| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.9649 | -0.059 | 0.0769 | -0.8377 |
| (p-val) | (0.001 ) | (0.8284 ) | (0.725 ) | (4e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.9314 | 0 | 0.0505 | -0.8329 |
| (p-val) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.7823 ) | (4e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.9872 | 0 | 0 | -0.8664 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 163.413873189958 |
| 190.957766625954 |
| 751.886612719851 |
| 279.45068818933 |
| 2916.31213440319 |
| 2075.0583701753 |
| 1881.13080810695 |
| 2512.22179510240 |
| 6158.2845538771 |
| 4050.25638614473 |
| 2814.09069921838 |
| -60.8260230686774 |
| -1034.00664234818 |
| -5112.31878741769 |
| 3642.40538652637 |
| 29367.8721547024 |
| -3516.67724349781 |
| 3049.07912718700 |
| -2650.67969658921 |
| 2095.09749835630 |
| 3850.43831976282 |
| -4800.6531230095 |
| -2425.23215366126 |
| -3347.29533509188 |
| 2455.71885787564 |
| 218.264793269816 |
| 3380.86702571120 |
