Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
BBP[t] = + 192759.861111111 + 106568.277777778`ja/nee`[t] -6200.28703703696M1[t] -4646.95370370369M2[t] + 851.04629629629M3[t] + 12149.6388888889M4[t] + 15135.1388888889M5[t] + 21015.6388888889M6[t] + 24865.1388888889M7[t] + 31259.6388888889M8[t] + 40642.6388888889M9[t] + 45070.6388888889M10[t] -3242.49999999999M11[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 192759.861111111 | 34803.894883 | 5.5385 | 7.3e-05 | 3.7e-05 |
`ja/nee` | 106568.277777778 | 26309.271577 | 4.0506 | 0.001192 | 0.000596 |
M1 | -6200.28703703696 | 41829.075863 | -0.1482 | 0.884276 | 0.442138 |
M2 | -4646.95370370369 | 41829.075863 | -0.1111 | 0.913119 | 0.456559 |
M3 | 851.04629629629 | 41829.075863 | 0.0203 | 0.984055 | 0.492027 |
M4 | 12149.6388888889 | 47429.713845 | 0.2562 | 0.801552 | 0.400776 |
M5 | 15135.1388888889 | 47429.713845 | 0.3191 | 0.754357 | 0.377179 |
M6 | 21015.6388888889 | 47429.713845 | 0.4431 | 0.66447 | 0.332235 |
M7 | 24865.1388888889 | 47429.713845 | 0.5243 | 0.608304 | 0.304152 |
M8 | 31259.6388888889 | 47429.713845 | 0.6591 | 0.520543 | 0.260271 |
M9 | 40642.6388888889 | 47429.713845 | 0.8569 | 0.405928 | 0.202964 |
M10 | 45070.6388888889 | 47429.713845 | 0.9503 | 0.358097 | 0.179048 |
M11 | -3242.49999999999 | 45568.995081 | -0.0712 | 0.94428 | 0.47214 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.752256180486152 |
R-squared | 0.565889361079614 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.193794527719283 |
F-TEST (value) | 1.52082025963423 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 12 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 14 |
p-value | 0.225152346741242 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 45568.9950807996 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 29071466377.4351 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 163414 | 186559.574074074 | -23145.5740740739 |
2 | 163652 | 188112.907407407 | -24460.9074074074 |
3 | 164603 | 193610.907407407 | -29007.9074074074 |
4 | 165257 | 204909.5 | -39652.5 |
5 | 168731 | 207895 | -39164 |
6 | 171848 | 213775.5 | -41927.5 |
7 | 175032 | 217625 | -42593 |
8 | 179187 | 224019.5 | -44832.5 |
9 | 187369 | 233402.5 | -46033.500 |
10 | 194147 | 237830.5 | -43683.5 |
11 | 200145 | 189517.361111111 | 10627.6388888889 |
12 | 203750 | 192759.861111111 | 10990.1388888889 |
13 | 206464 | 186559.574074074 | 19904.4259259258 |
14 | 205034 | 188112.907407407 | 16921.0925925926 |
15 | 211782 | 193610.907407407 | 18171.0925925926 |
16 | 244562 | 204909.5 | 39652.5 |
17 | 247059 | 207895 | 39164 |
18 | 255703 | 213775.5 | 41927.5 |
19 | 260218 | 217625 | 42593.0000000000 |
20 | 268852 | 224019.5 | 44832.5 |
21 | 279436 | 233402.5 | 46033.5 |
22 | 281514 | 237830.5 | 43683.5 |
23 | 285458 | 296085.638888889 | -10627.6388888889 |
24 | 288338 | 299328.138888889 | -10990.1388888889 |
25 | 296369 | 293127.851851852 | 3241.14814814809 |
26 | 302221 | 294681.185185185 | 7539.81481481482 |
27 | 311016 | 300179.185185185 | 10836.8148148148 |