| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0512 | 0.1364 | 0.1758 | -0.904 | 0.1273 | 0.4121 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (0.7882 ) | (0.3815 ) | (0.2288 ) | (0 ) | (0.4858 ) | (0.0215 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.1801 | 0.1576 | -1.0951 | -1.2478 | -0.2563 | 0.879 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.2222 ) | (0.2623 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.1549 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.1352 | 0 | -0.8627 | -1.2278 | -0.2371 | 0.8784 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.369 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.1899 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8176 | -1.2588 | -0.2681 | 0.8805 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.1345 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8173 | -0.8996 | 0 | 0.4974 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0414 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -91.1475791030107 |
| 3190.42180503223 |
| 185.862605252137 |
| 1550.17928222182 |
| -4051.53466892196 |
| -4004.1469034324 |
| -2204.90421033094 |
| -3175.02179676197 |
| 1617.67360074152 |
| -2295.61084112079 |
| -2267.28881152434 |
| -178.308096584080 |
| -2907.55001941824 |
| -1216.53734921381 |
| 48.5092400249178 |
| -1514.62908371032 |
| -1870.08923636928 |
| 1737.07276264525 |
| 1322.68307094671 |
| 1531.26030628704 |
| 3529.536136408 |
| 1083.53779125802 |
| 114.816768829857 |
| 4962.3367137392 |
| -4410.15761457681 |
| -705.030349962284 |
| 5667.18502395077 |
| 1692.68355190490 |
| -385.471443157229 |
| 2226.52946084297 |
| -2876.4779008572 |
| 1925.6448223277 |
| -163.367556720991 |
| -438.55153453541 |
| 3334.65989098450 |
| 982.184861050696 |
| 1029.03345213034 |
| -513.875854018738 |
| -2510.83330372982 |
| -40.1510898266841 |
| 706.29012138126 |
| 2780.73665444619 |
| -1915.73938576603 |
| 461.574896705557 |
| -194.41601170322 |
| -4379.00588135181 |
| 401.364395856297 |
| -3520.92308360079 |
| 4320.31714492519 |
| 1061.20811234363 |
| 918.831327257089 |
| -3585.968081328 |
| 5000.39576505044 |
| -1487.92693874835 |
| 1216.74262983933 |
| 99.3537263031683 |
| -1778.52956044609 |
| 1253.83574142802 |
| -636.914399484525 |
| -1370.94420414171 |
| 829.700192929427 |
| 1312.98017076556 |
| 1055.28939393764 |
| 1642.24197042200 |
| 243.858906129592 |
| -162.001034384922 |
| 1636.89305297192 |
| -431.237688133459 |
