| 16 | 128 | 136.037447369699 | -8.03744736969914 |
| 17 | 127 | 133.481051223713 | -6.48105122371287 |
| 18 | 123 | 130.427176849019 | -7.42717684901875 |
| 19 | 118 | 124.424655077727 | -6.42465507772658 |
| 20 | 114 | 121.596365286978 | -7.59636528697757 |
| 21 | 108 | 114.924655077727 | -6.9246550777266 |
| 22 | 111 | 116.427176849019 | -5.42717684901876 |
| 23 | 151 | 151.814384557046 | -0.814384557046205 |
| 24 | 159 | 160.037447369699 | -1.03744736969914 |
| 25 | 158 | 154.180410880603 | 3.81958911939748 |
| 26 | 148 | 146.394920218628 | 1.60507978137176 |
| 27 | 138 | 136.007712510601 | 1.99228748939922 |
| 28 | 137 | 132.564108656587 | 4.43589134341295 |
| 29 | 136 | 130.007712510601 | 5.99228748939922 |
| 30 | 133 | 126.953838135907 | 6.04616186409334 |
| 31 | 126 | 122.289693240532 | 3.71030675946787 |
| 32 | 120 | 116.784649697948 | 3.21535030205216 |
| 33 | 114 | 111.451316364615 | 2.54868363538549 |
| 34 | 116 | 112.953838135907 | 3.04616186409333 |
| 35 | 153 | 148.341045843934 | 4.65895415606589 |
| 36 | 162 | 156.564108656587 | 5.43589134341294 |
| 37 | 161 | 152.045449043408 | 8.95455095659194 |
| 38 | 149 | 144.259958381434 | 4.74004161856621 |
| 39 | 139 | 132.534373797489 | 6.46562620251131 |
| 40 | 135 | 129.090769943475 | 5.90923005652504 |
| 41 | 130 | 126.534373797489 | 3.46562620251131 |
| 42 | 127 | 123.480499422795 | 3.51950057720543 |
| 43 | 122 | 117.477977651502 | 4.52202234849759 |
| 44 | 117 | 113.311310984836 | 3.68868901516425 |
| 45 | 112 | 107.977977651502 | 4.02202234849757 |
| 46 | 113 | 109.480499422795 | 3.51950057720542 |
| 47 | 149 | 144.867707130822 | 4.13229286917798 |
| 48 | 157 | 153.090769943475 | 3.90923005652504 |
| 49 | 157 | 147.233733454378 | 9.76626654562166 |
| 50 | 147 | 139.448242792404 | 7.55175720759594 |
| 51 | 137 | 129.061035084377 | 7.9389649156234 |
| 52 | 132 | 125.617431230363 | 6.38256876963713 |
| 53 | 125 | 123.061035084377 | 1.9389649156234 |
| 54 | 123 | 118.668783833765 | 4.33121616623516 |
| 55 | 117 | 114.004638938390 | 2.99536106160969 |
| 56 | 114 | 109.837972271724 | 4.16202772827634 |
| 57 | 111 | 105.843015814308 | 5.15698418569204 |
| 58 | 112 | 104.668783833765 | 7.33121616623515 |
| 59 | 144 | 141.39436841771 | 2.60563158229006 |
| 60 | 150 | 149.617431230363 | 0.382568769637127 |
| 61 | 149 | 143.760394741266 | 5.23960525873376 |
| 62 | 134 | 135.974904079292 | -1.97490407929197 |
| 63 | 123 | 125.587696371265 | -2.58769637126451 |
| 64 | 116 | 120.805715641333 | -4.80571564133316 |
| 65 | 117 | 119.587696371265 | -2.58769637126451 |
| 66 | 111 | 115.195445120653 | -4.19544512065275 |
| 67 | 105 | 110.531300225278 | -5.53130022527822 |
| 68 | 102 | 106.364633558612 | -4.36463355861158 |
| 69 | 95 | 101.031300225278 | -6.03130022527824 |
| 70 | 93 | 101.195445120653 | -8.19544512065276 |
| 71 | 124 | 137.921029704598 | -13.9210297045978 |
| 72 | 130 | 146.144092517251 | -16.1440925172508 |
| 73 | 124 | 140.287056028154 | -16.2870560281542 |
