Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[36])
24	172.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	156.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	143.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	153.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	168.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	185.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	199.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	205.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	197.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	199.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	200.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	193.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	179.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	169.1	165.8167	137.3	223.1632	0.4553	0.3188	0.6262	0.3188
38	169.8	168.8596	132.5	268.3324	0.4926	0.4981	0.69	0.4162
39	195.5	175.3221	135.6341	295.2412	0.3708	0.536	0.6387	0.4721
40	194.8	180.2157	137.9228	319.0823	0.4185	0.4146	0.564	0.5035
41	204.5	182.8113	139.108	333.2756	0.3888	0.4379	0.4845	0.5167
42	203.8	196.1988	144.9159	433.531	0.475	0.4727	0.4878	0.5545
43	204.8	197.8598	145.6021	450.8367	0.4786	0.4816	0.4767	0.5563
44	204.9	196.3404	144.9747	434.9475	0.472	0.4723	0.4962	0.5547
45	240	198.2069	145.7445	454.6542	0.3747	0.4796	0.4958	0.5565
46	248.3	198.4026	145.8248	456.8409	0.3526	0.3762	0.4937	0.5567
47	258.4	184.7602	139.985	344.7773	0.1835	0.2182	0.4564	0.5252
48	254.9	175.3476	135.6462	295.3567	0.0969	0.0875	0.4723	0.4723

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
37	0.1765	0.0198	0.0017	10.7798	0.8983	0.9478
38	0.3006	0.0056	5e-04	0.8843	0.0737	0.2715
39	0.349	0.1151	0.0096	407.146	33.9288	5.8248
40	0.3931	0.0809	0.0067	212.7026	17.7252	4.2101
41	0.4199	0.1186	0.0099	470.3999	39.2	6.261
42	0.6172	0.0387	0.0032	57.7783	4.8149	2.1943
43	0.6523	0.0351	0.0029	48.1658	4.0138	2.0035
44	0.62	0.0436	0.0036	73.2667	6.1056	2.4709
45	0.6601	0.2109	0.0176	1746.667	145.5556	12.0646
46	0.6646	0.2515	0.021	2489.7469	207.4789	14.4041
47	0.4419	0.3986	0.0332	5422.813	451.9011	21.258
48	0.3492	0.4537	0.0378	6328.5837	527.382	22.9648